Results for “econometrics”

Econometrics skill for instrumental variables and treatment effect estimation. Activates when the user asks about: "instrumental variables", "IV estimation", "2SLS", "two-stage least squares", "endogeneity", "weak instruments", "first stage", "Sargan test", "overidentification", "propensity score matching", "PSM", "average treatment effect", "ATT", "LATE", "local average treatment effect", "endogenous regressor", "instrument validity", "工具变量", "两阶段最小二乘", "内生性", "弱工具变量", "倾向得分匹配", "平均处理效应", "处理效应", "局部平均处理效应"

Called by /plot to generate and upgrade econometric figures to top-journal standards.

Econometrics skill for Difference-in-Differences (DID) analysis. Activates when the user asks about: "difference in differences", "DID", "DiD", "diff-in-diff", "parallel trends", "treatment group", "control group", "pre-treatment", "post-treatment", "policy evaluation", "natural experiment", "staggered DID", "event study regression", "two-way fixed effects DID", "callaway santanna", "sun and abraham", "双重差分", "倍差法", "平行趋势", "处理组", "对照组", "政策评估", "事件研究", "交错DID", "渐进处理"

Draft economics papers with proper structure and academic style

Monitors a watchlist of Polymarket markets and surfaces meaningful shifts in price, volume, comments, or resolution proximity, with position context and optional Bankr integration.

Calculate portfolio risk metrics including VaR, CVaR, Sharpe, Sortino, and drawdown analysis. Use when measuring portfolio risk, implementing risk limits, or building risk monitoring systems.

Query Polymarket: markets, prices, orderbooks, history.

Ecomode deprecated shim

Checklist of empirical robustness tests for finance/economics papers

Compares prediction market probabilities from Polymarket with options-implied probabilities to identify mispricing signals and potential arbitrage opportunities.

Prediction markets data - Polymarket, Kalshi markets, prices, positions, and trades. Use when: the user needs market data, stock analysis, watchlists, or portfolio workflows.

Design in-game economies including currencies, progression systems, loot tables, monetization, and resource flow. Use when building the economic backbone of a game. Also trigger for "game economy", "loot table", "drop rates", "currency system", "progression design", "monetization strategy", or "reward system".

Computes the AUROC metric using torchmetrics, handling binary, multiclass, and multilabel tasks with configurable thresholds and averaging.

OpenTelemetry observability patterns: traces, metrics, logs, context propagation, OTLP export, Collector pipelines, and troubleshooting

Perform an exhaustive, multi-pass proofread and copy-edit of an applied-microeconomics manuscript to top-economics-journal standards (AER, QJE, Econometrica, ReStud), checking prose, equations, table notes, footnotes, and citations for avoidable errors. Use before submitting or circulating an empirical economics paper.

Guide for writing the abstract of an academic economics paper. Use this skill whenever the user asks for help writing, drafting, revising, or structuring an abstract for an economics paper - whether empirical micro, development economics, applied economics, or related fields. Also trigger when the user mentions "abstract," "paper summary," or asks how to compress their findings into a short description. This skill synthesizes best practices from David Evans (CGDev), Marc Bellemare, and patterns observed in top economics journals (AER, QJE, AEJ: Applied, etc.).

Brainstorm a longlist of benefits and costs for a project. Outputs two clean tables (benefits and costs), each with materiality (H/M/L), a cash flow tag (cash in / cash out / non-cash), a quantification method, and a monetisation method. Supports HMT Green Book, EU Better Regulation Guidelines, World Bank, Asian Development Bank, and the Victorian Treasury High Value High Risk (HVHR) framework.