# Technical Analysis > Technical analysis of US stocks using charts and indicators - Skill: `serennity007/technical-analysis` (Agent Skill) - Install (CLI): `npx skillmds@latest add serennity007/technical-analysis` - Raw SKILL.md: https://api.skillmd.com/api/skills/serennity007/technical-analysis/raw - Safety review: pending - Works with: Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex - Category: Coding & Dev Tools - Author: Serennity007 (https://skillmd.com/u/serennity007) - Updated: 2026-09-17 - Page: https://skillmd.com/skills/serennity007/technical-analysis --- # Technical Analysis ## ⚠️ Data Verification — Do This Before Any Analysis Before running any analysis, always retrieve the latest market data for the ticker: 1. **Fetch current price** — use web search or ask the user for the live price, 52-week range, and market cap. Never assume a price from training data. 2. **Confirm key figures** — recent earnings, revenue, key ratios (P/E, P/S, etc.) as applicable to this skill. 3. **State your data source** — note where the numbers came from (e.g., "Google Finance, June 19 2026") at the top of the output. 4. **Flag stale data explicitly** — if live data is unavailable, display this warning before proceeding: > ⚠️ **Live data unavailable.** The following analysis uses training-data estimates which may be significantly out of date. Verify all prices and metrics before making any decisions. Never silently substitute training-data estimates for current prices. When in doubt, ask the user to paste the latest quote. --- Perform technical analysis of US stocks using price action, chart patterns, and technical indicators. ## Chart Pattern Analysis 1. **Trend Identification** - Primary trend (uptrend, downtrend, sideways) - Trend strength and momentum - Support and resistance levels - Trendline analysis 2. **Classic Chart Patterns** - Head and shoulders, inverse H&S - Double/triple tops and bottoms - Cup and handle - Triangles (ascending, descending, symmetrical) - Flags and pennants - Wedges and channels 3. **Candlestick Patterns** - Reversal patterns (doji, hammer, shooting star, engulfing) - Continuation patterns - Multi-candle formations ## Technical Indicators 1. **Trend Indicators** - Moving averages (SMA, EMA: 20, 50, 200-day) - Moving average crossovers - MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) - ADX (Average Directional Index) 2. **Momentum Indicators** - RSI (Relative Strength Index) - Stochastic oscillator - Williams %R - Rate of Change (ROC) 3. **Volume Indicators** - Volume trends and patterns - On-Balance Volume (OBV) - Volume-weighted average price (VWAP) - Accumulation/Distribution line 4. **Volatility Indicators** - Bollinger Bands - Average True Range (ATR) - Volatility Index correlation ## Price Levels - Key support and resistance zones - Fibonacci retracement levels - Pivot points - Round number psychology - Gap analysis ## Market Context - Relative strength vs. market indices - Sector rotation analysis - Market breadth indicators - Correlation with related assets ## Moving Average Chart Analysis When given a stock ticker, always generate an MA chart and trade recommendation table as part of the analysis. This is the first required output section. ### MA Chart — Markdown Format Retrieve or estimate recent price data and compute the following MAs: | MA Period | Label | Trend Role | |-----------|-------|------------| | 30-day SMA | MA30 | Short-term trend | | 60-day SMA | MA60 | Intermediate trend | | 90-day SMA | MA90 | Medium-term trend | | 200-day SMA | MA200 | Long-term bull/bear line | | 365-day SMA | MA365 | Annual trend baseline | **Required output — MA Position Table:** ``` ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ MOVING AVERAGE CHART — [TICKER] [DATE] ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Current Price : $[PRICE] MA Value vs Price Signal ────── ──────── ───────── ─────────────────── MA30 $[val] ▲ +X.X% [Above/Below] ← Short-term MA60 $[val] ▲ +X.X% [Above/Below] ← Intermediate MA90 $[val] ▲ +X.X% [Above/Below] ← Medium-term MA200 $[val] ▼ -X.X% [Above/Below] ← Long-term bull/bear MA365 $[val] ▼ -X.X% [Above/Below] ← Annual baseline ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ MA Stack: [BULLISH / BEARISH / MIXED] (Bullish = MA30 > MA60 > MA90 > MA200 > MA365) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ``` **ASCII Trend Chart (last ~90 trading