Results for “outcome-expectations”

Queries Polymarket prediction market data via public REST APIs: markets, prices, orderbooks, and history.

Query Polymarket: markets, prices, orderbooks, history.

Comprehensive results analysis for empirical research: generate publication-quality descriptive statistics and balance tables, interpret regression coefficients with economic magnitude and effect sizes, assess identification assumption diagnostics, and produce structured results memos. Use when asked to create summary statistics, Table 1, balance tests, interpret results, assess economic significance, or write results narratives.

Evidence-first current-state research workflow for ECC. Use when the user wants fresh facts, comparisons, enrichment, or a recommendation built from current public evidence and any supplied local context.

Analyzes evaluation results by requiring a stated hypothesis before examining data, then compares expectations to actual result files to prevent post-hoc rationalization.

Query Polymarket prediction market data — search markets, get prices, orderbooks, and price history. Read-only via public REST APIs, no API key needed.

Returns structured prediction-market data for Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Opinion, Predict.Fun, dFlow, and UMA oracle via a local API, covering markets, cross-venue search, leaderboards, smart money, wallet analytics, identity clustering, and resolution status.