Aeon Narrative Tracker

aeon-narrative-tracker

Decision-grade narrative map. The point isn't to print today's zeitgeist — it's to catch phase transitions and flag when the story is moving outcomes (reflexivity).

Signal sources

1. xAI x_search (optional XAI_API_KEY) — pre-fetched cache of 12-15 narrative threads from the last 3 days.
2. WebSearch — DefiLlama, Kaito mindshare, broader web.
3. Memory diff — narrative labels from prior runs, to compute transitions.

Output

Lead with transitions and reflexivity. Positions next. Static map last.

TRANSITIONS
  NEW: agentic-payments — first merchant adoption announcement
  PROMOTED: restaking — Rising → Peak (ETF leak)
  DEMOTED: memecoin-szn — Peak → Fading (60% vol drop WoW)
  DEAD: parallel-EVM — gone

REFLEXIVITY
  prediction-markets — protocols rebranding around the Polymarket S-1 leak

POSITIONS
  FRONT-RUN: agentic-payments (mindshare 2 ↑↑) — drivers, bear case, link
  FADE: restaking (5 → Cope) — driver list, reflexivity flagged

MAP
  Emerging: agentic-payments
  Rising: AI-x-crypto
  Peak: restaking
  Fading: memecoin-szn

Quiet day: one line — no phase transitions, map unchanged from {date}. Silence is correct.

Rules

• Drop narratives that grade IGNORE.
• Named drivers only. "Crypto Twitter is excited" is not a driver.
• Cope sentiment is a first-class tag (bag-holder energy, bear-narratives-dressed-as-bull).
• Reflexivity only flagged with concrete evidence (rebrands, on-chain flows, named endorsements).