days):** ``` Price ($) [HIGH] ┤ ╭──╮ ╭──╮ ┤ ╭────╯ ╰────╯ ╰──╮ ← Price ┤────╯ ╰──╮ ┤· · · · · · · · · ╰── ← MA30 ┤══════════════════════════════ ← MA60 ┤- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ← MA90 [LOW] ┤══════════════════════════════ ← MA200 └─┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬──→ -90d -70d -50d -30d -10d Today Legend: ──── Price · · · MA30 ════ MA60/MA200 - - - MA90 ``` ### MA Crossover Signals Look for and report these high-significance crossover events: | Crossover | Type | Significance | |-----------|------|--------------| | MA30 crosses above MA60 | Golden Cross (short) | Short-term bullish momentum | | MA30 crosses below MA60 | Death Cross (short) | Short-term bearish reversal | | MA50 crosses above MA200 | Golden Cross (classic) | Major long-term bullish signal | | MA50 crosses below MA200 | Death Cross (classic) | Major long-term bearish signal | | Price reclaims MA200 from below | Breakout | Shift from bear to bull regime | | Price loses MA200 support | Breakdown | Shift from bull to bear regime | State: **most recent crossover event** + how many days ago it occurred. --- ## Trade Recommendation from MA Analysis After computing MAs, output a clear, specific trade recommendation table: ``` ╔══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗ ║ MA-BASED TRADE RECOMMENDATION — [TICKER] ║ ╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣ ║ Current Price : $[PRICE] ║ ╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣ ║ OPERATION │ ENTRY PRICE │ TARGET │ STOP-LOSS ║ ║ ───────────────┼───────────────┼───────────────┼────────────── ║ ║ [BUY/SELL/HOLD]│ $[price] │ $[price] │ $[price] ║ ╠══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╣ ║ Rationale: [1-sentence MA-based reason] ║ ║ Basis: MA[X] = $[val] acting as [support/resistance] ║ ║ R/R Ratio: 1 : [X.X] ║ ║ Horizon: [SHORT / SWING / LONG-TERM] ║ ╚══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝ ``` **Examples of well-formed recommendations:** - "$185 is a good BUY entry for AAPL — price pulled back to MA90 ($183) which held as support, targeting MA resistance at $198 with stop below MA200 ($175). R/R 1:2.1." - "$310 is a good SELL/SHORT entry for TSLA — price rejected MA60 ($312) as resistance while MA30 crossed below MA60, targeting $275 with stop at $320. R/R 1:2.5." - "HOLD for MSFT — price is compressing between MA30 ($415) and MA60 ($420); wait for a confirmed break above MA60 before adding." **Decision rules:** - Price above all 5 MAs in bullish stack → BUY on MA30/MA60 dips - Price below MA200 but reclaiming MA90 → speculative BUY with tight stop - Price below all 5 MAs → SELL/AVOID; short only if MA30 < MA60 confirmed - Price between MAs with no clear stack → HOLD, wait for resolution --- ## Chart Visualization Support When `--chart` flag is used, include chart specifications and data tables: ### 1. Price Chart with Moving Averages **Chart Type**: Candlestick chart with overlay lines **Data Table**: ``` Date Open High Low Close Volume SMA_20 SMA_50 SMA_200 2024-01-01 [price] [price] [price] [price] [volume] [price] [price] [price] 2024-01-02 [price] [price] [price] [price] [volume] [price] [price] [price] ... [Last 90 trading days for detailed view] ``` **Visual Specifications**: - Candlesticks: Green for up days, red for down days - SMA 20: Blue line (short-term trend) - SMA 50: Orange line (intermediate trend) - SMA 200: Purple line (long-term trend) - Support/resistance: Horizontal dashed lines with labels ### 2. Volume Bars **Chart Type**: Bar chart (synchronized with price chart) **Data Table**: ``` Date Volume Avg_Volume_20 Above_Avg Color 2024-01-01 [volume] [volume] [Yes/No] [Green/Red] 2024-01-02 [volume] [volume] [Yes/No] [Green/Red] ... ``` **Visual Specifications**: - Green bars: Volume on up days - Red bars: Volume on down days - Dashed line: 20-day average volume - Highlight bars exceeding 2x average volume ### 3. RSI Indicator Panel **Chart Type**: Line chart with overbought/oversold zones **Data Table**: ``` Date RSI_14 Overbought_70 Oversold_30 Signal 2024-01-01 [value] 70 30 [Neutral/OB/OS] 2024-01-02 [value] 70 30 [Neutral/OB/OS] ... ``` **Visual Specifications**: - RSI line: Blue - Overbought zone (>70): Red shaded area - Oversold zone (<30): Green shaded area - Midline (50): Dashed gray line - Divergence annotations if present ### 4. MACD Indicator Panel **Chart Type**: Line chart with