Results for “prediction-intervals”

Provides guidance on using the Aeon library for time series forecasting, covering model selection, implementation, and evaluation.

Optimizes, improves, and debugs LLM prompts using production trace data, evaluations, and annotations from Arize AI.

Analiza series temporales: tendencia, estacionalidad y pronóstico con Prophet, statsmodels y ML, incluyendo descomposición, tests de estacionariedad y evaluación contra baselines.

Predicts gene and transcript structure from a DNA sequence using the hosted Genomic Intelligence API, producing a report and JSON output.

Bayesian modeling with PyMC. Build hierarchical models, MCMC (NUTS), variational inference, LOO/WAIC comparison, posterior checks, for probabilistic programming and inference.

Recommend model families and validation strategy based on data, constraints, and objective. Use when: (1) choosing algorithms, (2) balancing bias/variance, (3) planning benchmark baselines. NOT for: final legal/compliance sign-off.

Design a spaced retrieval schedule for any topic list and timeline. Use when planning units, term sequences, or revision programmes.

Econometrics skill for panel data models. Activates when the user asks about: "panel data", "fixed effects", "random effects", "Hausman test", "within estimator", "between estimator", "two-way fixed effects", "clustered standard errors panel", "FE model", "RE model", "pooled OLS", "unobserved heterogeneity", "panel regression", "first difference estimator", "entity fixed effects", "time fixed effects", "面板数据", "固定效应", "随机效应", "豪斯曼检验", "双向固定效应", "面板回归", "个体效应", "时间效应", "一阶差分"

Use for writing, reviewing, debugging, testing, or diagnosing Python Bayesian models built directly with PyMC, including Model, coords/dims, Data, random variables, potentials, posterior sampling, prior/posterior predictive checks, and InferenceData output. Trigger on model geometry, shape errors, divergences, sampler choice, mutable prediction data, and probabilistic validation. Do not use for Bambi formula models, NumPyro/JAX programs, ArviZ-only analysis of existing draws, deterministic optimization, or general statistics without PyMC code.

Mathematical AI interpretability with sheaf cohomology, spectral analysis, causal inference, and hallucination prevention

Perform fast genomic interval operations (overlap, nearest, merge, coverage, cluster, complement, subtract, count-overlaps), multi-format bioinformatics I/O, DataFusion SQL, and pileup on Polars DataFrames via the polars-bio library, serving as a scalable alternative to bioframe and bedtools.

v5.6.0 joint multi-TF model: single model per symbol with broadcast 1Hour context replaces dual 15Min/1Hour models. Trigger: (1) replacing weighted-voting model aggregation, (2) adding broadcast features to vectorized env, (3) limited training data + worried about overfitting from doubling obs_dim, (4) backtest builder mismatch with newer feature counts.

Statistical modeling toolkit. OLS, GLM, logistic, ARIMA, time series, hypothesis tests, diagnostics, AIC/BIC, for rigorous statistical inference and econometric analysis.

Proposes exactly one personal side-project idea per invocation, sized to a 1-3 day MVP. Targets CLI, automation, LLM, DX, productivity, and data-viz angles; avoids clichés like TODO apps, weather apps, and pomodoro timers. Output is an 8-section brief including a ready-to-paste coding-agent prompt. Use for morning/daily idea rituals and weekend-hack ideation. Don't use for existing-product feature proposals (Spark), dialogue brainstorming (Riff), or prototype implementation (Forge).

Use for writing, reviewing, debugging, or testing Python analysis of Bayesian inference results with ArviZ, including 1.x DataTree groups, legacy InferenceData inputs, xarray dimensions and coordinates, conversion, summaries, R-hat/ESS/MCSE diagnostics, posterior predictive checks, PSIS-LOO, Pareto-k, and model comparison. Trigger on chain/draw shape errors, mislabeled groups, flattened samples, missing log likelihood, or misleading diagnostic claims. Do not use to construct or sample PyMC, NumPyro, or Bambi models, for generic plotting, or for deterministic statistics without Bayesian draws.

Predict continuous values from temporal sequences using aeon's time series regressors, covering convolutional, deep learning, distance-based, feature-based, hybrid, interval-based, and shapelet-based approaches.

Optimize prompts via process goals (controllable behavioral instructions) rather than outcome goals (sparse end-result demands). Grounded in sports psychology meta-analysis showing process goals (d=1.36) vastly outperform outcome goals (d=0.09). Use when designing prompts, optimizing LLM steering, implementing CoT/decomposition patterns, or building automatic prompt optimization pipelines. Instantiates surrogate loss paradigm for discrete prompt space.

Measures inference latency of binarized, 8-bit, and 32-bit convolutional layers on edge devices to evaluate the efficiency and speedup of the Larq Compute Engine framework compared to standard implementations.

Bayesian modeling with PyMC. Build hierarchical models, MCMC (NUTS), variational inference, LOO/WAIC comparison, posterior checks, for probabilistic programming and inference.

Bayesian modeling and probabilistic programming with PyMC — hierarchical models, MCMC (NUTS) sampling, variational inference, LOO/WAIC model comparison, and posterior predictive checks. Use when fitting Bayesian or hierarchical models, estimating posteriors and credible intervals, running probabilistic inference, or comparing models with LOO/WAIC. Part of the AlterLab Academic Skills suite.