# Counterfactual Risk Engine

> Compares do-nothing, dry-run-change, rollback, and defer scenarios for an operating objective.

- Skill: `rweisssieker-xp/counterfactual-risk-engine` (Agent Skill)
- Install (CLI): `npx skillmds@latest add rweisssieker-xp/counterfactual-risk-engine`
- Raw SKILL.md: https://api.skillmd.com/api/skills/rweisssieker-xp/counterfactual-risk-engine/raw
- Safety review: pending
- Works with: Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex
- Category: Coding & Dev Tools
- Author: rweisssieker-xp (https://skillmd.com/u/rweisssieker-xp)
- Updated: 2026-09-17
- Page: https://skillmd.com/skills/rweisssieker-xp/counterfactual-risk-engine

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# Counterfactual Risk Engine

## Use when
- A team needs to know the likely result of acting, waiting, rolling back, or deferring.

## Governance
- Produces scenario analysis only.
- Recommends dry-run validation before any apply path.

## Output
- `scenarios`, `recommendedScenario`, `decision`, `safeNextAction`