histogram **Data Table**: ``` Date MACD Signal Histogram Crossover 2024-01-01 [value] [value] [value] [None/Bullish/Bearish] 2024-01-02 [value] [value] [value] [None/Bullish/Bearish] ... ``` **Visual Specifications**: - MACD line: Blue - Signal line: Red - Histogram: Green (positive), Red (negative) - Zero line: Black dashed - Crossover markers: Arrows or dots ### 5. Bollinger Bands **Chart Type**: Overlay on price chart **Data Table**: ``` Date Price BB_Upper BB_Middle BB_Lower %B Bandwidth 2024-01-01 [price] [price] [price] [price] [value] [value] 2024-01-02 [price] [price] [price] [price] [value] [value] ... ``` **Visual Specifications**: - Upper band: Red dashed line - Middle band (20 SMA): Blue solid line - Lower band: Green dashed line - Shaded area between bands: Light gray - Price line: Black candlesticks ### 6. Support & Resistance Levels **Annotation Overlay**: ``` Level Type Price Strength Touches Last Test Notes Resistance $[price] Strong 5 [date] Historical high Resistance $[price] Medium 3 [date] Recent rejection Support $[price] Strong 4 [date] Key accumulation zone Support $[price] Weak 2 [date] Minor bounce level Fibonacci 61.8% $[price] N/A - - Retracement level ``` ### 7. Pattern Recognition Annotations **Chart Overlays**: ``` Pattern Type Start Date End Date Status Target Risk/Reward Head & Shoulders 2024-01-15 2024-02-10 Confirmed $[price] 1:3.2 Ascending Triangle 2024-02-01 Current Forming $[price] 1:2.5 Flag Pattern 2024-02-05 2024-02-08 Complete $[price] 1:2.8 ``` **Visual Elements**: - Pattern boundaries: Colored rectangles or polygons - Trendlines: Dashed connecting lines - Breakout points: Arrows indicating direction - Target levels: Horizontal lines with labels ### ASCII Chart Example (Terminal Display) ``` Technical Chart: AAPL (Last 30 Days) Price ($) 180 ┤ ╭─╮ 175 ┤ ╭─────╯ ╰─╮ 170 ┤ ╭─────╯ ╰──╮ 165 ┤ ╭─────╯ ╰─╮ ← Current: $172.50 160 ┤ ╭─────╯ ╰── 155 ┤ ╭─────╯ SMA 20: $168.23 150 ┤──────╯ SMA 50: $165.80 └──┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬── ══════ Resistance: $178 1/15 1/22 1/29 2/05 2/12 2/19 2/26 ══════ Support: $155 RSI (14) 70 ┤ ● ← 68 (approaching OB) 50 ┤ ● ● 30 ┤ ● └──┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬── Volume (M) 100M┤ █ 75M┤ █ █ 50M┤ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ 25M┤ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ █ └──┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬─────┬── Signals: ↗ Bullish: Price above SMA 20 & 50 ● RSI approaching overbought (68) - potential pullback 📊 Volume increasing on up days - healthy uptrend 🎯 Target: $178 (resistance), Stop: $165 (below SMA 50) ``` ### Integration with Report Generator When `--chart` flag is used, output is optimized for `/report-generator`: - All chart data tables formatted for Chart.js/Plotly - Color schemes specified for consistent visualization - Annotations and overlays clearly defined - Time axis formatting (date range, granularity) - Y-axis scaling recommendations (log scale for long-term charts) ### Chart Configuration Recommendations **Timeframe Selection**: - **Day Trading**: 1-minute to 1-hour candles, last 5-10 days - **Swing Trading**: 4-hour to daily candles, last 3-6 months - **Position Trading**: Daily to weekly candles, last 1-3 years **Indicator Combinations**: - **Trend Following**: SMA 50/200 + MACD + ADX - **Mean Reversion**: Bollinger Bands + RSI + Stochastic - **Momentum**: RSI + MACD + Volume - **Breakout**: Bollinger Bands + Volume + Pattern Recognition --- ## Multi-Timeframe Analysis (MTF) ### Framework Analyze 3 timeframes simultaneously — higher timeframe establishes the trend, primary timeframe identifies the setup, lower timeframe refines the entry. Trade only in the direction of the higher timeframe trend. ### Trading Setups by Approach | Approach | Higher TF (Trend) | Primary TF (Setup) | Lower TF (Entry) | |-------------------|--------------------|---------------------|------------------| | Day Trading | Weekly | Daily | 1-Hour | | Swing Trading | Monthly | Weekly | Daily | | Position Trading | Quarterly | Monthly | Weekly | ### MTF Alignment Scoring | Alignment Score | Interpretation | |-----------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------| | 3/3 Bullish | Strong long setup — all timeframes confirm uptrend | | 3/3 Bearish | Strong short setup — all timeframes confirm downtrend | | 2/3 Aligned | Moderate setup — primary direction clear, minor conflict | | 1/3 Aligned | Weak/conflicting — avoid new positions, wait for clarity | | 0/3 Aligned | Contradiction across all timeframes — no trade | ### MTF Confluence Table | Timeframe | Trend Direction | Key Signal | Support | Resistance | Alignment | |------------|-----------------|---------------------|---------|------------|-----------| | Higher TF | | | | | | | Primary TF | | | | | | | Lower TF | | | | | | | **Overall**| | **Score: X/3** | | | | ### MTF Integration with `--chart` Flag When `--chart` is used, MTF analysis adds the following data tables for report generation: ``` MTF Summary Table: Timeframe Candle MA Trend RSI MACD Volume Trend Signal Weekly [data] [Up/Down] [val] [Bull/Bear] [Rising/Fall] [Bullish/Bearish/Neutral] Daily [data] [Up/Down] [val] [Bull/Bear] [Rising/Fall] [Bullish/Bearish/Neutral] 4-Hour [data] [Up/Down] [val] [Bull/Bear] [Rising/Fall] [Bullish/Bearish/Neutral] Alignment Score: X/3 ``` **Rule**: Never take a trade rated 1/3 or lower on MTF alignment. Wait for 2/3 minimum before entry. --- ## Volume Profile Analysis ### Key Concepts - **Point of Control (POC)**: The price level with the highest volume traded over the selected period. Acts as a magnetic price level — markets frequently return to and consolidate around the POC. - **Value Area (VA)**: The price range where approximately 70% of total volume was traded. Defines the "fair value zone" as agreed upon by market participants. - **Value Area High (VAH)**: Upper boundary of the Value Area. Strong resistance when price is approaching from below. - **Value Area Low (VAL)**: Lower boundary of the Value Area. Strong support when price is approaching from above. - **Low Volume Node (LVN)**: A price range with minimal volume. Price passes through LVNs quickly — acts as a gap zone. - **High Volume Node (HVN)**: A price range with dense volume. Price is magnetically attracted and consolidates around HVNs. ### Volume Profile Shapes | Shape | Description | Implication | |----------------------|-----------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------------------| | Normal (Bell Curve) | Symmetric distribution, clear POC in the middle | Balanced, range-bound market — fair value accepted | | P-Shape | High volume at top, thin tail at bottom | Buying tail below = short-covering rally, bullish | | b-Shape | High volume at bottom, thin tail at top | Selling tail above = distribution/top, bearish | | Double Distribution | Two high-volume nodes with low-volume gap between | Market in transition — break of LVN is directional | | Thin Profile | Volume evenly spread, no clear POC | Trending market — follow the trend, no anchoring | ### Volume Profile Trading Rules | Scenario | Interpretation | Action | |---------------------------------|---------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------| | Price > VAH (above Value Area) | Bullish — market accepted higher prices, strong trend | Buy breakouts above VAH with volume | | Price < VAL (below Value Area) | Bearish — market rejected higher prices, breakdown | Sell breakdowns below VAL with volume | | Price at POC | High acceptance zone — balanced, range-bound likely | Fade edges of range; buy VAL, sell VAH | | Price enters LVN (thin area) | Fast move — price moves quickly through low-volume gap | Expect acceleration; don't fade momentum | | Price at HVN | Magnetic zone — consolidation, range trade likely | Mean-reversion strategies appropriate | ### Session vs. Composite Profile - **Session Profile**: Volume profile for a single trading day or week. Identifies intraday POC, VAH, VAL. - **Composite Profile**: Aggregated over weeks, months, or custom date range. Identifies major structural levels. - **Integration rule**: Composite HVNs = major structural support/resistance levels. LVNs = breakout acceleration zones. Session POC = short-term magnet. --- ## Advanced Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud ### Five Components | Component | Calculation | Default Period | Purpose | |---------------|-------------------------------------------------|----------------|--------------------------------------| | Tenkan-sen | (9-period High + 9-period Low) / 2 | 9 periods | Short-term trend / momentum line | | Kijun-sen | (26-period High + 26-period Low) / 2 | 26 periods | Medium-term trend / baseline | | Senkou Span A | (Tenkan-sen + Kijun-sen) / 2, plotted 26 