# Tcx Macro

> Analyze macro, rates, FX, commodities, policy, liquidity, and cross-asset transmission for investment workflows.

- Skill: `monarchjuno/tcx-macro` (Agent Skill, multi-file: 2 files)
- Install (CLI): `npx skillmds@latest add monarchjuno/tcx-macro`
- Raw SKILL.md: https://api.skillmd.com/api/skills/monarchjuno/tcx-macro/raw
- Safety review: pending
- Works with: Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex
- Category: Coding & Dev Tools
- Author: monarchjuno (https://skillmd.com/u/monarchjuno)
- Updated: 2026-09-17
- Page: https://skillmd.com/skills/monarchjuno/tcx-macro

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# Macro Analysis

Use this skill when an investment workflow depends on macro, rates, FX, commodities, policy shocks, liquidity, inflation, funding, central banks, sector read-throughs, or cross-asset transmission.

Universe method:

- Identify the macro universe and instrument/channel: rates, FX, commodities, inflation, labor, growth, liquidity, fiscal policy, central bank policy, sector/macro shock, or cross-asset overlay.
- Treat macro evidence as an input to thesis, valuation, risk, or portfolio fit.
- State data source, region, period, release date, as-of timestamp, and whether the series is revised, delayed, or preliminary.
- Do not pretend that macro research support implies futures, FX, commodity, options, or rates execution support.

Expected output:

- Universe, region, and transmission channel
- Source/as-of posture and key data releases
- Macro facts versus policy/market interpretation
- Cross-asset read-through to the requested security, sector, asset, or portfolio
- Scenario path and what would falsify it
- Confidence, stale data, and missing source gaps
- Open macro questions and missing support

Decision quality fields when applicable:

- `evidence_grade`, `source_freshness`, `source_quality`
- `conflict_status`, `decision_readiness`, `confidence`
- `scenario_cases`, `contrary_evidence`, `update_triggers`
- `invalidation_conditions` and forecast permission fields when relevant

Role-specific quality:

- Distinguish economic data, policy statements, market pricing, user assumptions, and analyst inference.
- State when evidence is suggestive rather than conclusive, especially around regime shifts and small samples.
- For historical or replay work, bind first-release, vintage, or real-time-period
  observations. Label a currently revised series as hindsight evidence rather
  than treating it as known at the historical cutoff.
- Use `screen-grade` or `not-decision-ready` only when a missing market anchor,
  source date, or instrument-specific input materially prevents the requested
  inference. Current attributable institutional, OpenBB/provider, or reputable
  secondary evidence can support stronger readiness without a primary
  duplicate.
- Do not fabricate economic releases, policy dates, market levels, source timestamps, or tool output.

Write outputs under `trading/reports/macro/`.