Modeling Tax Attribute Preservation
When To Use
- Evaluating whether a proposed transaction (debt-for-equity swap, rights offering, plan of reorganization) triggers an "ownership change" under IRC §382
- Quantifying the annual §382 limitation on post-change NOL and credit utilization
- Comparing restructuring alternatives by their net tax-attribute value after §382 haircuts
- Advising on shareholder threshold management to avoid or defer an ownership change
- Modeling the incremental value of a §382(l)(5) bankruptcy exception versus §382(l)(6) election
Inputs To Gather
- NOL and credit schedule: Federal and state NOL carryforward balances by vintage year, expiration dates, and any built-in loss/gain positions (NUBIL/NUBIG) [VERIFY state-specific NOL rules and carryforward periods]
- Equity capitalization table: All 5%+ shareholders (direct and constructive under §382 attribution rules), option pools, convertible instruments, and warrant holders with strike prices
- Transaction terms: Proposed equity issuance amounts, conversion ratios, exchange mechanics, and closing timeline
- Company value inputs: Current equity market cap or agreed enterprise value, long-term tax-exempt rate published by IRS for the month of the ownership change [VERIFY current applicable federal rate]
- Historical ownership shifts: Rolling 3-year testing period log of 5%+ shareholder percentage-point increases
- Built-in gain/loss data: Fair market value versus tax basis of assets at the change date to determine NUBIG or NUBIL status under the §1374 approach or the §338 approach [VERIFY which recognition period method applies]
Workflow
Map the ownership change test
- Identify all 5%+ shareholders under the constructive ownership and aggregation rules of Treas. Reg. §1.382-2T
- Build a rolling 3-year testing-period schedule tracking each 5%+ shareholder's lowest and current percentage
- Sum percentage-point increases; flag if aggregate exceeds or approaches the 50-point threshold
Calculate the §382 annual limitation
- Multiply the loss corporation's equity value immediately before the ownership change by the applicable long-term tax-exempt rate
- Adjust for any recognized built-in gains during the 5-year recognition period (increases the limitation) or built-in losses (subject to the limitation)
- Apply the continuity-of-business-enterprise (COBE) requirement — if not met for 2 years post-change, limitation drops to zero [VERIFY COBE fact pattern]
Model the bankruptcy exceptions
- §382(l)(5): If the loss corporation is in a Title 11 case and historic shareholders/qualified creditors own ≥50% post-change, no annual limitation applies — but NOLs are reduced by interest deductions on converted debt for the 3 prior tax years, and a second ownership change within 2 years zeroes remaining NOLs
- §382(l)(6): Standard limitation applies but equity value is measured post-restructuring (typically higher), which may yield a larger annual cap
- Compare net present value of usable NOLs under each path over the carryforward horizon
Build the NOL utilization forecast
- Layer the §382 cap over projected taxable income by year
- Apply vintage-year expiration dates — oldest NOLs used first (FIFO)
- Incorporate state-level §382-equivalent limitations where applicable [VERIFY state conformity — e.g., California limits NOL usage independently]
- Discount the tax savings at an appropriate after-tax rate to derive the net present value of preserved attributes
Run scenario and sensitivity analysis
- Vary equity value ±10–20% to show limitation sensitivity
- Model alternative transaction structures (partial conversion, staged closings) to test whether ownership change can be avoided
- Test threshold management strategies: transfer restrictions, poison pills, §382 rights plans, or shareholder caps
- Compare outcomes with and without NUBIG/NUBIL adjustments
Compile deliverable
- Summary table: NOL balance, annual §382 cap, usable NOLs by year, NPV of tax savings
- Scenario comparison matrix (l)(5) vs. (l)(6) vs. no ownership change
- Key assumptions log with [VERIFY] flags for all rate, valuation, and jurisdictional inputs
Output
- §382 Limitation Model (Excel-ready table or structured output): annual cap, cumulative usage, expiration waste, and NPV of tax shield under base and alternative cases
- Ownership Change Testing Schedule: 3-year rolling shareholder log showing whether the 50-point threshold is breached
- Scenario Comparison Summary: Side-by-side of (l)(5), (l)(6), and non-change structures with NPV differential
- Assumption and Risk Register: All inputs, sources, and [VERIFY] items requiring confirmation
Quality Checks
- Confirm that the long-term tax-exempt rate used matches the IRS-published rate for the correct month [VERIFY]
- Validate that constructive ownership attribution (family, entity, option) rules are applied consistently across the shareholder schedule
- Ensure NOL vintage ordering follows FIFO and that expiration dates align with the applicable carryforward period (20-year pre-2018, indefinite post-TCJA with 80% taxable income cap) [VERIFY which NOL vintage rules apply to each tranche]
- Cross-check that NUBIG/NUBIL classification uses the correct measurement method and that recognition-period items are properly included or excluded
- Verify that the model handles a second ownership change correctly — §382 cap is the lesser of the new and old limitations
- Flag any state where §382 conformity is partial or nonexistent so state-level modeling is adjusted accordingly