ahead | Leading | Fast cloud boundary | | Senkou Span B | (52-period High + 52-period Low) / 2, plotted 26 ahead | 52 periods | Slow cloud boundary | | Chikou Span | Current close plotted 26 periods back | Lagging | Confirms trend vs. historical price | The shaded area between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B is the **Kumo (Cloud)**. ### Bullish Ichimoku Signals | Signal | Condition | Strength | |---------------------------|---------------------------------------------------------|----------| | Price above Cloud | Price above both Span A and Span B | Base condition | | Green Cloud | Span A > Span B (cloud is green/bullish) | Trend support | | TK Cross (Bullish) | Tenkan-sen crosses above Kijun-sen | Medium signal | | TK Cross above Cloud | Bullish TK cross while price is above the cloud | Strong signal | | Chikou above price | Chikou Span is above historical price 26 periods ago | Confirms uptrend | | All 5 elements aligned | All conditions bullish simultaneously | Strongest signal | ### Bearish Ichimoku Signals | Signal | Condition | Strength | |---------------------------|---------------------------------------------------------|----------| | Price below Cloud | Price below both Span A and Span B | Base condition | | Red Cloud | Span B > Span A (cloud is red/bearish) | Trend resistance | | TK Cross (Bearish) | Tenkan-sen crosses below Kijun-sen | Medium signal | | TK Cross below Cloud | Bearish TK cross while price is below the cloud | Strong signal | | Chikou below price | Chikou Span is below historical price 26 periods ago | Confirms downtrend | | All 5 elements aligned | All conditions bearish simultaneously | Strongest signal | ### Kumo Twist - A **Kumo Twist** occurs when Senkou Span A and Span B cross — changing the cloud color from green to red (bearish twist) or red to green (bullish twist). - The cloud is plotted 26 periods ahead, so a Kumo Twist is an early warning signal visible in advance. - **Thin cloud**: Weak support/resistance — price can break through easily. - **Thick cloud**: Strong support/resistance — price will struggle to penetrate. ### Ichimoku Signal Strength Matrix | # Bullish Conditions Met | Signal Grade | Suggested Bias | |--------------------------|------------------------|-------------------| | 5/5 | Maximum Bullish | Strong long bias | | 4/5 | Strong Bullish | Long bias | | 3/5 | Moderate Bullish | Lean long | | 2/5 | Mixed / Transitioning | Neutral | | 1/5 or 0/5 | Bearish | Short bias | --- ## Options Flow Integration ### Put/Call Ratio Interpretation The Put/Call ratio measures options market sentiment — the ratio of put volume to call volume on a given day. | P/C Ratio | Interpretation | |-------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------| | < 0.6 | Extreme bullishness / complacency — contrarian warning (overbought)| | 0.6–0.7 | Bullish — call buyers dominating, positive sentiment | | 0.7–1.0 | Neutral — balanced activity | | 1.0–1.3 | Bearish fear — put buyers dominating, defensive hedging | | > 1.3 | Extreme fear — potential contrarian buy signal (maximum bearishness)| **CBOE Total P/C vs. Equity-Only P/C**: Equity-only P/C more directly reflects retail/institutional directional bets (excludes index hedging). ### Unusual Options Activity (UOA) Signals - **Large block trades**: Single orders of 500+ contracts, especially OTM (out-of-the-money) - **OTM sweeps**: Aggressive market orders sweeping multiple exchanges at ask — directional conviction - **Dark pool prints**: Large, off-exchange block prints can signal institutional accumulation/distribution - **Short-dated OTM calls on takeover candidates**: One of the most reliable pre-announcement signals - **Key UOA filters**: Volume > 5x open interest, expiry within 30 days, OTM strike, market order execution ### Implied Volatility (IV) vs. Historical Volatility (HV) | Condition | Description | Options Strategy Implication | |-------------|----------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------| | IV >> HV | Options are expensive — market pricing elevated moves | Premium selling opportunity (write options) | | IV ≈ HV | Options fairly priced | No directional vol edge | | IV << HV | Options are cheap — market underpricing moves | Buying options (long vol opportunity)| - **IV Rank (IVR)**: Current IV relative to its 52-week range. IVR > 50 = elevated; IVR < 25 = depressed. - **IV Percentile**: % of