Study Design — The Multi-Study Package (jpsp-study-design)
This is the skill that most distinguishes JPSP from short-report journals. A JPSP paper is a
coherent set of related studies built to test a theory, not a single experiment. The package must
converge: each study should add something the previous one could not establish, and the set should
withstand the question "could one study break the whole story?"
When to trigger
- Planning the sequence and roles of studies in the package
- Powering each study and the package as a whole
- Choosing designs (experiment, survey, longitudinal, dyadic/APIM, intensive-longitudinal, archival)
- Deciding what to preregister and what is exploratory
Designing the package
- Give every study a job. A common arc: establish the effect → test the mechanism
(mediation/process) → probe boundary conditions / moderators → demonstrate generalization
(population, context, method). Avoid a pile of near-identical replications.
- Triangulate methods. Combine, e.g., an experiment (causal) with a field/longitudinal study
(external validity) so the package is robust to any single design's weaknesses.
- Mind the section's study budget. IRGP caps the main text at 5 studies; additional studies
go to supplemental materials with results summarized briefly. Prioritize the studies that carry
the argument. (Section-specific; verify — 待核实.)
- Power each study explicitly. Plan against the smallest effect size of interest, not a
pilot estimate. Use simulation for multilevel/dyadic/within-subject designs; justify N per study.
- Preregister. Register hypotheses, design, sampling/stopping rule, and analysis for confirmatory
studies; mark exploratory studies as such. JPSP is TOP Level 2 and asks you to state
preregistration status (see
jpsp-open-science-and-transparency).
- Design for the internal meta-analysis. Use comparable measures/effect metrics across studies
so effects can be pooled later (
jpsp-data-analysis); plan it now, not after the fact.
- Build in alternative-explanation tests. At least one study should rule out the most salient
alternative account (construct, confound, alternative mediator).
Execution bridge (StatsPAI / Stata MCP)
Estimate and audit the design, don't only describe it. Full map:
execution-with-mcp. JPSP is predominantly experimental social/personality psychology; randomization inference, mediation done right (mediate, not naive controlling-away), power, and family-wise corrections are decisive.
detect_design → recommend → fit with as_handle=true → audit_result.
- Observational causal claims: staggered DiD (
callaway_santanna / sun_abraham +
bacon_decomposition + honest_did_from_result); IV (effective_f_test +
anderson_rubin_ci); RDD (rdrobust + mccrary_test).
- Experiments: randomization-based inference,
romano_wolf for many-outcome
family-wise control, and mediate for mediation (not naive controlling-away).
- Sensitivity:
oster_delta / sensemakr for observational claims.
Report the effect size in interpretable units; route the full battery to the
appendix/supplement. A run end-to-end (synthetic data, real returns) is in the
JF execution walkthrough.
Anti-patterns
- A "package" that is one study run several times with cosmetic changes
- Underpowered studies whose null results are then waved away
- Adding studies reactively in revision instead of designing the set up front
- Designing studies with incomparable measures, making internal meta-analysis impossible
- Treating preregistration as paperwork rather than a constraint on later analysis
Post-credibility-revolution power calibration
Since the open-science reforms, JPSP reviewers treat underpowering as a central limitation. The anchors below are illustrative, not mandated thresholds — confirm any quantitative expectation against the journal's current submission guidelines, since JPSP publishes no fixed N or power floor.
| Design |
Smallest effect of interest (illustrative) |
Reviewer reflex if underpowered |
| Two-group between-subjects (ASC) |
d = 0.30 |
"Your null is uninterpretable — too few cases to detect your own effect" |
| 2×2 interaction (boundary) |
f = 0.10 |
"The moderation rests on an interaction you never powered" |
| Dyadic / APIM (IRGP) |
β ≈ 0.15 |
"Partner effects are noise at this dyad count" |
| Multilevel / ESM (PPID) |
within-person slope |
"Random-slope variance is unidentified here" |
Plan against the smallest effect of interest, never a noisy pilot d: a pilot d = 0.6 "powering" a study at N = 30 per cell is the classic way JPSP packages collapse on replication. For interactions and partner paths, simulate (simr, DeclareDesign) rather than a closed-form G*Power main-effect calculation.
