Tradermonty@Claude Trading Skills

Screen post-earnings gap-up stocks for PEAD (Post-Earnings Announcement Drift) patterns. Analyzes weekly candle formation to detect red candle pullbacks and breakout signals. Supports two input modes - FMP earnings calendar (Mode A) or earnings-trade-analyzer JSON output (Mode B). Use when user asks about PEAD screening, post-earnings drift, earnings gap follow-through, red candle breakout patterns, or weekly earnings momentum setups.

Generate a one-page Market Posture summary with net exposure ceiling, growth-vs-value bias, participation breadth, and new-entry-allowed vs cash-priority recommendation by integrating signals from breadth, regime, and flow analysis skills.

Detect and analyze trending market themes across sectors. Use when user asks about current market themes, trending sectors, sector rotation, thematic investing, what themes are hot or cold, or wants to identify bullish and bearish market narratives with lifecycle analysis.

Select the best MetaTrader 5 trading robots (Expert Advisors) that have not been backtested yet, by running the MT5 Strategy Tester from the command line through a 3-round pipeline. Use when the user wants to batch-test MT5 bots/EAs, screen robots across all symbols, optimize EA parameters, or move candidate bots to finalists based on profit, drawdown, positive months/years and equity-curve criteria. Runs terminal64.exe headless; Windows + MetaTrader 5 required at run time.

Comprehensive portfolio analysis using Alpaca MCP Server integration to fetch holdings and positions, then analyze asset allocation, risk metrics, individual stock positions, diversification, and generate rebalancing recommendations. Use when user requests portfolio review, position analysis, risk assessment, performance evaluation, or rebalancing suggestions for their brokerage account.

This skill should be used when analyzing weekly price charts for stocks, stock indices, cryptocurrencies, or forex pairs. Use this skill when the user provides chart images and requests technical analysis, trend identification, support/resistance levels, scenario planning, or probability assessments based purely on chart data without consideration of news or fundamental factors.

Track investment theses across their lifecycle — from screening idea to closed position with postmortem. Register theses from screener outputs, manage state transitions, attach position sizing, review due dates, and generate postmortem reports with P&L and MAE/MFE analysis. Trigger when user says "register thesis", "track this idea", "thesis status", "review due", "close position", "postmortem", or "trading journal".

Convert Kanchi-style dividend investing into a repeatable US-stock operating procedure. Use when users ask for かんち式配当投資, dividend screening, dividend growth quality checks, PERxPBR adaptation for US sectors, pullback limit-order planning, or one-page stock memo creation. Covers screening, deep dive, entry planning, and post-purchase monitoring cadence.

Detects market top probability using O'Neil Distribution Days, Minervini Leading Stock Deterioration, and Monty Defensive Sector Rotation. Generates a 0-100 composite score with risk zone classification. Use when user asks about market top risk, distribution days, defensive rotation, leadership breakdown, or whether to reduce equity exposure. Focuses on 2-8 week tactical timing signals for 10-20% corrections.

Statistical arbitrage tool for identifying and analyzing pair trading opportunities. Detects cointegrated stock pairs within sectors, analyzes spread behavior, calculates z-scores, and provides entry/exit recommendations for market-neutral strategies. Use when user requests pair trading opportunities, statistical arbitrage screening, mean-reversion strategies, or market-neutral portfolio construction. Supports correlation analysis, cointegration testing, and spread backtesting.

Fetch official FXMacroData macro release-calendar events for trade planning, macro regime checks, and event-risk filters. Use before CPI, NFP, GDP, PCE, retail sales, PMI, and central-bank decision windows.

Synthesize the three Jason Shapiro contrarian-pipeline verdicts (COT crowding, news-reaction failure, weekly price-action confirmation) into one actionable setup_status via a fail-closed precedence state machine. Pure, offline synthesis -- no network, no API keys, no computation beyond validation and precedence.

Detect structural macro regime transitions (1-2 year horizon) using cross-asset ratio analysis. Analyze RSP/SPY concentration, yield curve, credit conditions, size factor, equity-bond relationship, and sector rotation to identify regime shifts between Concentration, Broadening, Contraction, Inflationary, and Transitional states. Run when user asks about macro regime, market regime change, structural rotation, or long-term market positioning.

Runs a declarative strategy spec over OHLCV bars with the manifoldbt Rust engine, pairs the fill log into round trips, and emits the eight inputs the backtest-expert skill scores. Use when the user wants to execute a backtest, measure a rule they have described, obtain win rate / average win / average loss / max drawdown from real bars, or feed backtest-expert with measured numbers instead of estimates.

Generate Minervini-style breakout trade plans from VCP screener output with worst-case risk calculation, portfolio heat management, and Alpaca-compatible order templates (stop-limit bracket for pre-placement, limit bracket for post-confirmation). Use when user has VCP screener results and wants actionable trade plans with entry/stop/target levels and position sizing.

Quantifies crypto market regime health using free, keyless public data (CoinGecko + Binance funding). Generates a 0-100 composite score across 6 components (100 = risk-on) with a posture recommendation. No API key required. Use when user asks about crypto market conditions, whether it's alt season, BTC dominance, crypto risk-on vs risk-off, funding rates, or whether crypto exposure should be increased or reduced.

Calculate contract-based futures position sizes from a direction, entry, and stop-loss, using verified per-symbol contract specs (multiplier, tick size, tick value). Use when the user asks how many futures contracts to trade, wants to size a futures position (ES, NQ, ZB, GC, CL, 6E/E6, VX, BT, ...), or is handing off a contrarian-setup-gate READY_FOR_PLAN direction/invalidation_level for sizing. Pure, offline calculation -- no API keys, no network.

