How do I install the Macro Regime skill?

Run npx skillmds@latest add agentii-ai/macro-regime in your terminal (requires Node.js), paste this page's agent-chat prompt into Claude, Cursor, or any MCP-connected agent, or download the SKILL.md file and copy it into your agent's skills directory.

Is Macro Regime safe to use?

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Which AI agents work with Macro Regime?

This skill is tagged as working with Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex. SKILL.md is an open format, so most agents that read a skills directory can load it too.

Is Macro Regime free to use?

Yes. Installing skills from SkillMD is free, and the skill stays under its author's original license.

Who published Macro Regime?

agentii-ai (@agentii-ai) published this skill. Their other Agent Skills are listed on their SkillMD profile.

Macro Regime by agentii-ai — Agent Skill

Name: Macro Regime
Author: agentii-ai

Macro Regime

Macro regime analysis, bull bear market detection, business cycle analysis, macro environment assessment, interest rate cycle, yield curve analysis, monetary policy, fiscal policy, global macro, central bank posture, credit cycle, recession probability, expansion regime, macro regime shift, stagflation detection

agentii-ai 3371a7d 3 files · 4.7 KB Updated Sep 17, 2026

File contents

Defaults

Parameter	Default Value	Rationale
lookback_quarters	8	2yr captures cycle inflection while remaining responsive
regime_indicators	yield_curve, credit_spreads, PMI, VIX, fed_posture	Standard macro regime detection set
probability_weighting	bear/base/bull	Three-scenario framework per institutional standard

Preflight

Run the canonical pre-flight sequence: MCP health probe, ticker resolution, workspace style override, memory load, and coverage check. See contracts/preflight.md. Propagate X-Agentii-Trace header per contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md.

Data Source Priority (mandatory order)

Knowledge entries FIRST — query gold.knowledge_entries for L1 regime frameworks
Historical analogues SECOND — query search_by_analogue(market_regime) for matching cases
Real-time data LAST — supplemental only

Methodology

Retrieval Scope

structured_only

Retrieval Strategy

Query knowledge entries for L1 frameworks via search_knowledge_entries
Query search_by_analogue for historical regime precedents
Supplement with real-time data

Temporal Scope

See frontmatter temporal_scope block.

Tool Allowlist

See frontmatter allowed_tools.

Protocol

Regime Detection — classify current macro environment using yield curve, credit spreads, PMI, VIX, Fed posture
Framework Application — apply relevant L1 framework from references/knowledge-frameworks.md
Analogue Retrieval — query search_by_analogue(market_regime) for historical precedents
Probability Weighting — Bear/Base/Bull scenarios with transition catalysts

Output File

{ticker}/{YYYY-MM-DD_HHMM}_macro-regime_{affix}.md

Output Structure

Executive Summary — current regime with probability weights
Regime Indicators — yield curve, credit spreads, PMI, VIX with readings
Framework Analysis — applied L1 frameworks with evidence
Historical Analogues — matched cases with /v/cases/ citations
Scenario Matrix — Bear/Base/Bull with catalysts
Risk Factors and Coverage Gaps

Error Handling

Error	Fallback
No L1 frameworks	Proceed with standard indicators; flag degraded
search_by_analogue empty	Note no analogue found; do not fabricate
Real-time quote unavailable	Use last-known values with staleness flag

Memory Load

Load prior context before retrieval. See contracts/memory-load.md.

Snapshot

Post-session synthesis. See contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md.

Final Summary (TUI)

Include ### Key Citations block with 0-10 clickable /v/ URLs for cited frameworks and cases.

References

references/knowledge-frameworks.md
contracts/citation-and-memory.md
contracts/output-frontmatter-schema.md
contracts/memory-load.md
contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md
contracts/preflight.md

---name: macro-regimedescription: Macro regime analysis, bull bear market detection, business cycle analysis, macro environment assessment, interest rate cycle, yield curve analysis, monetary policy, fiscal policy, global macro, central bank posture, credit cycle, recession probability, expansion regime, macro regime shift, stagflation detection---## Defaults| Parameter | Default Value | Rationale ||-----------|---------------|-----------|| lookback_quarters | 8 | 2yr captures cycle inflection while remaining responsive || regime_indicators | yield_curve, credit_spreads, PMI, VIX, fed_posture | Standard macro regime detection set || probability_weighting | bear/base/bull | Three-scenario framework per institutional standard |## PreflightRun the canonical pre-flight sequence: MCP health probe, ticker resolution, workspace style override, memory load, and coverage check. See `contracts/preflight.md`. Propagate X-Agentii-Trace header per `contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md`.## Data Source Priority (mandatory order)1. Knowledge entries FIRST — query gold.knowledge_entries for L1 regime frameworks2. Historical analogues SECOND — query search_by_analogue(market_regime) for matching cases3. Real-time data LAST — supplemental only## Methodology### Retrieval Scopestructured_only### Retrieval Strategy1. Query knowledge entries for L1 frameworks via search_knowledge_entries2. Query search_by_analogue for historical regime precedents3. Supplement with real-time data### Temporal ScopeSee frontmatter temporal_scope block.### Tool AllowlistSee frontmatter allowed_tools.### Protocol1. Regime Detection — classify current macro environment using yield curve, credit spreads, PMI, VIX, Fed posture2. Framework Application — apply relevant L1 framework from references/knowledge-frameworks.md3. Analogue Retrieval — query search_by_analogue(market_regime) for historical precedents4. Probability Weighting — Bear/Base/Bull scenarios with transition catalysts## Output File`{ticker}/{YYYY-MM-DD_HHMM}_macro-regime_{affix}.md`## Output Structure1. Executive Summary — current regime with probability weights2. Regime Indicators — yield curve, credit spreads, PMI, VIX with readings3. Framework Analysis — applied L1 frameworks with evidence4. Historical Analogues — matched cases with /v/cases/ citations5. Scenario Matrix — Bear/Base/Bull with catalysts6. Risk Factors and Coverage Gaps## Error Handling| Error | Fallback ||-------|----------|| No L1 frameworks | Proceed with standard indicators; flag degraded || search_by_analogue empty | Note no analogue found; do not fabricate || Real-time quote unavailable | Use last-known values with staleness flag |## Memory LoadLoad prior context before retrieval. See `contracts/memory-load.md`.## SnapshotPost-session synthesis. See `contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md`.## Final Summary (TUI)Include ### Key Citations block with 0-10 clickable /v/ URLs for cited frameworks and cases.## References- `references/knowledge-frameworks.md`- `contracts/citation-and-memory.md`- `contracts/output-frontmatter-schema.md`- `contracts/memory-load.md`- `contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md`- `contracts/preflight.md`

Frequently asked questions