days in the past year where IV was lower than current. More robust than IV Rank. ### Max Pain Theory - **Max Pain** = The strike price at which the total value of all outstanding options (puts and calls) would expire worthless — the price that causes maximum loss for option buyers. - Near expiration, market prices have a tendency to gravitate toward the max pain level (due to dealer hedging flows). - Most useful in the final 5–7 days before monthly options expiration (OPEX). - **Application**: If stock is significantly above max pain near OPEX, short-term mean reversion is possible. ### Gamma Exposure (GEX) and Spot Price Impact - **Gamma** measures how much a dealer's delta changes per $1 move in the underlying. - **Positive GEX (Dealer Long Gamma)**: Dealers buy into dips and sell into rallies — suppresses volatility, market stays range-bound. - **Negative GEX (Dealer Short Gamma)**: Dealers sell into dips and buy into rallies — amplifies moves, increases volatility. - **GEX Flip Level**: The price at which market transitions from positive to negative gamma — crossing this level can accelerate directional moves. - **Practical rule**: Low realized volatility + tightening range = likely high positive GEX environment. Breakouts become more powerful when negative GEX zone is entered. > **Note**: This section provides interpretive framework. Actual real-time options flow data, IV readings, and GEX levels must be sourced from the user's options data provider (e.g., Market Chameleon, Unusual Whales, SpotGamma, Thinkorswim). --- ## Output Provide technical analysis report with: - Current trend and momentum assessment - Key chart patterns identified - Support and resistance levels - Technical indicator signals - Volume and volatility analysis - Entry/exit points and price targets - Stop-loss recommendations - Risk/reward ratio for trade setups - Time horizon (short-term, swing, position trading) - MTF alignment score and summary table - Ichimoku Cloud status (price above/below/inside cloud) - Volume Profile POC, VAH, VAL levels ### Enhanced Output (with --chart flag) - All standard output sections above - Chart data tables for price, volume, and indicators - MTF confluence table with signal direction per timeframe - ASCII charts for terminal display - Pattern recognition overlays with annotations - Support/resistance level visualizations - Volume Profile data (POC, VA, LVN/HVN zones) - Technical indicator panels (RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku) - Chart specifications for HTML report generation - Color-coded signals (bullish/bearish/neutral) Keep analysis objective and data-driven, avoiding emotional bias. ## Standard Signal Output All analysis concludes with this standardized block: ``` ## Thesis Invalidation After delivering the analysis signal, specify what would reverse it: **If signal is BULLISH — thesis breaks if:** - Price closes below the MA200 / key support level identified in this analysis on above-average volume - MA30 crosses below MA60 (death cross) AND RSI drops below 40 - Macro regime shift: Fed pivots hawkish unexpectedly, recession probability >60% **If signal is BEARISH — thesis breaks if:** - Price closes above key resistance / MA200 level with volume confirmation - price reclaims MA200 AND MA30 turns up AND volume confirms - Fundamental improvement: surprise earnings beat >20% with guidance raise **Re-run this analysis when:** - [ ] Next earnings release - [ ] Price moves ±15% from current level - [ ] 60 days have elapsed - [ ] Material news event (acquisition, leadership change, regulatory decision) ╔══════════════════════════════════════════════╗ ║ INVESTMENT SIGNAL ║ ╠══════════════════════════════════════════════╣ ║ Signal: BULLISH / NEUTRAL / BEARISH ║ ║ Confidence: HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW ║ ║ Horizon: SHORT / MEDIUM / LONG-TERM ║ ║ Score: X.X / 10 ║ ╠══════════════════════════════════════════════╣ ║ Action: BUY / HOLD / SELL ║ ║ Conviction: STRONG / MODERATE / WEAK ║ ╚══════════════════════════════════════════════╝ ``` Score Guide: 8.0–10.0 Strongly Bullish | 6.0–7.9 Moderately Bullish | 4.0–5.9 Neutral | 2.0–3.9 Moderately Bearish | 0.0–1.9 Strongly Bearish Confidence: HIGH (strong data, clear signals) | MEDIUM (mixed signals) | LOW (limited data, conflicting signals) Horizon: SHORT-TERM (1 week–3 months) | MEDIUM-TERM (3 months–1 year) | LONG-TERM (1+ years)