Solution Validation (Stage 3)
Does THIS solution solve the validated problem? Read dossier-schema.md if needed. Write only into
the Dossier. Apply the pre-mortem lens here (../../lenses/premortem.md). Do not render.
Procedure
- RAT — pull the highest
risk × uncertaintyassumption fromframing.assumptions. Define the cheapest test that could falsify it. The solution's fate rides on this, not on building everything. - Value Proposition Canvas — check fit: do the solution's pain-relievers/gain-creators map to the customer's actual pains/gains from stage 2? Mismatches are the failure seed.
- MVP/MLP — define the smallest build that produces a real adoption signal (a metric that moves), not a feature list.
- Run a quick pre-mortem and record failure modes into
lenses.premortem(carried to stage 6).
Validation ladder — recommend the cheapest next rung
Don't just score; tell the user the next cheapest experiment to climb the evidence ladder. Each rung
produces stronger evidence than the last (and a higher evidence_type — see ../../guardrails.md):
1. Phỏng vấn The Mom Test → USER_STATED (rẻ nhất, yếu nhất)
2. Smoke test / landing page → CITED/MEASURED (đo conversion từ traffic lạnh)
3. Concierge / Wizard-of-Oz → MEASURED (làm tay dịch vụ trước khi tự động hoá)
4. Paid pilot → MEASURED (khách trả tiền — bằng chứng mạnh nhất)
Identify which rung the current evidence sits on, and name the next rung as the recommended action
(record it in the stage notes). A signal from a paid pilot outranks any amount of stated interest.
Gate
G3.1 — Does the MVP/test give a signal that the solution shifts the target metric? Score 0..1.
threshold: 0.65. No real test yet → cap the score and mark REVIEW_NEEDED rather than PASSED.
Writes
stages[] record (stage_id: 3, gate G3.1, status, score), and appends to lenses.premortem.
Console
[Tầng 3 · Xác thực giải pháp] (status) (score) — RAT: <giả định rủi ro nhất>