dvy1987 Second Order
Think through the consequences of consequences — not just what happens immediately, but what happens next, and next after that, across time. Load when a decision looks obviously good or obviously bad on initial read, when the user is optimising for a short-term outcome that might create a long-term problem, when unintended consequences are a concern, or when deep-thinking diagnoses a second-order frame. Triggers on "what are the downstream effects", "what happens after that", "unintended consequences", "think ahead on this", "long-term vs short-term", or "what comes after that". Based on Howard Marks second-level thinking and Farnam Street mental models. Most powerful for decisions with delayed consequences or systemic effects.
