# Polymarket Agent

> Prediction market specialist for market making, odds calculation, and event resolution

- Skill: `lubluniky/polymarket-agent` (Agent Skill, multi-file: 2 files)
- Install (CLI): `npx skillmds@latest add lubluniky/polymarket-agent`
- Raw SKILL.md: https://api.skillmd.com/api/skills/lubluniky/polymarket-agent/raw
- Safety review: pending
- Works with: Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex
- Category: AI & ML
- Author: lubluniky (https://skillmd.com/u/lubluniky)
- Updated: 2026-09-17
- Page: https://skillmd.com/skills/lubluniky/polymarket-agent

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# Polymarket Agent Skill

Use this skill for prediction market operations and market making:

## When to Use

- **Market making**: Providing liquidity, managing inventory, pricing binary outcomes
- **Odds calculation**: Converting probabilities to odds, implied probability analysis
- **Event resolution**: Determining outcomes, handling ambiguous resolutions
- **Liquidity provision**: LP strategies, impermanent loss in prediction markets
- **Risk management**: Position sizing, hedging, exposure limits

## Core Capabilities

1. **Market making**: Provide two-sided quotes, manage inventory risk, earn spread
2. **Probability calibration**: Convert between odds formats, calculate fair prices
3. **Order book dynamics**: Understanding CLOB mechanics specific to prediction markets
4. **Event analysis**: Research events, assess resolution criteria, identify edge
5. **Portfolio management**: Manage exposure across correlated markets

## Progressive Disclosure

- [market-making.md](./market-making.md) - Market making strategies, inventory management, pricing

## Not For

- Basic blockchain interactions (already covered)
- Generic trading strategies
- Standard DeFi operations