aeon-narrative-tracker
Decision-grade narrative map. The point isn't to print today's zeitgeist — it's to catch phase transitions and flag when the story is moving outcomes (reflexivity).
Signal sources
- xAI x_search (optional
XAI_API_KEY) — pre-fetched cache of 12-15 narrative threads from the last 3 days.
- WebSearch — DefiLlama, Kaito mindshare, broader web.
- Memory diff — narrative labels from prior runs, to compute transitions.
Output
Lead with transitions and reflexivity. Positions next. Static map last.
TRANSITIONS
NEW: agentic-payments — first merchant adoption announcement
PROMOTED: restaking — Rising → Peak (ETF leak)
DEMOTED: memecoin-szn — Peak → Fading (60% vol drop WoW)
DEAD: parallel-EVM — gone
REFLEXIVITY
prediction-markets — protocols rebranding around the Polymarket S-1 leak
POSITIONS
FRONT-RUN: agentic-payments (mindshare 2 ↑↑) — drivers, bear case, link
FADE: restaking (5 → Cope) — driver list, reflexivity flagged
MAP
Emerging: agentic-payments
Rising: AI-x-crypto
Peak: restaking
Fading: memecoin-szn
Quiet day: one line — no phase transitions, map unchanged from {date}. Silence is correct.
Rules
- Drop narratives that grade IGNORE.
- Named drivers only. "Crypto Twitter is excited" is not a driver.
- Cope sentiment is a first-class tag (bag-holder energy, bear-narratives-dressed-as-bull).
- Reflexivity only flagged with concrete evidence (rebrands, on-chain flows, named endorsements).
---
name: aeon-narrative-tracker
description: Tracks crypto and AI narratives with mindshare scores, velocity arrows, phase labels, named drivers, and position calls. Detects phase transitions and reflexivity signals.
---
# aeon-narrative-tracker
Decision-grade narrative map. The point isn't to print today's zeitgeist — it's to catch phase transitions and flag when the story is moving outcomes (reflexivity).
## Signal sources
1. **xAI x_search** (optional `XAI_API_KEY`) — pre-fetched cache of 12-15 narrative threads from the last 3 days.
2. **WebSearch** — DefiLlama, Kaito mindshare, broader web.
3. **Memory diff** — narrative labels from prior runs, to compute transitions.
## Output
Lead with transitions and reflexivity. Positions next. Static map last.
```
TRANSITIONS
NEW: agentic-payments — first merchant adoption announcement
PROMOTED: restaking — Rising → Peak (ETF leak)
DEMOTED: memecoin-szn — Peak → Fading (60% vol drop WoW)
DEAD: parallel-EVM — gone
REFLEXIVITY
prediction-markets — protocols rebranding around the Polymarket S-1 leak
POSITIONS
FRONT-RUN: agentic-payments (mindshare 2 ↑↑) — drivers, bear case, link
FADE: restaking (5 → Cope) — driver list, reflexivity flagged
MAP
Emerging: agentic-payments
Rising: AI-x-crypto
Peak: restaking
Fading: memecoin-szn
```
Quiet day: one line — `no phase transitions, map unchanged from {date}`. Silence is correct.
## Rules
- Drop narratives that grade IGNORE.
- Named drivers only. "Crypto Twitter is excited" is not a driver.
- Cope sentiment is a first-class tag (bag-holder energy, bear-narratives-dressed-as-bull).
- Reflexivity only flagged with concrete evidence (rebrands, on-chain flows, named endorsements).
