How do I install the Simmer AI Divergence skill?

Run npx skillmds@latest add kbarbel640-del/simmer-ai-divergence in your terminal (requires Node.js), paste this page's agent-chat prompt into Claude, Cursor, or any MCP-connected agent, or download the SKILL.md file and copy it into your agent's skills directory.

Is Simmer AI Divergence safe to use?

This skill has not completed SkillMD's automated safety review yet. Independent scanners report: SkillSpector: PASS, Skill Scanner: PASS. Capability flags: executes scripts, makes network calls. SkillMD never runs a skill's scripts for you; review the SKILL.md before installing.

Which AI agents work with Simmer AI Divergence?

This skill is tagged as working with Claude Code, Claude.ai, OpenAI Codex. SKILL.md is an open format, so most agents that read a skills directory can load it too.

Is Simmer AI Divergence free to use?

Yes. Installing skills from SkillMD is free, and the skill stays under its author's original license.

Who published Simmer AI Divergence?

kbarbel640-del (@kbarbel640-del) published this skill. Their other Agent Skills are listed on their SkillMD profile.

Simmer AI Divergence by kbarbel640-del

Name: Simmer AI Divergence
Rating: 4.2 (5 reviews)
Author: kbarbel640-del

Simmer AI Divergence

Surface markets where Simmer's AI price diverges from Polymarket. High divergence = potential alpha. Use when user wants to find AI vs market disagreements, scan for trading opportunities, or understand where the AI is bullish/bearish relative to external prices.

kbarbel640-del Updated Sep 8, 2026 1 repo stars

File contents

Polymarket AI Divergence Scanner

Surface markets where Simmer's AI-driven price diverges from Polymarket.

When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when the user wants to:

Find trading opportunities based on AI vs market disagreement
Scan for high-divergence plays
See where Simmer's AI is bullish/bearish vs Polymarket
Understand AI pricing differences

Quick Commands

# Show all divergences (>5% default)
python ai_divergence.py

# Quick status
python scripts/status.py

# Only high-divergence (>15%)
python ai_divergence.py --min 15

# Bullish only (AI > Polymarket)
python ai_divergence.py --bullish

# Bearish only (AI < Polymarket)
python ai_divergence.py --bearish

# Top opportunities summary
python ai_divergence.py --opportunities

# JSON output
python ai_divergence.py --json

API Reference:

Base URL: https://api.simmer.markets
Auth: Authorization: Bearer $SIMMER_API_KEY
Markets: GET /api/sdk/markets

Configuration

Setting	Environment Variable	Default	Description
API Key	`SIMMER_API_KEY`	(required)	Your Simmer SDK key
API URL	`SIMMER_API_URL`	`https://api.simmer.markets`	API base URL

How It Works

Each market has:

current_probability — Simmer's AI-influenced price
external_price_yes — Polymarket's price
divergence — The difference (Simmer - Polymarket)

High divergence = potential alpha if the AI is right.

Interpreting Signals

Divergence	Meaning	Action
> +10%	AI more bullish	Consider BUY YES
< -10%	AI more bearish	Consider BUY NO
±5-10%	Mild divergence	Monitor
< ±5%	Aligned	No signal

Example Output

🔮 AI Divergence Scanner
===========================================================================
Market                                     Simmer     Poly      Div   Signal
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?        14.2%   48.5%  -34.3%   🔴 SELL
What will be the top AI model this mon     17.9%    1.0%  +16.9%    🟢 BUY

💡 Top Opportunities (>10% divergence)
===========================================================================
📌 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
   AI says BUY NO (AI: 14% vs Market: 48%)
   Divergence: -34.3% | Resolves: 2026-07-31

Example Conversations

"Where does the AI disagree with Polymarket?" → python ai_divergence.py

"Any bullish opportunities?" → python ai_divergence.py --bullish --min 10

"What's the AI's highest conviction play?" → python ai_divergence.py --opportunities

Troubleshooting

"SIMMER_API_KEY not set" → Get key from simmer.markets/dashboard → SDK tab

"No markets match filters" → Lower --min threshold or remove directional filters

---name: simmer-ai-divergencedescription: Surface markets where Simmer's AI price diverges from Polymarket. High divergence = potential alpha. Use when user wants to find AI vs market disagreements, scan for trading opportunities, or understand where the AI is bullish/bearish relative to external prices.---# Polymarket AI Divergence ScannerSurface markets where Simmer's AI-driven price diverges from Polymarket.## When to Use This SkillUse this skill when the user wants to:- Find trading opportunities based on AI vs market disagreement- Scan for high-divergence plays- See where Simmer's AI is bullish/bearish vs Polymarket- Understand AI pricing differences## Quick Commands```bash# Show all divergences (>5% default)python ai_divergence.py# Quick statuspython scripts/status.py# Only high-divergence (>15%)python ai_divergence.py --min 15# Bullish only (AI > Polymarket)python ai_divergence.py --bullish# Bearish only (AI < Polymarket)python ai_divergence.py --bearish# Top opportunities summarypython ai_divergence.py --opportunities# JSON outputpython ai_divergence.py --json```**API Reference:**- Base URL: `https://api.simmer.markets`- Auth: `Authorization: Bearer $SIMMER_API_KEY`- Markets: `GET /api/sdk/markets`## Configuration| Setting | Environment Variable | Default | Description ||---------|---------------------|---------|-------------|| API Key | `SIMMER_API_KEY` | (required) | Your Simmer SDK key || API URL | `SIMMER_API_URL` | `https://api.simmer.markets` | API base URL |## How It WorksEach market has:- `current_probability` — Simmer's AI-influenced price- `external_price_yes` — Polymarket's price- `divergence` — The difference (Simmer - Polymarket)High divergence = potential alpha if the AI is right.## Interpreting Signals| Divergence | Meaning | Action ||------------|---------|--------|| > +10% | AI more bullish | Consider BUY YES || < -10% | AI more bearish | Consider BUY NO || ±5-10% | Mild divergence | Monitor || < ±5% | Aligned | No signal |## Example Output```🔮 AI Divergence Scanner===========================================================================Market Simmer Poly Div Signal---------------------------------------------------------------------------Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? 14.2% 48.5% -34.3% 🔴 SELLWhat will be the top AI model this mon 17.9% 1.0% +16.9% 🟢 BUY💡 Top Opportunities (>10% divergence)===========================================================================📌 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? AI says BUY NO (AI: 14% vs Market: 48%) Divergence: -34.3% | Resolves: 2026-07-31```## Example Conversations**"Where does the AI disagree with Polymarket?"**→ `python ai_divergence.py`**"Any bullish opportunities?"**→ `python ai_divergence.py --bullish --min 10`**"What's the AI's highest conviction play?"**→ `python ai_divergence.py --opportunities`## Troubleshooting**"SIMMER_API_KEY not set"**→ Get key from simmer.markets/dashboard → SDK tab**"No markets match filters"**→ Lower `--min` threshold or remove directional filters

Frequently asked questions