aAAaqwq ๐ ๅ ๅฏๆฅ็็ๆ Skill v6.0
็ๆฌ: 6.0 | ๆฅๆ: 2026-05-03 | ้ฃๆ ผ: ็จณๅฅ + ้ฃๆๅๅฑ
v6ๆ ธๅฟ๏ผPolymarketๅธๅบๆฆ็ + Binanceๅนฟๅบๆฐ้ป = ็ปผๅๅคๆญๆนๅใYESๅNO้ฝๅฏไปฅไนฐใ
ๆ ธๅฟ้ป่พ
Polymarketไปทๆ ผ = ๅธๅบ่ฎคไธบ็ๆฆ็๏ผๅฐ้ๅฎ๏ผ
Binanceๅนฟๅบๆฐ้ป = ้ช่ฏๅธๅบๅคๆญๆฏๅฆๅ็๏ผไฟกๆฏๆบ๏ผ
็ปผๅๅคๆญ โ ไนฐYESๆNO
ไธๆฏ้ขๆตๅธๅบ๏ผๆฏ้ช่ฏๅธๅบใๅธๅบ่ฏด80%ไผๅ็๏ผๆฐ้ปไนๆฏๆ โ ไนฐYESใๆฐ้ปไธๆฏๆ โ ไธไบคๆใ
ไธคๅฑๅ็ฑป
| ๅฑ็บง | YESไปทๆ ผๅบ้ด | ๅซไน | ไปไฝไธ้ |
|---|---|---|---|
| ็จณๅฅๅฑ | 80-96ยข | ๅธๅบ่ฎคไธบๅคงๆฆ็ๅ็๏ผๆฐ้ป็กฎ่ฎคๅฐฑไนฐ | $4/็ฌ |
| ้ฃๆๅฑ | 60-80ยข | ๅธๅบ่ฎคไธบไธญๆฆ็๏ผ้่ฆๆฐ้ป+่ถๅฟ้ฝๆฏๆ | $2.5/็ฌ |
NOไบคๆ: ๅฝYESไปทๆ ผๅจ4-40ยขๆถ๏ผNOไปทๆ ผๅจ60-96ยขๅบ้ดใๆฐ้ปๆฏๆNOๆนๅๅฐฑไนฐNOใ
ๆป้ฃ้ฉไธ้: $8 | Bankroll: $26-28
ๅณ็ญๆต็จ
1. ๆซๆPolymarketๅธๅบ๏ผscan_markets.py๏ผ
2. ่ทๅ่ถๅฟๆฐๆฎ๏ผtrend_data.py โ trend_analysis.py๏ผ
3. ่ทๅๆฐ้ปๆนๅ๏ผnews_direction.json๏ผ
4. ๅฏนๆฏไธชๅธๅบ๏ผๅฐ่ฏYESๅNOไธคไธชๆนๅ:
a. ๅๅฑ๏ผ็จณๅฅ/้ฃๆ/็ฆๆญข๏ผ
b. ๅคๆญๆฐ้ป+่ถๅฟ+ไปทๆ ผไฝ็ฝฎๆฏๅฆๆฏๆ
c. ็จณๅฅๅฑ๏ผๅช้ไธ่ขซๅ้ฉณ๏ผ้จๆงไฝ๏ผ
d. ้ฃๆๅฑ๏ผ้่ฆ็งฏๆๆฏๆ๏ผ้จๆง้ซ๏ผ
5. ้ๆไผๆนๅ โ ่ฎก็ฎไปไฝ โ ่พๅบ
็กฌๆง่งๅ
| ่งๅ | ่ฏดๆ |
|---|---|
| UP/DOWN็็ฆๆญข | 50/50่ตๅ๏ผๆ edge |
| T<3h็ฆๆญข | ๆตๅจๆงๅคชๅทฎ๏ผ็ป็ฎๅคช่ฟ |
| YES>96ยข็ฆๆญข | 2% feeๅ่ดEV |
| YES<4ยข็ฆๆญข | ็บฏ่ตๅ |
| ๅ็ฌโค$4 | ไปไฝๆงๅถ |
| ๆป้ฃ้ฉโค$8 | ๅๆฃ้ฃ้ฉ |
็ปผๅ่ฏๅ
ๆฐ้ปๆฏๆๆนๅ: +0.40 ร news_confidence
่ถๅฟๆฏๆๆนๅ: +0.30
ไปทๆ ผๅจๆญฃ็กฎไพง: +0.20
ๆถ้ดโฅ12h: +0.10
ๆฐ้ปไธๆฏๆ: -0.15
