How do I install the Polymarket Food Agriculture Trader skill?

Run npx skillmds@latest add dvcrn/polymarket-food-agriculture-trader in your terminal (requires Node.js), paste this page's agent-chat prompt into Claude, Cursor, or any MCP-connected agent, or download the SKILL.md file and copy it into your agent's skills directory.

Is Polymarket Food Agriculture Trader safe to use?

This skill has not completed SkillMD's automated safety review yet. Independent scanners report: SkillSpector: PASS, Skill Scanner: PASS. Capability flags: executes scripts, makes network calls. SkillMD never runs a skill's scripts for you; review the SKILL.md before installing.

Which AI agents work with Polymarket Food Agriculture Trader?

This skill is tagged as working with Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex. SKILL.md is an open format, so most agents that read a skills directory can load it too.

Is Polymarket Food Agriculture Trader free to use?

Yes. Installing skills from SkillMD is free, and the skill stays under its author's original license.

Who published Polymarket Food Agriculture Trader?

dvcrn (@dvcrn) published this skill. Their other Agent Skills are listed on their SkillMD profile.

Polymarket Food Agriculture Trader by dvcrn

Name: Polymarket Food Agriculture Trader
Rating: 4.2 (5 reviews)
Author: dvcrn

Polymarket Food Agriculture Trader

Trades Polymarket prediction markets on food commodity prices, crop yields, drought-driven supply shocks, alternative protein milestones, and agricultural policy events. Use when you want to capture alpha on food markets using USDA crop reports, futures curves, and weather-agriculture correlation signals.

dvcrn Updated Sep 8, 2026 32 repo stars

File contents

Food & Agriculture Trader

This is a template. The default signal is keyword-based market discovery combined with probability-extreme detection — remix it with the data sources listed in the Edge Thesis below. The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

Strategy Overview

USDA WASDE report vs futures curve divergence. Remix: USDA NASS crop progress reports, FAO Food Price Index (monthly), CME agricultural futures term structure, World Bank commodity price data.

Edge Thesis

Agricultural markets are driven by hard data (USDA reports, satellite crop monitoring) but traded by retail participants who follow headlines:

USDA WASDE calendar: The WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) report is published monthly on a known date. Markets on crop yield thresholds frequently misprice in the days before release when satellite data already indicates the direction
Coffee/cocoa supply concentration: 70% of cocoa comes from Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana — any weather event in West Africa is a strong signal for cocoa price markets. Retail frequently underprices supply shock probability
El Niño agricultural impact: ENSO forecasts from NOAA give 3–6 month lead time on major crop-growing regions. Markets on annual yield milestones rarely incorporate this correctly
Alternative protein regulatory: Lab-grown meat approval timelines are public record from FDA/USDA FSIS filings — markets frequently underprice based on regulatory calendar

Remix Signal Ideas

USDA NASS: https://www.nass.usda.gov/Data_and_Statistics/ — free crop progress API
FAO Food Price Index: https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/
World Bank Commodity Prices: https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/commodity-markets
Planet Labs crop monitoring: Satellite NDVI for major crop regions (paid but powerful)

Safety & Execution Mode

The skill defaults to paper trading (venue="sim"). Real trades only with --live flag.

Scenario	Mode	Financial risk
`python trader.py`	Paper (sim)	None
Cron / automaton	Paper (sim)	None
`python trader.py --live`	Live (polymarket)	Real USDC

autostart: false and cron: null — nothing runs automatically until you configure it in Simmer UI.

Required Credentials

Variable	Required	Notes
`SIMMER_API_KEY`	Yes	Trading authority. Treat as high-value credential.

Tunables (Risk Parameters)

All declared as tunables in clawhub.json and adjustable from the Simmer UI.

Variable	Default	Purpose
`SIMMER_MAX_POSITION`	See clawhub.json	Max USDC per trade
`SIMMER_MIN_VOLUME`	See clawhub.json	Min market volume filter
`SIMMER_MAX_SPREAD`	See clawhub.json	Max bid-ask spread
`SIMMER_MIN_DAYS`	See clawhub.json	Min days until resolution
`SIMMER_MAX_POSITIONS`	See clawhub.json	Max concurrent open positions

Dependency

simmer-sdk by Simmer Markets (SpartanLabsXyz)

PyPI: https://pypi.org/project/simmer-sdk/
GitHub: https://github.com/SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk

---name: polymarket-food-agriculture-traderdescription: Trades Polymarket prediction markets on food commodity prices, crop yields, drought-driven supply shocks, alternative protein milestones, and agricultural policy events. Use when you want to capture alpha on food markets using USDA crop reports, futures curves, and weather-agriculture correlation signals.---# Food & Agriculture Trader> **This is a template.**> The default signal is keyword-based market discovery combined with probability-extreme detection — remix it with the data sources listed in the Edge Thesis below.> The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.## Strategy OverviewUSDA WASDE report vs futures curve divergence. Remix: USDA NASS crop progress reports, FAO Food Price Index (monthly), CME agricultural futures term structure, World Bank commodity price data.## Edge ThesisAgricultural markets are driven by hard data (USDA reports, satellite crop monitoring) but traded by retail participants who follow headlines:- **USDA WASDE calendar**: The WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) report is published monthly on a known date. Markets on crop yield thresholds frequently misprice in the days before release when satellite data already indicates the direction- **Coffee/cocoa supply concentration**: 70% of cocoa comes from Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana — any weather event in West Africa is a strong signal for cocoa price markets. Retail frequently underprices supply shock probability- **El Niño agricultural impact**: ENSO forecasts from NOAA give 3–6 month lead time on major crop-growing regions. Markets on annual yield milestones rarely incorporate this correctly- **Alternative protein regulatory**: Lab-grown meat approval timelines are public record from FDA/USDA FSIS filings — markets frequently underprice based on regulatory calendar### Remix Signal Ideas- **USDA NASS**: https://www.nass.usda.gov/Data_and_Statistics/ — free crop progress API- **FAO Food Price Index**: https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/- **World Bank Commodity Prices**: https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/commodity-markets- **Planet Labs crop monitoring**: Satellite NDVI for major crop regions (paid but powerful)## Safety & Execution Mode**The skill defaults to paper trading (`venue="sim"`). Real trades only with `--live` flag.**| Scenario | Mode | Financial risk ||---|---|---|| `python trader.py` | Paper (sim) | None || Cron / automaton | Paper (sim) | None || `python trader.py --live` | Live (polymarket) | Real USDC |`autostart: false` and `cron: null` — nothing runs automatically until you configure it in Simmer UI.## Required Credentials| Variable | Required | Notes ||---|---|---|| `SIMMER_API_KEY` | Yes | Trading authority. Treat as high-value credential. |## Tunables (Risk Parameters)All declared as `tunables` in `clawhub.json` and adjustable from the Simmer UI.| Variable | Default | Purpose ||---|---|---|| `SIMMER_MAX_POSITION` | See clawhub.json | Max USDC per trade || `SIMMER_MIN_VOLUME` | See clawhub.json | Min market volume filter || `SIMMER_MAX_SPREAD` | See clawhub.json | Max bid-ask spread || `SIMMER_MIN_DAYS` | See clawhub.json | Min days until resolution || `SIMMER_MAX_POSITIONS` | See clawhub.json | Max concurrent open positions |## Dependency`simmer-sdk` by Simmer Markets (SpartanLabsXyz)- PyPI: https://pypi.org/project/simmer-sdk/- GitHub: https://github.com/SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk

Frequently asked questions