How do I install the Polymarket Energy Transition Trader skill?

Run npx skillmds@latest add dvcrn/polymarket-energy-transition-trader in your terminal (requires Node.js), paste this page's agent-chat prompt into Claude, Cursor, or any MCP-connected agent, or download the SKILL.md file and copy it into your agent's skills directory.

Is Polymarket Energy Transition Trader safe to use?

This skill has not completed SkillMD's automated safety review yet. Independent scanners report: SkillSpector: PASS, Skill Scanner: PASS. Capability flags: executes scripts, makes network calls. SkillMD never runs a skill's scripts for you; review the SKILL.md before installing.

Which AI agents work with Polymarket Energy Transition Trader?

This skill is tagged as working with Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex. SKILL.md is an open format, so most agents that read a skills directory can load it too.

Is Polymarket Energy Transition Trader free to use?

Yes. Installing skills from SkillMD is free, and the skill stays under its author's original license.

Who published Polymarket Energy Transition Trader?

dvcrn (@dvcrn) published this skill. Their other Agent Skills are listed on their SkillMD profile.

Polymarket Energy Transition Trader by dvcrn

Name: Polymarket Energy Transition Trader
Rating: 4.5 (4 reviews)
Author: dvcrn

Polymarket Energy Transition Trader

Trades Polymarket prediction markets on EV adoption milestones, solar/wind capacity, nuclear energy restarts, oil price thresholds, and energy policy events. Use when you want to capture alpha on the energy transition using IEA data, utility filings, and commodity futures signals.

dvcrn Updated Sep 8, 2026 32 repo stars

File contents

Energy Transition Trader

This is a template. The default signal is keyword-based market discovery combined with probability-extreme detection — remix it with the data sources listed in the Edge Thesis below. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

IEA monthly data vs market-implied adoption rates. Remix: EIA weekly petroleum report, IEA Oil Market Report, BloombergNEF energy transition data, IRENA capacity statistics.

Edge Thesis

Energy markets combine slow-moving structural trends with sharp policy-driven catalysts:

EV adoption curve: IEA publishes monthly EV sales data. When markets price EV milestone probabilities, they frequently lag IEA's published trajectory by 1–2 months
OPEC surprise cuts: OPEC+ meeting outcomes are systematically underpriced in oil threshold markets — the organisation has surprised markets with cuts 70%+ of the time since 2022
Nuclear restart markets: European nuclear restart timelines are public knowledge from regulatory filings but US retail is poorly informed on European energy policy
Solar capacity: IEA and IRENA publish quarterly capacity additions. Markets on "will X GW be installed by Y" frequently underprice given published pipeline data

Remix Signal Ideas

IEA Data: https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics
EIA Weekly Petroleum Report: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/
IRENA Statistics: https://www.irena.org/Statistics
OilPrice.com API: Brent/WTI real-time prices

Safety & Execution Mode

The skill defaults to paper trading (venue="sim"). Real trades only with --live flag.

Scenario	Mode	Financial risk
`python trader.py`	Paper (sim)	None
Cron / automaton	Paper (sim)	None
`python trader.py --live`	Live (polymarket)	Real USDC

autostart: false and cron: null — nothing runs automatically until you configure it in Simmer UI.

Required Credentials

Variable	Required	Notes
`SIMMER_API_KEY`	Yes	Trading authority. Treat as high-value credential.

Tunables (Risk Parameters)

All declared as tunables in clawhub.json and adjustable from the Simmer UI.

Variable	Default	Purpose
`SIMMER_MAX_POSITION`	See clawhub.json	Max USDC per trade
`SIMMER_MIN_VOLUME`	See clawhub.json	Min market volume filter
`SIMMER_MAX_SPREAD`	See clawhub.json	Max bid-ask spread
`SIMMER_MIN_DAYS`	See clawhub.json	Min days until resolution
`SIMMER_MAX_POSITIONS`	See clawhub.json	Max concurrent open positions

Dependency

simmer-sdk by Simmer Markets (SpartanLabsXyz)

PyPI: https://pypi.org/project/simmer-sdk/
GitHub: https://github.com/SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk

---name: polymarket-energy-transition-traderdescription: Trades Polymarket prediction markets on EV adoption milestones, solar/wind capacity, nuclear energy restarts, oil price thresholds, and energy policy events. Use when you want to capture alpha on the energy transition using IEA data, utility filings, and commodity futures signals.---# Energy Transition Trader> **This is a template.**> The default signal is keyword-based market discovery combined with probability-extreme detection — remix it with the data sources listed in the Edge Thesis below.> The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.## Strategy OverviewIEA monthly data vs market-implied adoption rates. Remix: EIA weekly petroleum report, IEA Oil Market Report, BloombergNEF energy transition data, IRENA capacity statistics.## Edge ThesisEnergy markets combine slow-moving structural trends with sharp policy-driven catalysts:- **EV adoption curve**: IEA publishes monthly EV sales data. When markets price EV milestone probabilities, they frequently lag IEA's published trajectory by 1–2 months- **OPEC surprise cuts**: OPEC+ meeting outcomes are systematically underpriced in oil threshold markets — the organisation has surprised markets with cuts 70%+ of the time since 2022- **Nuclear restart markets**: European nuclear restart timelines are public knowledge from regulatory filings but US retail is poorly informed on European energy policy- **Solar capacity**: IEA and IRENA publish quarterly capacity additions. Markets on "will X GW be installed by Y" frequently underprice given published pipeline data### Remix Signal Ideas- **IEA Data**: https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics- **EIA Weekly Petroleum Report**: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/- **IRENA Statistics**: https://www.irena.org/Statistics- **OilPrice.com API**: Brent/WTI real-time prices## Safety & Execution Mode**The skill defaults to paper trading (`venue="sim"`). Real trades only with `--live` flag.**| Scenario | Mode | Financial risk ||---|---|---|| `python trader.py` | Paper (sim) | None || Cron / automaton | Paper (sim) | None || `python trader.py --live` | Live (polymarket) | Real USDC |`autostart: false` and `cron: null` — nothing runs automatically until you configure it in Simmer UI.## Required Credentials| Variable | Required | Notes ||---|---|---|| `SIMMER_API_KEY` | Yes | Trading authority. Treat as high-value credential. |## Tunables (Risk Parameters)All declared as `tunables` in `clawhub.json` and adjustable from the Simmer UI.| Variable | Default | Purpose ||---|---|---|| `SIMMER_MAX_POSITION` | See clawhub.json | Max USDC per trade || `SIMMER_MIN_VOLUME` | See clawhub.json | Min market volume filter || `SIMMER_MAX_SPREAD` | See clawhub.json | Max bid-ask spread || `SIMMER_MIN_DAYS` | See clawhub.json | Min days until resolution || `SIMMER_MAX_POSITIONS` | See clawhub.json | Max concurrent open positions |## Dependency`simmer-sdk` by Simmer Markets (SpartanLabsXyz)- PyPI: https://pypi.org/project/simmer-sdk/- GitHub: https://github.com/SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk

Frequently asked questions