General — Use-Case Discovery
Most enterprises drown in candidate ideas and pilot the wrong one. MIT's 95/5 finding shows 95% of GenAI pilots return zero P&L impact — the failure is upstream, in selection. Stanford's 51-deployment study shows winners cluster around narrow, repetitive, measurable workflows. Run the four roles below before committing budget.
Anchor: McKinsey's three-objective mix (productivity / growth / transformation), Andrew Ng's three moats, BCG 10/20/70 effort split.
Per-candidate verdict vocabulary (stable output contract): Greenlight / Stage-and-watch / Park / Reject.
Role 1: Value-Pool Mapper
Where is the dollar-or-hour pain, by sub-function? Do not start from "what can AI do" — start from where the bleeding is.
- Where do FTE-hours concentrate? (Pull headcount × time-on-task by sub-process. Top 3 buckets only.)
- Where is the rework / error / SLA-miss tax? (Quality cost, not just labor cost.)
- Where is revenue leaking? (Conversion drop-offs, abandoned carts, slow quoting, missed renewals.)
- What is the customer-experience pain that shows up in NPS verbatims? (External, not internal.)
- Map each pool to McKinsey's 3-objective mix. (Productivity = cost-out, Growth = topline, Transformation = new model. Aim ~50/30/20 across the portfolio — consult
mckinsey-3-objective-mix.md.)
Refuse to advance any candidate without a quantified pool (≥$500K/yr or ≥2 FTE-equivalents or ≥5pt NPS).
Output: SUB_FUNCTION | PAIN_TYPE | ANNUAL_VALUE_POOL | OBJECTIVE_BUCKET | EVIDENCE_SOURCE
Role 2: Capability Archetype Classifier
Match the friction shape to a capability archetype. Do not let vendors pick the archetype for you.
Five archetypes (Stanford 51-deployments taxonomy — consult stanford-51-deployments.md):
- Chatbot / Q&A — single-turn, low-stakes, deflection plays.
- RAG / Knowledge-surfacing — retrieval over owned corpus, expert assist.
- Workflow co-pilot — embedded in a system of record, draft-and-approve.
- Multi-step agent — tool-use across systems, long-horizon tasks.
- Decision-support / forecasting — analytical, model-driven, advisory.
- Apply Andrew Ng's one-second rule. (Is the human task something a competent human does in <1 second of cognition? If yes → automatable now. If it requires judgment under ambiguity → co-pilot, not agent.)
- Is the workflow well-defined or open-ended? (Well-defined → workflow co-pilot. Open-ended → agent only if reversible — see
pilot-discipline-ng.md.) - Does the value require integration into a system of record? (If yes, kill standalone chatbot framings — MIT 95/5 shows chatbots-on-the-side underperform 2x vs. embedded co-pilots.)
- Is the user a power-user or once-a-month-user? (Once-a-month users do not adopt anything. Move it to backend automation.)
Output: USE_CASE | ARCHETYPE | ONE_SECOND_TEST | INTEGRATION_DEPTH | USER_FREQUENCY
Role 3: Feasibility & Moat Scorer
Score each candidate 0-3 on six dimensions. Anything scoring <12/18 goes to the kill list.
Data readiness (ISG four pillars — consult isg-data-foundation.md):
- Data availability. (0 = does not exist, 3 = clean and accessible via API.)
- Data rights. (0 = legal blocker, 3 = owned + permissioned for AI use.)
Moats (Andrew Ng's three — consult andrew-ng-three-moats.md):
3. Proprietary data moat. (Does winning here compound? 0 = commodity, 3 = unique corpus competitors cannot replicate.)
4. Workflow moat. (Is this embedded deep enough to create switching cost? 0 = bolt-on, 3 = re-architects the process.)
5. Distribution moat. (Do we already own the user surface? 0 = greenfield adoption, 3 = ships to existing seats.)
Effort (BCG 10/20/70 — consult bcg-future-built.md):
6. Tech-vs-change ratio. (0 = >70% change-management lift with no internal sponsor, 3 = sponsor secured + change runway funded. Tech is the easy 10%.)
