egoing88 Semiconductor Overheat Radar
Workflow
- Read
references/overheat-rules.mdbefore scoring. - Use SOX, SMH, and SOXX as the primary basis. Use NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MRVL, MU, SNDK, SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, TSMC, ASML, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, and INTC as supporting evidence.
- Refresh current market data because prices, technicals, ETF flows, short interest, options, and exchange rates are time-sensitive. If the request lands on a weekend or market holiday, use the latest completed trading session and state the exact date.
- Calculate or retrieve RSI(14), 20/50/200-day moving-average distance, Bollinger-band closes, consecutive up days, 20-trading-day return, volume behavior, ETF fund flows, short-interest changes, and options sentiment.
- Score each available signal exactly as defined in the reference. Mark unavailable inputs as
확인 필요; do not silently treat missing data as zero unless the source clearly shows no signal. - Check the special warning conditions separately: 단기 차익실현 경고, 고과열 경고, and 추세 훼손 경고.
- Lead with a first-screen judgment:
정상,주의,과열,고과열, or추세 훼손. Include the score, the latest data date, and a short action interpretation before the detailed table.
Reporting Rules
- Treat this as a short-term risk alert system, not a mechanical buy/sell command.
- Do not judge overheating from RSI alone. Give more weight to stacked signals such as RSI overheating plus moving-average extension, heavy-volume down days, ETF outflows, or short-interest spikes.
- Separate
과열from추세 훼손. A stretched rally can still be intact; trend damage requires evidence such as SMH/SOXX losing the 20-day line, leaders weakening together, or persistent ETF outflows. - When dollar amounts appear, write USD and KRW side by side using the current or stated USD/KRW exchange rate, and name the exchange-rate date.
- Cite the sources used for live data.
Output Shape
Start with:
판단: <상태>
기준일: <latest trading session>
요약: <one or two sentences>
Then provide:
- A score table for SOX, SMH, and SOXX when data is available.
- A short list of special warnings that triggered.
- A practical interpretation for 신규 매수자 and 보유자.
- A brief note on missing or lower-confidence data.