How do I install the Rate Cycle skill?

Run npx skillmds@latest add agentii-ai/rate-cycle in your terminal (requires Node.js), paste this page's agent-chat prompt into Claude, Cursor, or any MCP-connected agent, or download the SKILL.md file and copy it into your agent's skills directory.

Is Rate Cycle safe to use?

This skill has not completed SkillMD's automated safety review yet. SkillMD never runs a skill's scripts for you; review the SKILL.md before installing.

Which AI agents work with Rate Cycle?

This skill is tagged as working with Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex. SKILL.md is an open format, so most agents that read a skills directory can load it too.

Is Rate Cycle free to use?

Yes. Installing skills from SkillMD is free, and the skill stays under its author's original license.

Who published Rate Cycle?

agentii-ai (@agentii-ai) published this skill. Their other Agent Skills are listed on their SkillMD profile.

Rate Cycle by agentii-ai — Agent Skill

Name: Rate Cycle
Author: agentii-ai

Rate Cycle

Interest rate cycle analysis, Fed policy analysis, yield curve dynamics, duration management, central bank rate trajectory, monetary tightening easing, bond market analysis, rate forecast, forward curve, dot plot interpretation, rate hike cut cycle

agentii-ai 0123cca 4 files · 12.6 KB Updated Sep 17, 2026

File contents

Defaults

Parameter	Default Value	Rationale
lookback_quarters	8	Captures full rate cycle from hiking to cutting
key_indicators	fed_funds, 2s10s_spread, dot_plot, inflation_breakevens	Core rate cycle indicators

Preflight

Run canonical pre-flight per contracts/preflight.md. Propagate X-Agentii-Trace per contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md.

Data Source Priority

Knowledge entries (L1 rate cycle frameworks) -> 2. search_by_analogue(market_regime: rate-shock) -> 3. Real-time data

Methodology

Retrieval Scope

structured_only

Retrieval Strategy

Query knowledge entries for rate cycle frameworks; query search_by_analogue for historical rate cycles; supplement with real-time data.

Temporal Scope

See frontmatter temporal_scope block.

Tool Allowlist

See frontmatter allowed_tools.

Protocol

Rate Cycle Phase — classify hiking/plateau/cutting/emergency
Yield Curve Analysis — 2s10s spread, 3m10y, breakeven inflation
Framework Application — Taylor Rule, duration management
Analogue Retrieval — past rate cycles matching current phase

Output File

{ticker}/{YYYY-MM-DD_HHMM}_rate-cycle_{affix}.md

Output Structure

Executive Summary — key findings in 2-3 sentences
Core Analysis — applied frameworks with specific evidence
Quantitative Indicators — key metrics and benchmarks
Historical Analogues — matched cases with /v/cases/ citations
Risk Assessment — key risk factors and mitigants
Coverage Gaps — data limitations and degraded flags Rate Cycle Phase 3. Yield Curve Decomposition 4. Central Bank Posture 5. Duration and Curve Positioning 6. Historical Analogues 7. Scenarios

Error Handling

Error	Fallback
No frameworks	Proceed with standard indicators; flag degraded

Memory Load

See contracts/memory-load.md.

Snapshot

See contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md.

Final Summary (TUI)

Include ### Key Citations block with 0-10 clickable /v/ URLs.

References

references/knowledge-frameworks.md
contracts/citation-and-memory.md
contracts/output-frontmatter-schema.md
contracts/memory-load.md
contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md
contracts/preflight.md

---name: rate-cycledescription: Interest rate cycle analysis, Fed policy analysis, yield curve dynamics, duration management, central bank rate trajectory, monetary tightening easing, bond market analysis, rate forecast, forward curve, dot plot interpretation, rate hike cut cycle---## Defaults| Parameter | Default Value | Rationale ||-----------|---------------|-----------|| lookback_quarters | 8 | Captures full rate cycle from hiking to cutting || key_indicators | fed_funds, 2s10s_spread, dot_plot, inflation_breakevens | Core rate cycle indicators |## PreflightRun canonical pre-flight per `contracts/preflight.md`. Propagate X-Agentii-Trace per `contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md`.## Data Source Priority1. Knowledge entries (L1 rate cycle frameworks) -> 2. search_by_analogue(market_regime: rate-shock) -> 3. Real-time data## Methodology### Retrieval Scopestructured_only### Retrieval StrategyQuery knowledge entries for rate cycle frameworks; query search_by_analogue for historical rate cycles; supplement with real-time data.### Temporal ScopeSee frontmatter temporal_scope block.### Tool AllowlistSee frontmatter allowed_tools.### Protocol1. Rate Cycle Phase — classify hiking/plateau/cutting/emergency2. Yield Curve Analysis — 2s10s spread, 3m10y, breakeven inflation3. Framework Application — Taylor Rule, duration management4. Analogue Retrieval — past rate cycles matching current phase## Output File`{ticker}/{YYYY-MM-DD_HHMM}_rate-cycle_{affix}.md`## Output Structure1. **Executive Summary** — key findings in 2-3 sentences2. **Core Analysis** — applied frameworks with specific evidence3. **Quantitative Indicators** — key metrics and benchmarks4. **Historical Analogues** — matched cases with /v/cases/ citations5. **Risk Assessment** — key risk factors and mitigants6. **Coverage Gaps** — data limitations and degraded flags Rate Cycle Phase 3. Yield Curve Decomposition 4. Central Bank Posture 5. Duration and Curve Positioning 6. Historical Analogues 7. Scenarios## Error Handling| Error | Fallback ||-------|----------|| No frameworks | Proceed with standard indicators; flag degraded |## Memory LoadSee `contracts/memory-load.md`.## SnapshotSee `contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md`.## Final Summary (TUI)Include ### Key Citations block with 0-10 clickable /v/ URLs.## References- `references/knowledge-frameworks.md`- `contracts/citation-and-memory.md`- `contracts/output-frontmatter-schema.md`- `contracts/memory-load.md`- `contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md`- `contracts/preflight.md`

Frequently asked questions