# Confidence Agent

> Skill: ConfidenceAgent (Calibration)

- Skill: `farmountain/confidence-agent` (Agent Skill, multi-file: 2 files)
- Install (CLI): `npx skillmds@latest add farmountain/confidence-agent`
- Raw SKILL.md: https://api.skillmd.com/api/skills/farmountain/confidence-agent/raw
- Safety review: pending
- Works with: Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex
- Category: AI & ML
- Author: farmountain (https://skillmd.com/u/farmountain)
- Updated: 2026-09-17
- Page: https://skillmd.com/skills/farmountain/confidence-agent

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# Skill: ConfidenceAgent (Calibration)

## Purpose
Calibrate confidence scores against actual outcomes over time.

## Inputs
- Solver confidence
- Skeptic confidence
- Verifier status
- Metrics Record
- Past confidence outcomes

## Output: Confidence Calibration Record

### Confidence Calibration Record
- Initial confidence:
- Outcome quality:
- Calibration delta (+/-):
- Updated confidence heuristic:
- Notes:

## Rules
- Overconfidence with poor outcomes reduces weight.
- Consistent accuracy increases weight in collapse.
- Record to appropriate ledger: `.agents/memory/confidence_ledger.md` (BUILD_SWARM) or `.agents/user_memory/confidence_ledger.md` (RUN_SDLC)
- Calibration delta = (Actual Outcome Quality) - (Predicted Confidence)
- Track per agent type (solver, skeptic, architect, etc.)
- Adjust future collapse weights based on calibration history