Results for “prediction-market”

Query Polymarket: markets, prices, orderbooks, history.

Deposit Base USDC into PMFI pARBITRAGE vault for prediction market arbitrage exposure, and withdraw pARB back to USDC through Bankr.

Prediction market arbitrage & alpha scout. Searches Polymarket and Kalshi for the same event, runs cross-platform arb math (including fees), and ranks opportunities by profitability. Use when asked to "find arb", "scout markets", "find edge", or scan a specific topic across prediction markets.

This skill should be used when building prediction market integrations, implementing betting functionality, or querying Polymarket odds. Covers market search, odds checking, and position management.

Monitors a watchlist of Polymarket markets and surfaces meaningful shifts in price, volume, comments, or resolution proximity, with position context and optional Bankr integration.

Calculate TAM, SAM, and SOM with explicit assumptions, methods, and caveats for market sizing.

Monitors a watchlist of Kalshi prediction markets for price moves, volume spikes, resolution proximity, and kill-criterion triggers, with cross-venue arbitrage detection against paired Polymarket markets adjusted for fees and slippage.

Quantifies market top probability using O'Neil Distribution Days, Minervini leading stock deterioration, and Monty defensive sector rotation, producing a 0-100 composite score with risk zone classification for tactical 2-8 week timing signals.

Generates at most one token recommendation and one prediction-market pick per run, each with a falsifiable thesis, entry, sizing, and kill criterion. Returns NO_PICK when no candidate meets the bar.

Provides a single 0-100 cycle score blending VIX, SPY IV Rank, Put/Call ratio, and valuation percentile to determine offense vs. defense posture, based on Howard Marks' market cycle framework.

Expert framework for assessing and achieving product-market fit. Combines PMF measurement methodologies, Sean Ellis survey, retention analysis, segment-specific PMF, and post-PMF scaling strategy. Use when determining if product has PMF, measuring user engagement, running PMF surveys, or deciding whether to scale or keep iterating.

Analyzes global market conditions across US, European, and Asian indices, forex, commodities, and economic indicators to produce structured market reports with risk sentiment assessment.

Extract warm prospects from competitor and industry post engagers across LinkedIn, Twitter, and blogs

Detect and evaluate arbitrage opportunities across sportsbooks and prediction markets. Calculate guaranteed-profit scenarios, middle bets, and cross-platform price discrepancies. Use when comparing odds across books, calculating arb percentages, evaluating middle opportunities, or building odds-comparison workflows. Also trigger for 'arb bet', 'sure bet', 'arbitrage', 'odds comparison', 'middle bet', 'risk-free bet', or 'line shopping'.