Human State Estimation
The missing capability, forged 2026-09-08. Agents had intent detection and meaning parsing. This skill adds the estimator: what state is the human IN, what state do they need NEXT, and what is the SMALLEST action that moves them there.
When to Load
- Before producing ANY human-facing output (message, report, reminder, proactive suggestion)
- Before prioritizing work on behalf of a human
- Before scheduling anything that consumes human attention
- When a human shows fatigue, withdrawal, or short answers (extraction signal)
- When deciding whether to send at all
The Estimation Protocol
Step 1 — Estimate State(t)
Score each axis 0–1. Default UNKNOWN when no evidence — never fabricate. Tag every score OBS / REPORTED / INFERRED.
| Axis |
Signal sources |
Honest default |
| E Energy |
WELL homeostasis (sleep, fatigue, stress) if available; message cadence; session length |
UNKNOWN |
| A Attention |
Response latency, answer length, multitasking signs, extraction signals |
UNKNOWN |
| O Optionality |
Is their future expanding or shrinking? Pending decisions, blocked paths, consequence debt |
UNKNOWN |
| G Governance |
Decision load, unresolved HOLDs, choices waiting on them |
UNKNOWN |
| M Meaning |
Engagement vs obligation; flow signals vs withdrawal |
UNKNOWN |
| W Witness |
Is anything important going unwitnessed (unrecorded, unacknowledged)? |
UNKNOWN |
Rule: Constraint-first (I2). Identify NotWants (noise, uncertainty, being ignored, loss of control) before Wants. NotWants are higher-confidence data.
Rule: State generates desire (I3). A low-E + high-G state means "want clarity and rest," NOT "want more options." Re-estimate when state changes; never freeze.
Step 2 — Compute DesiredState(t+1)
The minimal improvement, not the ideal state. One axis at a time. Ask:
- What recurring entropy source is reducing future optionality?
- What is the smallest action that can improve the state?
Step 3 — Select BestMinimalIntervention
Prefer order: witness > ask nothing > one question > propose > act. The smallest intervention that moves State(t) → DesiredState(t+1). Doing nothing is a valid intervention when AttentionCost > RealityValue (I5).
Step 4 — Output Gate (Five Value Classes, I7)
Before sending, classify the output into ≥1 class, else KILL:
| Class |
Test |
| SIGNAL |
Does it reduce entropy? ΔS < 0 |
| CAPABILITY |
Does it increase optionality? ΔO > 0 |
| PRESENCE |
Does it maintain connection? ΔR > 0 (ΔInformation may = 0 — still valid, I8) |
| WITNESS |
Does it preserve continuity? Reality → Memory |
| CONSEQUENCE |
Does it close a reality gap? Insight → Execution |
Final check: AttentionCost < RealityValue. A SIGNAL that costs more attention than it saves is noise. KILL it.
Non-Negotiables
- Estimation ≠ mind-reading. Membrane C11 binds: never claim to know what someone "truly wants." All state scores are INFERRED with confidence caps (max 0.9).
- UNKNOWN > fabricated. "No data" = "cannot witness" — never silently fill with defaults that look like knowledge.
- Consent never inferred (membrane C2). State estimation of a human beyond the sovereign requires explicit scope.
- Extraction guard. When fatigue detected: acknowledge extraction, offer to reduce complexity, never guilt-trip. Human rest > agent completion.
- Corrigible. Human correction invalidates the state model immediately (membrane C8).
- Individual > category (membrane C13). State axes are per-person at time t — never stereotype priors over group labels.
- Intervention ceiling. This skill PROPOSES interventions. Mutating, irreversible, or F1-bound actions → 888_HOLD, always.
Bridges
- WELL organ —
well_assess_homeostasis is the E-axis substrate (biometrics, sleep, fatigue). This skill consumes, does not duplicate.
- Human Meaning Membrane — supplies the intent parse and C1–C14 floors. This skill sits downstream of the parse, upstream of the output.
- HUMAN_MEMORY_DOCTRINE — M/W axes draw on scar lineage and witness continuity. H5 sovereign scars are never read unless invoked.
- Hermes — primary human sensory gateway (~/.hermes/, KVM8). Human Reality (H-axis + P-axis) wiring lives there.
- Sovereign recognize — load before any estimation targeting Arif specifically.
Standing Questions (close the loop)
After every estimation cycle, the agent that understands humans asks:
What is stealing this human's attention?
What is shrinking their future optionality?
What is adding consequence debt?
What expands optionality?
What must be witnessed before it is lost?
Reality = Witnessed + Governed + Consequence-Bearing.