Separate a strategy return series into declared baseline exposure and residual edge with returns-based OLS attribution, HAC inference, rolling stability, alternate-baseline sensitivity, and regime breakdowns. Use when evaluating whether backtest, out-of-sample, or live returns contain independent alpha beyond market, equal-weight, momentum, sector, or user-supplied factor returns; when explaining whether a drawdown came from baseline exposure or strategy-specific behavior; or when a strategy needs an attribution quality gate after backtesting. Do not use for holdings-based Brinson attribution, feature-level Shapley explanations, or analysis from summary metrics without a dated return series.

Detect crowded speculative positioning in CFTC futures markets (COT report analysis) to find contrarian setups using Jason Shapiro's methodology. Screens large-speculator ("non-commercial") net positioning across 65 futures markets (indices, rates, FX, metals, energy, crypto) via the FMP Commitment of Traders API, computes a 3-year and 26-week COT Index per market, and classifies extremes as CROWDED_LONG / CROWDED_SHORT. Use when the user asks about COT report analysis, crowded positioning, "who is trapped", speculative positioning extremes, contrarian futures setups, or wants to run Jason Shapiro-style analysis. This skill automates crowding DETECTION only (step 1 of 5) — it does not generate trade signals by itself.

Analyze recent post-earnings stocks using a 5-factor scoring system (Gap Size, Pre-Earnings Trend, Volume Trend, MA200 Position, MA50 Position). Scores each stock 0-100 and assigns A/B/C/D grades. Use when user asks about earnings trade analysis, post-earnings momentum screening, earnings gap scoring, or finding best recent earnings reactions.

Evaluate account-level drawdown circuit breaker rules from trader-memory-core state and decide whether new trade risk is allowed today. Uses realized P&L, losing-streak cooldowns, and weekly/monthly drawdown limits without any external API.

Review skills in any project using a dual-axis method: (1) deterministic code-based checks (structure, scripts, tests, execution safety) and (2) LLM deep review findings. Use when you need reproducible quality scoring for `skills/*/SKILL.md`, want to gate merges with a score threshold (for example 90+), or need concrete improvement items for low-scoring skills. Works across projects via --project-root.

Recommend the right trading workflow, skillset, API profile, and setup path from a natural-language goal. Use this as the on-ramp when a user expresses a trading or investing goal and needs to know which skill/workflow to use, where to start, or whether something works without paid API keys — e.g. "where do I start", "which skill should I use", "I want to swing trade only when the market is favorable", "what works without API keys", "どれを使えばいい", "API キー無しで 使えるものは". Routes and explains only; it never executes trades or auto-runs other skills, and it is honest when no workflow has shipped yet.

Evaluate a local pre-trade checklist before manual order entry, blocking planless, oversized, revenge-risk, market-regime-blocked, or circuit-breaker-blocked entries while journaling the decision for trader-memory-core review.

Comprehensive market environment analysis and reporting tool. Analyzes global markets including US, European, Asian markets, forex, commodities, and economic indicators. Provides risk-on/risk-off assessment, sector analysis, and technical indicator interpretation. Triggers on keywords like market analysis, market environment, global markets, trading environment, market conditions, investment climate, market sentiment, forex analysis, stock market analysis, 相場環境, 市場分析, マーケット状況, 投資環境.

Screen US equities for parabolic exhaustion patterns and generate conditional pre-market short plans, then evaluate intraday trigger fires from live 5-min bars. Phase 1 daily 5-factor scorer (MA extension / acceleration / volume climax / range expansion / liquidity), Phase 2 per-candidate plans for ORL break / first-red 5-min / VWAP fail with explicit borrow / SSR / manual-confirmation gating, Phase 3 one-shot intraday FSM that detects trigger fires and resolves concrete share counts. Covers Phase 1 + Phase 2 + Phase 3.

Judge whether a market FAILED to react to news favorable to a crowded speculative position — step 2 of Jason Shapiro's COT contrarian process. Consumes a cot-contrarian-detector report (or an explicit direction) plus a Claude-curated events JSON, fetches the underlying price series with a documented fallback chain, and produces a fail-closed CONFIRMED / NOT_CONFIRMED / INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE verdict using a statistically validated drift-significance test (not a naive failure-ratio, which false-confirms on pure noise). Generic beyond COT — reusable for PEAD and macro-crowding news-failure checks. Use when the user asks to check news-failure confirmation, whether a crowded market "shrugged off" good/bad news, or wants to run Shapiro step 2 on a CROWDED_LONG/CROWDED_SHORT market.

Autonomously screen NYSE, Nasdaq, and NYSE American operating-company stocks for undervalued-growth/GARP opportunities using forward same-basis valuation, driver-derived EPS/FCF forecasts, primary-source financial verification, SBC and dilution controls, sector and cycle normalization, auditable candidate-pool coverage, and fail-closed final reporting. Use when asked to find, screen, rank, or refresh US undervalued-growth stocks, including minimal requests with no ticker list or parameters.

Provide US dividend tax and account-location workflow for Kanchi-style income portfolios. Use when users ask about qualified vs ordinary dividends, 1099-DIV interpretation, REIT/BDC distribution treatment, holding-period checks, or taxable-vs-IRA account placement decisions for dividend assets.