่ถๅฟไธๆฏๆ: -0.10
็จณๅฅๅฑ้จๆง: โฅ0.15 (ไธ่ขซๅ้ฉณๅณๅฏ)
้ฃๆๅฑ้จๆง: โฅ0.35 (้่ฆ็งฏๆๆฏๆ)
ไปไฝ่ฎก็ฎ
็จณๅฅๅฑ: position = min($4, bankroll ร 15%) ร confidence
้ฃๆๅฑ: position = min($2.5, bankroll ร 15%) ร confidence
ๅๆต้ช่ฏ
10่ฝฎๅๆฐๆต่ฏ๏ผๆฐๆฎ: 230ไธชๅธๅบ๏ผBinanceๆฅ็บฟOHLC๏ผ:
| Round | Trades | WR | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1: ๅบๅv6 | 19 | 95% | +$2.40 | +9.2% |
| R2: ็จณๅฅๆฉๅฐ96ยข | 21 | 95% | +$2.50 | +9.6% |
| R9: NOๅบ้ดๆฉๅฐ50ยข | 22 | 86% | +$1.98 | +7.6% |
| R10: ๅ จๅฎฝ | 24 | 88% | +$2.08 | +8.0% |
ๆไผๅๆฐ: R2 โ ็จณๅฅๅฑๆฉๅฑๅฐ96ยข๏ผ95%่็
ๅฏไธไบๆไบคๆ: BTC >$78K NO @6ยข๏ผBTCๅๆถจ๏ผไบ$0.94
่ๆฌ็ฎๅฝ
scripts/
โโโ scan_markets.py # Gamma API ๆซๆ๏ผv11๏ผ้ๅช็๏ผ
โโโ trend_data.py # Binance 4h K็บฟ
โโโ trend_analysis.py # ่ถๅฟๅๆ
โโโ decision_engine.py # v6 ๅณ็ญๅผๆ
โโโ trade.py # ไบคๆๆง่ก
โโโ get_balance_stable.py # ไฝ้ขๆฅ่ฏข
โโโ hunt.sh # ็ปไธ็ฎก็บฟ (scanโtrendโdecideโexecute)
ๆฐๆฎๆฅๆบ
- Polymarket Gamma API:
https://gamma-api.polymarket.com - Binance:
https://api.binance.com/api/v3/klines - ๆฐ้ป: Binanceๅนฟๅบ + CoinTelegraph + CoinDesk
ๅๅฒ
| ็ๆฌ | ๆฅๆ | ่ฏดๆ |
|---|---|---|
| v6.0 | 2026-05-03 | ็ฎๅ้ป่พ๏ผPolymarketๆฆ็+ๆฐ้ป้ช่ฏ๏ผ็จณๅฅ/้ฃๆๅๅฑ๏ผYES/NOๅๅฏ๏ผ95%WR |
| v15.0 | 2026-05-03 | R1-R9้ๆ๏ผBSๆฆ็๏ผ่ฟๅบฆๅคๆๅ |
| v14.0 | 2026-05-03 | prob_fusionโๅธๅบ้ๅซๆฆ็๏ผ100%skip rate |
ๆๅๆดๆฐ: 2026-05-03 | Simons (CQO)