Results for “link-prediction”

Convert daily market observations and news reactions into structured edge hints, with optional LLM augmentation, outputting a canonical hints.yaml for downstream concept synthesis.

Compares prediction market probabilities from Polymarket with options-implied probabilities to identify mispricing signals and potential arbitrage opportunities.

Generates at most one token recommendation and one prediction-market pick per run, each with a falsifiable thesis, entry, sizing, and kill criterion. Returns NO_PICK when no candidate meets the bar.