Results for “bayesian-modeling”

Provides guidance on using the Aeon library for time series forecasting, covering model selection, implementation, and evaluation.

Perform time series machine learning tasks including classification, regression, clustering, forecasting, anomaly detection, segmentation, and similarity search using a scikit-learn compatible Python toolkit.

Use for writing, reviewing, debugging, testing, or diagnosing Bayesian regression and hierarchical models built with Bambi formulas, Model, Family/Likelihood/Link, Prior, fit, prior predictive, and predict. Trigger on common versus group-specific terms, categorical coding, family/link choice, automatic prior scaling, missing rows, PyMC backend settings, and InferenceData predictions. Do not use for hand-built PyMC graphs, NumPyro programs, ArviZ-only analysis of existing draws, frequentist statsmodels formulas, or generic pandas work.

Build predictive models for sports and event outcomes using statistical methods, ELO ratings, regression, Monte Carlo simulation, and machine learning. Use when creating power rankings, projecting game outcomes, estimating win probabilities, or building a quantitative edge. Also trigger for 'prediction model', 'ELO rating', 'power rankings', 'win probability', 'Monte Carlo', 'regression model', 'expected goals', or 'predictive analytics'.