Output: USE_CASE | DATA_SCORE | MOAT_SCORE | EFFORT_SCORE | TOTAL_/18 | KILL_OR_KEEP
Role 4: Portfolio Sequencer
Plot survivors on a 2×2: Value pool (Y) × Feasibility total (X). Pick the first pilot from the upper-right quadrant using pilot-discipline filters.
Pilot-discipline filters (Andrew Ng — consult pilot-discipline-ng.md):
- Narrow. (One persona, one workflow, one system. If the pitch needs three orgs to align, reject.)
- Reversible. (Can we kill it in 60 days with no contractual or reputational tail? If no, stage-and-watch.)
- Measurable. (Pre-defined success metric tied to the value pool from Role 1. No metric → Park.)
- Owned. (Named accountable senior — McKinsey shows 3x success rate when senior owns vs. delegates. Anonymous = Reject.)
Sequencing rule: ship one Greenlight pilot per quarter, queue 2 Stage-and-watch behind it, Park the long-tail, Reject the rest. Do not parallelize until pilot 1 has a verdict.
Blast-radius default for first pilot. When ranking candidates that pass Role 3, prefer internal-only blast radius (employees-as-users) for the first pilot unless the sponsor explicitly accepts customer-facing risk in the brief. Customer-facing pain pools surfaced in Role 1 Q3–Q4 default to Stage-and-watch until an internal-blast-radius variant exists or process-pilot-design Role 3 produces a tighter reliability bar. Rationale: Stanford 51-deployments shows ~60% of failed pilots launched on customer-facing surfaces with insufficient stop conditions.
Verdict states:
- Greenlight — meets all four pilot-discipline filters, ≥14/18 feasibility, value pool ≥$500K/yr, blast radius internal OR customer-facing with sponsor-signed reliability bar.
- Stage-and-watch — value present but data or moat <2, OR customer-facing without explicit sponsor risk acceptance; revisit in 90 days.
- Park — interesting, no sponsor or no metric; backlog only.
- Reject — fails one-second test, lacks value pool, or 95/5 chatbot-on-the-side pattern.
Output: USE_CASE | QUADRANT | VERDICT | PILOT_RANK | METRIC | OWNER
Synthesis
Produce the report:
TOP-3 RANKED USE CASES — table: rank, use case, archetype, value pool, total score, verdict.
FIRST PILOT PICK — one paragraph: who, what, where it embeds, success metric, kill date, accountable owner.
WHY-NOT-OTHERS — two-line rationale per #2 and #3 explaining what would move them to first-pilot status.
KILL LIST — every candidate that scored <12/18 or failed the one-second test or violated the 95/5 embedded-vs-bolt-on rule. One-line reason each.
Default stance: if fewer than 3 candidates clear the bar, return what you have and name the gap. Do not pad the portfolio.
References
All files below live in references/ at the plugin root (${CLAUDE_PLUGIN_ROOT}/references/ when installed as a plugin).
- mckinsey-3-objective-mix.md — productivity / growth / transformation portfolio balance, ~50/30/20 default.
- andrew-ng-three-moats.md — proprietary data, workflow embedding, distribution as the only durable moats in applied AI.
- pilot-discipline-ng.md — narrow + reversible + measurable + owned filter for first-pilot selection.
- stanford-51-deployments.md — empirical archetype taxonomy from 51 enterprise deployments; pattern-match new candidates here.
- 95-5-genai-divide.md — MIT finding that 95% of GenAI pilots show zero P&L; the 5% are embedded co-pilots not standalone chatbots.
- bcg-future-built.md — 10/20/70 effort split (algorithm / tech / people-and-process); use to calibrate change-management weight.
- isg-data-foundation.md — four-pillar data readiness check (availability, rights, quality, lineage) feeding the feasibility score.
Reference files are bundled with this skill — Claude resolves them by filename regardless of install layout (single-skill or plugin).