# Semiconductor Overheat Radar

> Assess semiconductor-sector overheating and short-term correction risk using SOX, SMH, SOXX, and key chip stocks. Use when the user asks about 반도체 과열, semiconductor overheat/overbought risk, SOX/SMH/SOXX overheating, chasing-buy risk, profit-taking risk, trend damage, or whether an AI/chip rally is too stretched.

- Skill: `egoing88/semiconductor-overheat-radar` (Agent Skill, multi-file: 3 files)
- Install (CLI): `npx skillmds@latest add egoing88/semiconductor-overheat-radar`
- Raw SKILL.md: https://api.skillmd.com/api/skills/egoing88/semiconductor-overheat-radar/raw
- Safety review: pending (external: skill-scanner PASS, skillspector CAUTION)
- Works with: Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex
- Category: Coding & Dev Tools
- Author: egoing88 (https://skillmd.com/u/egoing88)
- Updated: 2026-09-22
- Page: https://skillmd.com/skills/egoing88/semiconductor-overheat-radar

---


# Semiconductor Overheat Radar

## Workflow

1. Read `references/overheat-rules.md` before scoring.
2. Use SOX, SMH, and SOXX as the primary basis. Use NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MRVL, MU, SNDK, SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, TSMC, ASML, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, and INTC as supporting evidence.
3. Refresh current market data because prices, technicals, ETF flows, short interest, options, and exchange rates are time-sensitive. If the request lands on a weekend or market holiday, use the latest completed trading session and state the exact date.
4. Calculate or retrieve RSI(14), 20/50/200-day moving-average distance, Bollinger-band closes, consecutive up days, 20-trading-day return, volume behavior, ETF fund flows, short-interest changes, and options sentiment.
5. Score each available signal exactly as defined in the reference. Mark unavailable inputs as `확인 필요`; do not silently treat missing data as zero unless the source clearly shows no signal.
6. Check the special warning conditions separately: 단기 차익실현 경고, 고과열 경고, and 추세 훼손 경고.
7. Lead with a first-screen judgment: `정상`, `주의`, `과열`, `고과열`, or `추세 훼손`. Include the score, the latest data date, and a short action interpretation before the detailed table.

## Reporting Rules

- Treat this as a short-term risk alert system, not a mechanical buy/sell command.
- Do not judge overheating from RSI alone. Give more weight to stacked signals such as RSI overheating plus moving-average extension, heavy-volume down days, ETF outflows, or short-interest spikes.
- Separate `과열` from `추세 훼손`. A stretched rally can still be intact; trend damage requires evidence such as SMH/SOXX losing the 20-day line, leaders weakening together, or persistent ETF outflows.
- When dollar amounts appear, write USD and KRW side by side using the current or stated USD/KRW exchange rate, and name the exchange-rate date.
- Cite the sources used for live data.

## Output Shape

Start with:

```text
판단: <상태>
기준일: <latest trading session>
요약: <one or two sentences>
```

Then provide:

- A score table for SOX, SMH, and SOXX when data is available.
- A short list of special warnings that triggered.
- A practical interpretation for 신규 매수자 and 보유자.
- A brief note on missing or lower-confidence data.