Clustering Opportunities
Transforms a messy idea dump into a structured opportunity map. This is the first convergent step — evaluate and group, but do not yet discard.
Input
Load all files matching knowledge/ideas/raw/*.md.
Load knowledge/problem-frame.md as the evaluation anchor.
Step 1 — Affinity Grouping
Read all raw ideas. Group by underlying theme or mechanism — not by feature surface. Aim for 3–7 clusters. Fewer means you are being too abstract; more means you haven't clustered.
Name each cluster with a verb phrase describing the core value it delivers to the user (e.g. "Automating repetitive context switches" not "AI features").
Step 2 — Cluster Profiles
For each cluster, produce:
## Cluster: [verb-phrase name]
**Core hypothesis**: We believe [solution mechanism] will [user outcome] because [evidence or analogy].
**Ideas in this cluster**:
- [idea ref from raw dump]
- [idea ref]
**Why this clusters**: [1-2 sentences on the shared mechanism]
**Signal strength**:
- Recurrence: [how many independent ideas pointed here — high/med/low]
- Analogy depth: [does this solve well in other domains? — yes/partial/no]
- AI leverage: [is an AI component natural here? — strong/weak/none]
**Biggest unknown**: [the one assumption that, if wrong, kills this cluster]
Step 3 — Prioritisation Matrix
Produce a markdown table:
| Cluster | User Impact | Confidence | AI Leverage | Effort Estimate | Score | ||||-|--|-| | [name] | H/M/L | H/M/L | H/M/L | H/M/L (inv.) | [sum] |
Score = Impact + Confidence + AI Leverage + (inverted Effort). Max 12. Flag the top 1–2 clusters as Recommended Bets.
Output
Write to knowledge/opportunities.md. Do not overwrite — append a dated section if the file exists.
Guidelines
- Group by mechanism, not by feature name. Two ideas may look different but solve the same way.
- The "biggest unknown" per cluster is the most important output. It drives what to prototype.
- A cluster with one wild idea and four conventional ideas is still valid — the wild idea may be the insight.
- If only one cluster emerges with a strong score, say so clearly. Don't manufacture false balance.
When to Use
Follow standard when to use documentation.
Prerequisites
Follow standard prerequisites documentation.
Process
Follow standard process documentation.
Best Practices
Follow standard best practices documentation.