Worked vignette: powering a three-study ASC package
Illustrative numbers — invented to show design logic, not real findings.
Claim: incidental gratitude broadens construal level (an ASC social-cognition effect).
- S1 (establish). Gratitude vs. neutral recall; DV = construal. Smallest effect d = 0.35 → N = 260 (~85% power); preregistered. Result d = 0.34, 95% CI [0.10, 0.58].
- S2 (mechanism). Adds self-transcendence mediator; bootstrap indirect path needs more N than the total effect, so N = 320. Result ab = 0.12, 95% CI [0.04, 0.21].
- S3 (boundary). 2×2 gratitude × time-pressure, community sample; interaction at f = 0.10 → N ≈ 520. Interaction d = 0.28, 95% CI [0.05, 0.51].
A referee checks for a comparable construal metric across all three (so they pool into one internal meta-analysis), S3 ruling out a mood-valence confound, and a non-student sample answering "is this just undergraduates?"
Output format
【Study set】S1 (establish) · S2 (mechanism) · S3 (boundary) · S4 (generalize) …
【Designs】experiment / longitudinal / dyadic-APIM / archival per study
【Power】N per study + smallest effect size of interest + method (sim?)
【Study budget】≤ section cap? (IRGP ≤5 in main text) extras → supplement
【Preregistration】what is confirmatory vs exploratory
【Meta-analysis ready】comparable effect metrics across studies? [Y/N]
【Next】jpsp-data-analysis
Supplementary resources
1---2name: jpsp-study-design3description: Use when designing the multi-study package for a Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (JPSP) manuscript — sequencing studies, powering each one, choosing experimental / longitudinal / dyadic designs, and planning preregistration. Designs the study set; it does not collect or fabricate data.4---56# Study Design — The Multi-Study Package (jpsp-study-design)78This is the skill that most distinguishes JPSP from short-report journals. A JPSP paper is a9**coherent set of related studies** built to test a theory, not a single experiment. The package must10*converge*: each study should add something the previous one could not establish, and the set should11withstand the question "could one study break the whole story?"1213## When to trigger1415- Planning the sequence and roles of studies in the package16- Powering each study and the package as a whole17- Choosing designs (experiment, survey, longitudinal, dyadic/APIM, intensive-longitudinal, archival)18- Deciding what to preregister and what is exploratory1920## Designing the package21221. **Give every study a job.** A common arc: **establish** the effect → test the **mechanism**23 (mediation/process) → probe **boundary conditions / moderators** → demonstrate **generalization**24 (population, context, method). Avoid a pile of near-identical replications.252. **Triangulate methods.** Combine, e.g., an experiment (causal) with a field/longitudinal study26 (external validity) so the package is robust to any single design's weaknesses.273. **Mind the section's study budget.** **IRGP caps the main text at 5 studies**; additional studies28 go to supplemental materials with results summarized briefly. Prioritize the studies that carry29 the argument. (Section-specific; verify — 待核实.)304. **Power each study explicitly.** Plan against the **smallest effect size of interest**, not a31 pilot estimate. Use simulation for multilevel/dyadic/within-subject designs; justify N per study.325. **Preregister.** Register hypotheses, design, sampling/stopping rule, and analysis for confirmatory33 studies; mark exploratory studies as such. JPSP is **TOP Level 2** and asks you to state34 preregistration status (see `jpsp-open-science-and-transparency`).356. **Design for the internal meta-analysis.** Use comparable measures/effect metrics across studies36 so effects can be **pooled** later (`jpsp-data-analysis`); plan it now, not after the fact.377. **Build in alternative-explanation tests.