Polymarket Trading Bot V2

Polymarket Trading Bot v2

AI-driven directional prediction trading system for Polymarket 5-minute BTC/ETH markets.

Features

• Market Monitoring: Auto-scan BTC/ETH 5min markets every 2s
• PTB Extraction: Playwright-based with 4-layer fallback
• Technical Indicators: EMA, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, ATR, Volume
• AI Scoring Model: Position(50%) + Momentum(30%) + RSI(10%) + Volume(10%)
• Decision Engine: EV-based smart betting
• Backtest Validation: Auto-verify historical accuracy

Verified Performance

Dataset: 2026-03-06, 143 decisions

• Overall Accuracy: 84.6% (121/143)
• 100% Confidence: 100% (13/13)
• 90%+ Confidence: 100% (14/14)
• High-Quality Signals (conf≥80% & EV>0.5): 97.1% (33/34)

Installation

pip install requests playwright
playwright install chromium

Usage

Start Monitoring

python3 auto_bot_v2.py

Backtest

python3 backtest_accuracy.py

Configuration

Edit ai_analyze_v2.py:

ENABLE_TRADING = False      # Enable real trading
CONFIDENCE_THRESHOLD = 0.55 # Min confidence
ODDS_THRESHOLD = 0.90       # Max odds
BET_AMOUNT = 10             # Bet size (USD)

Recommended Strategy

• Confidence threshold: ≥85%
• EV threshold: >0.5
• Expected accuracy: ~97%
• Prefer ETH signals

Risk Control

• Single bet: 10-50 USD
• Daily max loss: 100 USD
• Stop after 3 consecutive losses

Files

• auto_bot_v2.py: Main monitoring script
• ai_analyze_v2.py: Decision engine
• ai_trader/ai_model_v2.py: AI scoring model
• ai_trader/playwright_ptb.py: PTB extraction
• ai_trader/indicators.py: Technical indicators
• backtest_accuracy.py: Backtest validation

Wallet

• Main: 0xb37c4cC2Be6bFb77a48d5C661D9c956A199A52A2
• Proxy: 0x9130519D591a64E522C10c0f91642f21F35e20fc

Status

✅ Verified, production-ready