aAAaqwq HFT Quant Expert
Quantitative trading expertise for DeFi and crypto derivatives.
When to Use
- Building trading strategies and signals
- Implementing risk management
- Calculating position sizes
- Backtesting strategies
- Analyzing volatility and correlations
Workflow
Step 1: Define Signal
Calculate z-score or other entry signal.
Step 2: Size Position
Use Kelly Criterion (0.25x) for position sizing.
Step 3: Validate Backtest
Check for lookahead bias, survivorship bias, overfitting.
Step 4: Account for Costs
Include gas + slippage in profit calculations.
Quick Formulas
# Z-score
zscore = (value - rolling_mean) / rolling_std
# Sharpe (annualized)
sharpe = np.sqrt(252) * returns.mean() / returns.std()
# Kelly fraction (use 0.25x)
kelly = (win_prob * win_loss_ratio - (1 - win_prob)) / win_loss_ratio
# Half-life of mean reversion
half_life = -np.log(2) / lambda_coef
Common Pitfalls
- Lookahead bias - Using future data
- Survivorship bias - Only existing assets
- Overfitting - Too many parameters
- Ignoring costs - Gas + slippage
- Wrong annualization - 252 daily, 365*24 hourly