Adversarial Decision Analysis
When to use
Use when the user is choosing between options and has not yet stress-tested the leading candidate.
Procedure
- State the decision to be made in one sentence.
- Generate candidate options (at least two).
- Weigh pros and cons for each option.
- Search for counterexamples and disconfirming evidence against the leading option.
- Surface the strongest downside of the leading option explicitly.
- Recommend a choice only after unresolved risks are documented.
Do not recommend until step 5 is complete.
Additional resources
- Evidence and session citations: evidence.md