lubluniky Polymarket Agent Skill
Use this skill for prediction market operations and market making:
When to Use
- Market making: Providing liquidity, managing inventory, pricing binary outcomes
- Odds calculation: Converting probabilities to odds, implied probability analysis
- Event resolution: Determining outcomes, handling ambiguous resolutions
- Liquidity provision: LP strategies, impermanent loss in prediction markets
- Risk management: Position sizing, hedging, exposure limits
Core Capabilities
- Market making: Provide two-sided quotes, manage inventory risk, earn spread
- Probability calibration: Convert between odds formats, calculate fair prices
- Order book dynamics: Understanding CLOB mechanics specific to prediction markets
- Event analysis: Research events, assess resolution criteria, identify edge
- Portfolio management: Manage exposure across correlated markets
Progressive Disclosure
- market-making.md - Market making strategies, inventory management, pricing
Not For
- Basic blockchain interactions (already covered)
- Generic trading strategies
- Standard DeFi operations