Results for “causal-interventions”

Provides guidance for performing causal interventions on PyTorch models using pyvene's declarative intervention framework. Use when conducting causal tracing, activation patching, interchange intervention training, or testing causal hypotheses about model behavior.

Provides guidance for performing causal interventions on PyTorch models using pyvene's declarative intervention framework. Use when conducting causal tracing, activation patching, interchange intervention training, or testing causal hypotheses about model behavior.

Frame causal questions and estimate treatment effects with assumption checks. Use when: (1) policy impact analysis, (2) A/B interpretation beyond correlation, (3) confounding diagnostics. NOT for: medical/legal conclusions without experts.

Causal inference framework for answering "does X cause Y?" beyond correlation. DoWhy (Microsoft Research) provides the identify-estimate-refute loop: define a causal graph (DAG), identify the causal effect using backdoor/frontdoor/instrumental variable criteria, estimate treatment effects with multiple estimators, and validate results with automated refutation tests. Use when: distinguishing causation from correlation, estimating treatment effects (ATE, ATT, CATE), designing and analyzing A/B tests with confounders, using instrumental variables, performing counterfactual reasoning ("what would have happened if..."), validating causal claims with sensitivity analysis, working with observational data where randomization is impossible, or any analysis where the question is "what is the CAUSAL effect of X on Y" rather than just "how do X and Y relate?"

Analyzes prompt injection, retrieval poisoning, memory contamination, planner drift, and tool-boundary abuse in agentic systems, mapping trust boundaries and proving exploit chains.

Use `analysis-agent` when engineering intent lacks desired behavior, boundaries, constraints, or completion signals. Skip requests with an accepted Engineering Brief and no-repo direct-answer work.

Design a wise systems intervention from an existing analysis. Maps proposed actions against Meadows' leverage points, checks for unintended consequences, and generates alternatives.

Patterns for Bayesian inference in R using brms, including multilevel models, DAG validation, and marginal effects. Use when performing Bayesian analysis.

Econometrics skill for machine learning methods in causal inference. Activates when the user asks about: "causal forest", "generalized random forest", "GRF", "double machine learning", "DML", "debiased machine learning", "LASSO for variable selection", "post-LASSO", "heterogeneous treatment effects", "CATE", "conditional average treatment effect", "BLP analysis", "CLAN analysis", "causal tree", "honest estimation", "因果森林", "双重机器学习", "异质性处理效应", "条件平均处理效应", "LASSO变量选择", "机器学习因果推断", "去偏机器学习"

Econometrics skill for machine learning methods in causal inference. Activates when the user asks about: "causal forest", "generalized random forest", "GRF", "double machine learning", "DML", "debiased machine learning", "LASSO for variable selection", "post-LASSO", "heterogeneous treatment effects", "CATE", "conditional average treatment effect", "BLP analysis", "CLAN analysis", "causal tree", "honest estimation", "因果森林", "双重机器学习", "异质性处理效应", "条件平均处理效应", "LASSO变量选择", "机器学习因果推断", "去偏机器学习"

`analysis-agent`/`task-agent`/`review-agent`: use when symptoms, logs, metrics, regressions, or incidents need cause analysis; skip when no diagnosis decision exists.

Optimize prompts via process goals (controllable behavioral instructions) rather than outcome goals (sparse end-result demands). Grounded in sports psychology meta-analysis showing process goals (d=1.36) vastly outperform outcome goals (d=0.09). Use when designing prompts, optimizing LLM steering, implementing CoT/decomposition patterns, or building automatic prompt optimization pipelines. Instantiates surrogate loss paradigm for discrete prompt space.