Supply Chain Risk Monitor
Analyze supply chain vulnerabilities, map supplier dependencies, and generate risk mitigation plans.
What It Does
Given your supplier list or industry context, this skill:
- Maps dependencies — Tier 1, 2, 3 supplier concentration risk
- Scores vulnerabilities — Geographic, single-source, lead time, financial health
- Generates mitigation plans — Dual-sourcing strategies, safety stock calculations, nearshoring options
- Creates dashboards — Risk heat maps, supplier scorecards, disruption scenario modeling
How to Use
Tell your agent:
- "Assess supply chain risk for our top 10 suppliers"
- "Create a supplier diversification plan"
- "Model the impact of a 30-day disruption from our China suppliers"
- "Score our supply chain resilience"
Risk Scoring Framework
| Factor |
Weight |
Score 1 (Low Risk) |
Score 5 (Critical) |
| Single-source dependency |
25% |
3+ qualified suppliers |
Sole source, no backup |
| Geographic concentration |
20% |
Multi-region sourcing |
Single country/port |
| Lead time volatility |
15% |
<5% variance |
>30% variance |
| Financial health |
15% |
Strong balance sheet |
Distressed/unknown |
| Compliance risk |
10% |
Fully audited |
No visibility |
| Substitutability |
10% |
Drop-in alternatives exist |
Custom/proprietary |
| Inventory buffer |
5% |
60+ days safety stock |
JIT, no buffer |
Composite Score: Weighted average → Green (1-2), Yellow (2.5-3.5), Red (4-5)
Disruption Cost Formula
Daily Impact = (Revenue at Risk × Margin) + Expediting Costs + Customer Penalties + Brand Damage
Recovery Time = Lead Time × (1 + Qualification Factor)
Total Exposure = Daily Impact × Recovery Time
Output Formats
- Executive summary — Top 5 risks, total exposure, recommended actions
- Supplier scorecard — Individual risk profiles with improvement targets
- Scenario analysis — What-if modeling for major disruptions
- Action plan — 30/60/90 day mitigation roadmap with owners and budgets
Industry Benchmarks
- Average company has 60% single-source exposure
- Supply chain disruptions cost Fortune 500s $184M per event (2024)
- Companies with formal risk programs recover 2.5x faster
- Dual-sourcing reduces disruption impact by 40-60%
Built by AfrexAI — AI context packs for business automation.
1---2name: afrexai-supply-chain3description: Supply Chain Risk Monitor4---5# Supply Chain Risk Monitor67Analyze supply chain vulnerabilities, map supplier dependencies, and generate risk mitigation plans.89## What It Does1011Given your supplier list or industry context, this skill:12131. **Maps dependencies** — Tier 1, 2, 3 supplier concentration risk142. **Scores vulnerabilities** — Geographic, single-source, lead time, financial health153. **Generates mitigation plans** — Dual-sourcing strategies, safety stock calculations, nearshoring options164. **Creates dashboards** — Risk heat maps, supplier scorecards, disruption scenario modeling1718## How to Use1920Tell your agent:21- "Assess supply chain risk for our top 10 suppliers"22- "Create a supplier diversification plan"23- "Model the impact of a 30-day disruption from our China suppliers"24- "Score our supply chain resilience"2526## Risk Scoring Framework2728| Factor | Weight | Score 1 (Low Risk) | Score 5 (Critical) |29|--------|--------|-------------------|---------------------|30| Single-source dependency | 25% | 3+ qualified suppliers | Sole source, no backup |31| Geographic concentration | 20% | Multi-region sourcing | Single country/port |32| Lead time volatility | 15% | <5% variance | >30% variance |33| Financial health | 15% | Strong balance sheet | Distressed/unknown |34| Compliance risk | 10% | Fully audited | No visibility |35| Substitutability | 10% | Drop-in alternatives exist | Custom/proprietary |36| Inventory buffer | 5% | 60+ days safety stock | JIT, no buffer |3738**Composite Score**: Weighted average → Green (1-2), Yellow (2.5-3.5), Red (4-5)3940## Disruption Cost Formula4142```43Daily Impact = (Revenue at Risk × Margin) + Expediting Costs + Customer Penalties + Brand Damage44Recovery Time = Lead Time × (1 + Qualification Factor)45Total Exposure = Daily Impact × Recovery Time46```4748## Output Formats4950- **Executive summary** — Top 5 risks, total exposure, recommended actions51- **Supplier scorecard** — Individual risk profiles with improvement targets52- **Scenario analysis** — What-if modeling for major disruptions53- **Action plan** — 30/60/90 day mitigation roadmap with owners and budgets5455## Industry Benchmarks5657- Average company has 60% single-source exposure58- Supply chain disruptions cost Fortune 500s $184M per event (2024)59- Companies with formal risk programs recover 2.5x faster60- Dual-sourcing reduces disruption impact by 40-60%6162---6364Built by [AfrexAI](https://afrexai-cto.github.io/context-packs/) — AI context packs for business automation.
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