** At least one study should rule out the most salient38 alternative account (construct, confound, alternative mediator).3940## Execution bridge (StatsPAI / Stata MCP)4142Estimate and audit the design, don't only describe it. Full map:43[`execution-with-mcp`](../../../shared-resources/empirical-methods/execution-with-mcp.md). JPSP is predominantly experimental social/personality psychology; randomization inference, mediation done right (`mediate`, not naive controlling-away), power, and family-wise corrections are decisive.4445- `detect_design` → `recommend` → fit with `as_handle=true` → `audit_result`.46- **Observational causal claims:** staggered DiD (`callaway_santanna` / `sun_abraham` +47 `bacon_decomposition` + `honest_did_from_result`); IV (`effective_f_test` +48 `anderson_rubin_ci`); RDD (`rdrobust` + `mccrary_test`).49- **Experiments:** randomization-based inference, `romano_wolf` for many-outcome50 family-wise control, and `mediate` for mediation (not naive controlling-away).51- **Sensitivity:** `oster_delta` / `sensemakr` for observational claims.5253Report the effect size in interpretable units; route the full battery to the54appendix/supplement. A run end-to-end (synthetic data, real returns) is in the55[JF execution walkthrough](../../../Journal-of-Finance-Skills/resources/worked-examples/02-execution-walkthrough.md).56## Anti-patterns5758- A "package" that is one study run several times with cosmetic changes59- Underpowered studies whose null results are then waved away60- Adding studies reactively in revision instead of designing the set up front61- Designing studies with incomparable measures, making internal meta-analysis impossible62- Treating preregistration as paperwork rather than a constraint on later analysis6364## Post-credibility-revolution power calibration6566Since the open-science reforms, JPSP reviewers treat underpowering as a *central* limitation. The anchors below are **illustrative**, not mandated thresholds — confirm any quantitative expectation against the journal's current submission guidelines, since JPSP publishes no fixed N or power floor.6768| Design | Smallest effect of interest (illustrative) | Reviewer reflex if underpowered |69|--------|--------------------------------------------|----------------------------------|70| Two-group between-subjects (ASC) | d = 0.30 | "Your null is uninterpretable — too few cases to detect your own effect" |71| 2×2 interaction (boundary) | f = 0.10 | "The moderation rests on an interaction you never powered" |72| Dyadic / APIM (IRGP) | β ≈ 0.15 | "Partner effects are noise at this dyad count" |73| Multilevel / ESM (PPID) | within-person slope | "Random-slope variance is unidentified here" |7475Plan against the **smallest effect of interest**, never a noisy pilot d: a pilot d = 0.6 "powering" a study at N = 30 per cell is the classic way JPSP packages collapse on replication. For interactions and partner paths, simulate (`simr`, `DeclareDesign`) rather than a closed-form G*Power main-effect calculation.7677## Worked vignette: powering a three-study ASC package7879*Illustrative numbers — invented to show design logic, not real findings.*8081Claim: **incidental gratitude broadens construal level** (an ASC social-cognition effect).8283- **S1 (establish).** Gratitude vs. neutral recall; DV = construal. Smallest effect d = 0.35 → N = 260 (~85% power); preregistered. Result d = 0.34, 95% CI [0.10, 0.58].84- **S2 (mechanism).** Adds self-transcendence mediator; bootstrap indirect path needs more N than the total effect, so N = 320. Result ab = 0.12, 95% CI [0.04, 0.21].85- **S3 (boundary).** 2×2 gratitude × time-pressure, community sample; interaction at f = 0.10 → N ≈ 520. Interaction d = 0.28, 95% CI [0.05, 0.51].8687A referee checks for a comparable construal metric across all three (so they pool into one **internal meta-analysis**), S3 ruling out a mood-valence confound, and a non-student sample answering "is this just undergraduates?"8889## Output format9091```92【Study set】S1 (establish) · S2 (mechanism) · S3 (boundary) · S4 (generalize) …93【Designs】experiment / longitudinal / dyadic-APIM / archival per study94【Power】N per study + smallest effect size of interest + method (sim?)95【Study budget】≤ section cap? (IRGP ≤5 in main text) extras → supplement96【Preregistration】what is confirmatory vs exploratory97【Meta-analysis ready】comparable effect metrics across studies? [Y/N]98【Next】jpsp-data-analysis99```100101## Supplementary resources102103- [`../../resources/external_tools.md`](../../resources/external_tools.md) — power (G*Power, simr, Superpower), DeclareDesign, dyadic/multilevel tools104- [`../../resources/official-source-map.md`](../../resources/official-source-map.md) — section study caps and length rules