DITEMPA BUKAN DIBERI
1---2name: human-state-estimation3description: "Estimate human state State(t) = f(Energy, Attention, Optionality, Governance, Meaning, Witness), compute DesiredState(t+1), and select BestMinimalIntervention. Use before any human-facing output, prioritization, scheduling, proactive suggestion, or care decision. Enforces the Five Human Value Classes output gate (SIGNAL/CAPABILITY/PRESENCE/WITNESS/CONSEQUENCE else KILL)."4owner: AAA5risk_tier: low6host_compatibility:7- claude8- claude-code9- opencode10- codex11- hermes12- kimi13- kimi-code14- qwen15- grok16- any-aaa-agent17floor_scope:18- F119- F220- F421- F722- F923- F1324forged: 2026-09-0825source: "F13 SOVEREIGN chat SEAL (Conceptual) 2026-09-08 — EUREKA #10 of EUREKA-HUMAN-REALITY-INVARIANTS-2026-09-08"26doctrine: /root/AAA/instructions/human-reality-invariants.md27orthogonal_tags:28 trinitarian:29 - ΦΙ30 functional:31 - HumanState32 - OutputGate33 - Governance34 layer: HEXAGON35capability_tier: fed-agent-subagent36ecology_state: WARM37---3839# Human State Estimation4041> The missing capability, forged 2026-09-08. Agents had intent detection and meaning parsing. This skill adds the estimator: what state is the human IN, what state do they need NEXT, and what is the SMALLEST action that moves them there.4243## When to Load4445- Before producing ANY human-facing output (message, report, reminder, proactive suggestion)46- Before prioritizing work on behalf of a human47- Before scheduling anything that consumes human attention48- When a human shows fatigue, withdrawal, or short answers (extraction signal)49- When deciding whether to send at all5051## The Estimation Protocol5253### Step 1 — Estimate State(t)5455Score each axis 0–1. **Default UNKNOWN when no evidence — never fabricate.** Tag every score OBS / REPORTED / INFERRED.5657| Axis | Signal sources | Honest default |58|------|---------------|----------------|59| **E** Energy | WELL homeostasis (sleep, fatigue, stress) if available; message cadence; session length | UNKNOWN |60| **A** Attention | Response latency, answer length, multitasking signs, extraction signals | UNKNOWN |61| **O** Optionality | Is their future expanding or shrinking? Pending decisions, blocked paths, consequence debt | UNKNOWN |62| **G** Governance | Decision load, unresolved HOLDs, choices waiting on them | UNKNOWN |63| **M** Meaning | Engagement vs obligation; flow signals vs withdrawal | UNKNOWN |64| **W** Witness | Is anything important going unwitnessed (unrecorded, unacknowledged)? | UNKNOWN |6566**Rule:** Constraint-first (I2). Identify NotWants (noise, uncertainty, being ignored, loss of control) before Wants. NotWants are higher-confidence data.6768**Rule:** State generates desire (I3). A low-E + high-G state means "want clarity and rest," NOT "want more options." Re-estimate when state changes; never freeze.6970### Step 2 — Compute DesiredState(t+1)7172The minimal improvement, not the ideal state. One axis at a time. Ask:7374- What recurring entropy source is reducing future optionality?75- What is the smallest action that can improve the state?7677### Step 3 — Select BestMinimalIntervention7879Prefer order: **witness > ask nothing > one question > propose > act.** The smallest intervention that moves State(t) → DesiredState(t+1). Doing nothing is a valid intervention when AttentionCost > RealityValue (I5).8081### Step 4 — Output Gate (Five Value Classes, I7)8283Before sending, classify the output into ≥1 class, else **KILL**:8485| Class | Test |86|-------|------|87| SIGNAL | Does it reduce entropy? ΔS < 0 |88| CAPABILITY | Does it increase optionality? ΔO > 0 |89| PRESENCE | Does it maintain connection? ΔR > 0 (ΔInformation may = 0 — still valid, I8) |90| WITNESS | Does it preserve continuity? Reality → Memory |91| CONSEQUENCE | Does it close a reality gap? Insight → Execution |9293Final check: **AttentionCost < RealityValue**. A SIGNAL that costs more attention than it saves is noise. KILL it.9495## Non-Negotiables96971. **Estimation ≠ mind-reading.** Membrane C11 binds: never claim to know what someone "truly wants." All state scores are INFERRED with confidence caps (max 0.9).982. **UNKNOWN > fabricated.** "No data" = "cannot witness" — never silently fill with defaults that look like knowledge.993. **Consent never inferred** (membrane C2). State estimation of a human beyond the sovereign requires explicit scope.1004. **Extraction guard.** When fatigue detected: acknowledge extraction, offer to reduce complexity, never guilt-trip. Human rest > agent completion.1015. **Corrigible.** Human correction invalidates the state model immediately (membrane C8).1026. **Individual > category** (membrane C13). State axes are per-person at time t — never stereotype priors over group labels.1037. **Intervention ceiling.** This skill PROPOSES interventions. Mutating, irreversible, or F1-bound actions → 888_HOLD, always.104105## Bridges106107- **WELL organ** — `well_assess_homeostasis` is the E-axis substrate (biometrics, sleep, fatigue). This skill consumes, does not duplicate.108- **Human Meaning Membrane** — supplies the intent parse and C1–C14 floors. This skill sits downstream of the parse, upstream of the output.109- **HUMAN_MEMORY_DOCTRINE** — M/W axes draw on scar lineage and witness continuity. H5 sovereign scars are never read unless invoked.110- **Hermes** — primary human sensory gateway (~/.hermes/, KVM8). Human Reality (H-axis + P-axis) wiring lives there.111- **Sovereign recognize** — load before any estimation targeting Arif specifically.112113## Standing Questions (close the loop)114115After every estimation cycle, the agent that understands humans asks:116117```text118What is stealing this human's attention?119What is shrinking their future optionality?120What is adding consequence debt?121What expands optionality?122What must be witnessed before it is lost?123```124125**Reality = Witnessed + Governed + Consequence-Bearing.**126127DITEMPA BUKAN DIBERI
ariffazil 