majiayu000 Forecast Discipline Guide Skill
When to Use
- Running weekly/monthly forecast calls.
- Coaching managers on commit/best case criteria.
- Aligning go-to-market teams on inspection processes.
Framework
- Forecast Tiers – define commit, best case, pipeline, upside with clear exit criteria.
- Grading Rubric – outline inspection questions and data required for each tier.
- Cadence – schedule prep steps, live inspections, and follow-up check-ins.
- Accountability – log actions, approvals, and exceptions tied to each commit change.
- Continuous Improvement – review accuracy vs actuals, adjust rubric/cadence quarterly.
Templates
- Forecast call agenda + checklist.
- Commit change request form.
- Accuracy retro template with action items.
- GTM Agents Inspection Worksheet – standardized questions (deal health, decision process, paper process, risk plan) @puerto/README.md#244-271.
- KPI Guardrail Sheet – pipeline coverage, conversion %, slip rate with alert thresholds.
- Escalation Memo Template – summary for Chief Strategy Officer when forecast misses guardrails.
Tips
- Keep commit changes transparent and documented.
- Incorporate MEDDIC/BANT prompts into inspection scripts.
- Pair with CRM hygiene dashboards to ensure data supports forecast claims.
- Mirror GTM Agents cadence: Monday management prep, Tuesday deal desk sync, Thursday exec forecast call.
- Require written rationale for any commit movement >5% week over week.
- If guardrail breached twice in a quarter, trigger RevOps remediation sprint (see lifecycle rip-cord procedures).
GTM Agents Forecast Governance Overlay
- Call Structure
- Start with KPI guardrail review (coverage, wins, slip rate) vs GTM Agents thresholds.
- Run tiered inspection (commit → best case → upside) with standard worksheet.
- Assign owners for each risk + resolution plan.
- Cadence & Artifacts
- Weekly: manager inspections + Sales Director roll-up.
- Bi-weekly: cross-functional sync with Marketing Director + Customer Success Manager for pipeline risks.
- Monthly: accuracy retro + adjustments to rubric.
- Escalation
- Trigger CSO briefing when coverage <3.5x or commit accuracy slips below 85%.
- Provide summary memo using Escalation Template.
KPI Guardrails (GTM Agents Reference)
- Pipeline coverage ≥4x for new logo, ≥3x for expansion.
- Commit accuracy ≥90% in-quarter; warn at 85%.
- Slip rate ≤10% QoQ; immediate review if >15%.
- Stage hygiene: 95% of commit deals must have next steps + mutual action plan logged.
Inspection Questions (Excerpt)
- What changed since last call? (Deal, champion, procurement, competition)
- Do we have verifiable next steps and dates? Who owns them?
- What negative signals exist? (product gaps, budget freeze, legal hurdles)
- How will this impact coverage if it slips—what backfill exists?
Use these prompts in every inspection to match GTM Agents Sales Director rigor.