china-initiating-coverage
Purpose
Create institutional-quality A股首次覆盖研究报告, following Chinese sell-side research standards.
Data Sources
Primary: iFind MCP (Tier-1 付费) / AkShare MCP (Tier-2 免费备选)
get_stock_info(ticker) → Company profile
get_quote(ticker) → Current valuation
get_historical_data(ticker) → Trading history
get_financials(ticker, "income") → Historical P&L
get_financials(ticker, "balance") → Historical BS
get_financials(ticker, "cashflow") → Historical CF
get_industry_stocks(industry="...") → Peer companies
Secondary Sources
- 巨潮资讯 — official filings (annual reports, prospectus)
- 上交所 / 深交所 — listing documents, announcements
- 公司官网 — investor relations, presentations
- 慧博 / Wind / Choice — consensus estimates
- 券商研报 — existing analyst coverage (if any)
- 行业协会 — industry data
Workflow
Task 1: Company Research
Company overview:
- Business description (主营业务)
- History and development (发展历程)
- Ownership structure (股权结构)
- Management team (管理层)
- Shareholder composition (股东构成)
Business segments:
| Segment | Revenue % | Margin | Growth Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
Key questions to answer:
- What does the company do? How does it make money?
- What is its competitive advantage? (护城河)
- What are the key growth drivers?
- What are the main risks?
- Who are the comparable companies?
Task 2: Financial Modeling
Build a financial model (refer to china-3-statement-model skill):
Historical analysis (3-5 years):
| Metric | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (亿) | |||||||
| YoY Growth | |||||||
| Gross Margin | |||||||
| Operating Margin | |||||||
| Net Margin | |||||||
| ROE | |||||||
| Net Debt/EBITDA |
Key modeling considerations (see china-3-statement-model):
- CAS accounting standards
- 25% tax rate (or 15% for 高新技术企业)
- 千元 vs 元 unit normalization
- 增值税 treatment
- 商誉 flagging
- R&D expense treatment
Task 3: Valuation Analysis
Build comprehensive valuation:
DCF (refer to
china-dcfskill)- WACC with CGB risk-free rate
- 6-8% China ERP
- 25% tax rate
- CNY denominated
Comparable companies (refer to
china-compsskill)- Peer set from same 东方财富 industry
- PE, PB, PS, EV/EBITDA multiples
- Regression analysis if >5 peers
Precedent transactions (if available)
- China M&A comparable multiples
- Control premium analysis
Sum-of-the-parts (if multi-segment)
- Segment-level DCF or multiples
- Conglomerate discount assessment
Valuation summary:
| Method | Value (元/股) | Weight | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | |||
| PE comps | |||
| PB comps | |||
| EV/EBITDA comps | |||
| SOTP | |||
| Implied target |
Task 4: Chart Preparation
Required charts:
Revenue & earnings history
- 5-year historical + 3-year projected
- Bar chart: Revenue
- Overlay: Net income, margins
Valuation multiple history
- PE band (5-year)
- PB band (5-year)
- Current vs historical average
Peer comparison
- Scatter: Growth vs Multiple
- Bar: Key metrics vs peers
Share price chart
- 2-year price history
- Key events annotated
Chart standards:
- Dark theme or light theme (consistent with firm template)
- Chinese labels where appropriate
- Source: AkShare historical data
- Include A-share specific markers (涨跌停, 财报日期)
Task 5: Report Assembly
Standard A-share initiation report format:
【XX证券】[公司名称]([代码])首次覆盖报告:[评级]
投资要点:
- [3-5 bullet investment highlights]
- 目标价:¥XX.XX (X% upside/downside)
- 评级:买入/增持/中性/减持/卖出
一、投资逻辑
[Core thesis, 2-3 paragraphs]
二、公司分析
- 业务概述
- 竞争优势
- 管理团队
- 股权结构
三、行业分析
- 市场规模与增速
- 竞争格局
- 政策环境
- 发展趋势
四、财务分析
- 历史财务表现
- 盈利驱动因素
- 财务健康度
- 关键假设
五、估值分析
- 估值方法概述
- DCF analysis
- Comparable companies
- Valuation summary
- Target price derivation
六、风险提示
- [Company-specific risks]
- [Industry risks]
- [Market risks]
- [Policy risks]
附录:
- 财务报表预测
- 详细估值模型
- 公司资料
Report length:
- Summary: 1 page
- Full report: 15-30 pages
- Financial model appendix: 10-15 pages
China-Specific Considerations
Rating Conventions (A-share)
| Rating | Chinese Equivalent | Implied Return |
|---|---|---|
| Buy | 买入 | >15% upside |
| Overweight / Accumulate | 增持 | 5-15% upside |
| Neutral / Hold | 中性 | -5% to +5% |
| Underweight / Reduce | 减持 | -5% to -15% |
| Sell | 卖出 | <-15% downside |
Note: Some firms use 5-point scale (买入/增持/中性/减持/卖出), others use 3-point (买入/增持/减持).
Coverage Initiation Practices
Pre-initiation checklist:
- Company filings reviewed (年报, 招股说明书)
- Management meeting completed (if possible)
- Industry research thorough
- Peer comparison complete
- Financial model built and validated
- Valuation analysis complete
- Conflicts of interest disclosed
Common initation triggers:
- New IPO (新股)
- IPO quiet period expiry (typically 30-180 days)
- Market cap reaches coverage threshold
- New sector coverage mandate
- Material corporate action (M&A, restructuring)
China-Specific Risks to Highlight
| Risk Category | Examples |
|---|---|
| 政策风险 | Regulatory changes, industry policy shifts |
| 市场风险 | A-share volatility, retail sentiment |
| 流动性风险 | Low float, low turnover |
| 公司治理 | Related party transactions, pledge risk |
| 行业风险 | Overcapacity, demand cyclicality |
| 汇率风险 | For exporters/importers |
| 商誉减值 | Goodwill impairment risk |
| 质押风险 | Share pledge unwinding |
Regulatory Compliance
Chinese regulatory requirements for research:
- 投资者适当性管理 (suitability)
- 利益冲突披露 (conflict of interest)
- 研究报告留痕 (research record retention)
- 静默期规定 (quiet period before IPOs)
- 预测免责声明 (disclaimer on estimates)
Quality Checks
Before delivering:
- All financial data sourced from AkShare / 巨潮
- Financial model balanced and validated
- Valuation analysis comprehensive
- Peer comparison adequate (>3 peers)
- Rating and target price justified
- Risk factors comprehensive
- Report follows standard format
- All citations complete
- Compliance disclosures included
Data Source Mode Switch: Set env var
IFIND_DATA_SOURCE_MODEto control data source preference.ifind-only(strict): Use iFind only, error if unavailableifind-fallback(default): iFind preferred, fallback to AkShareakshare-only: Skip iFind, use AkShare only