JunMystery Itô & Prediction Market Operations
Use this skill for all prediction-market workflows, venue research, basket comparisons, and trade planning on Itô or similar event-probability platforms.
[!WARNING] This skill is for read-only analysis and non-advisory research. Do not provide investment advice, recommend active positions, or attempt to execute live trades.
Core Workflows
1. Market Intelligence & Oracle Research
- Venue Research: Inspect contract details, volume, underliers, open interest, and event rules.
- Oracle Signals: Analyze market-implied probabilities as data inputs for decision intelligence or dashboards. Combine with source-grounded news to draft briefings.
2. Basket & Portfolio Comparisons
- Gap Analysis: Compare prediction-market baskets against portfolios, watchlist, or a specific research thesis.
- Evidence-First Verification: Query and cite authoritative public sources regarding underlying event outcomes rather than guessing.
3. Non-Advisory Trade Planning
- Prerequisites Worksheet: Document the specific contract conditions, order prerequisites, limits, and manual execution steps without placing trades.
- Risk Mapping: Identify hedging opportunities or conflicting events across subnets or venues.
References
For specialized sub-modules, refer to these local guides:
- Itô Basket Comparison Details:
references/ito-basket-compare.md - Itô Data Atlas and Schema:
references/ito-data-atlas.md - Itô Venues & Rules:
references/ito-market-intelligence.md - Itô Trade Planner Template:
references/ito-trade-planner.md - Prediction Market Probabilities:
references/prediction-market-oracle.md
Verification Checklist
- All analysis is read-only, non-advisory, and carries a clear financial disclaimer
- Underlying contract rules and resolution conditions are explicitly cited
- No private keys, keys, or credentials are used or requested