Results for “statistical-arbitrage”

Detect and evaluate arbitrage opportunities across sportsbooks and prediction markets. Calculate guaranteed-profit scenarios, middle bets, and cross-platform price discrepancies. Use when comparing odds across books, calculating arb percentages, evaluating middle opportunities, or building odds-comparison workflows. Also trigger for 'arb bet', 'sure bet', 'arbitrage', 'odds comparison', 'middle bet', 'risk-free bet', or 'line shopping'.

Find and analyze arbitrage opportunities across prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. Use when you need to match equivalent markets, compare prices, and verify whether a spread looks actionable.

Deposit Base USDC into PMFI pARBITRAGE vault for prediction market arbitrage exposure, and withdraw pARB back to USDC through Bankr.

Use when selecting a statistical test with AI consultation, when assumptions need checking against the actual data, when an analysis plan or decision log must be written before running anything, or when results need APA-style reporting with effect sizes.

ADR Fleet

Prediction market arbitrage & alpha scout. Searches Polymarket and Kalshi for the same event, runs cross-platform arb math (including fees), and ranks opportunities by profitability. Use when asked to "find arb", "scout markets", "find edge", or scan a specific topic across prediction markets.

Strategic patterns for solving intractable problems through cascading approximation, self-improvement, and heterogeneous evaluation from DeepMind's AlphaGo system

Compares prediction market probabilities from Polymarket with options-implied probabilities to identify mispricing signals and potential arbitrage opportunities.

当需要在众多机会中筛选出投入产出比最高的选项，以最小化风险并最大化潜在回报时

The choice is not about scale or sophistication.

The living embodiment of WinDAGs V3 — the AI orchestration platform where agents accumulate genuine expertise. Knows the full constitution, convention process, tradition positions, behavioral contracts, and derivative documents. Advises on architecture with ADR provenance, explains decisions with tradition attribution, grows source material as we build. Activate on "windags", "WinDAGs", "constitution", "convention", "why did we decide", "what does WinDAGs say", "how should we build", "architecture decision", "tradition", "behavioral contract". NOT for building specific DAGs (use windags-architect), creating individual skills (use skill-architect), or managing skill libraries (use windags-librarian).

Match a user request to the right skill using trigger matching, project context, and conversation history. Score ambiguity 1–10 and resolve it using context signals or a single clarifying question. Load when project-orchestrator needs to route a request, or when multiple skills could match and the right one is unclear. Also triggers on "which skill should handle this", "route this request", "I'm not sure which skill to use", "disambiguate this", "skill routing". Called by project-orchestrator for request routing. For finding whether a skill exists for a capability, use skill-finder instead.

Avalia riscos e oportunidades do caso civel e sugere os proximos passos processuais. Pondera probabilidade de exito, onus da prova, custos/beneficios de acordo x litigio, momento de tutela de urgencia, escolha de pedidos e de via (conhecimento x cumprimento), e calibra a postura. Use quando o operador disser qual a estrategia, vale a pena recorrer, devo fazer acordo, quais os riscos, proximo passo, ou pedir analise estrategica do caso.

Legal-specific Argument Ranking Engine. Hodnotí právní argumenty 17-sloupcovým scoringem (síla, bezpečnost, dopad, riziko + 10 legal-specific kritérií: Compliance s novelou 2026, Evidence backing, Time-sensitivity, per-document mapping, R-static/R-reversal split, Tom-weight bonus, C-XX/M-XX/N-XX/D-XX integrace). Output: priorizovaný seznam argumentů s kategoriemi CORE/SUPPORT/CONTEXT/EXCLUDED/SUMMARY a per-document bundles (PR/§909/40_06/195). Použití: pre-prioritizace argumentů před F11.x review, Phase 2 Verify input, DÁVKA 3, výživné L04, AT podání. VŽDY použij tento skill, když Tom (nebo legal/strat) zmíní: /lare, lare, argument ranking, ARE matrix, score arguments, prioritize arguments, argument bundle, CORE/SUPPORT/CONTEXT/EXCLUDED, ARE_F11, LARE_F11, legal argument evaluation, argument scoring, compliance scoring, Tom-weight.