majiayu000 PolyTracker 📈
Track prediction markets in real-time. Monitor Polymarket, Manifold, and other platforms. Get alerts on price swings, volume spikes, and sentiment shifts.
When to Use
✅ USE when:
- Following election/political markets
- Tracking event probabilities
- Finding market inefficiencies
- Monitoring specific topics
- Getting alerts on price movements
- Analyzing market sentiment
- Making informed bets
When NOT to Use
❌ DON'T use when:
- Building automated trading bots → against platform TOS
- Attempting market manipulation → illegal
- Insider trading → illegal and unethical
- Sybil attacks → banned behavior
Example Interactions
You: Watch Polymarket: "2026 Presidential Election"
Paw: connects to Polymarket API
✅ Tracking: 2026 Presidential Election
Current odds:
- Candidate A: 52% ($0.52)
- Candidate B: 38% ($0.38)
- Candidate C: 10% ($0.10)
Market stats:
- Volume (24h): $847,320
- Liquidity: $2.1M
- Traders: 3,482
I'll alert you when:
- Price moves >5% in 1 hour
- Volume spikes >2x average
- New significant bets (>$10k)
Notifications: Telegram (instant) 📊
Price alert:
Paw: 📈 Market movement: 2026 Presidential Election
Candidate A: 52% → 48% (-4% in 30 min) Candidate B: 38% → 42% (+4%)
Trigger: Large bet detected
- $47,000 on Candidate B
- Single whale wallet
- 5 minutes ago
Volume spike: 3.2x normal
What changed:
- Major news outlet just published poll showing Candidate B gaining ground
- Twitter sentiment shifting (+12% positive mentions)
Your move:
- Check news? (I can summarize)
- Review market history? (chart)
- Place bet? (via Polymarket directly)
What do you want to know? 🎯
You: Summarize news
Paw: scans recent news
Recent developments (last 30 minutes):
CNN Poll (published 28 min ago)
- Candidate B +5 points vs last month
- Margin of error: ±3%
- Sample: 1,200 likely voters
Twitter/X trending:
- #CandidateB debate performance going viral
- 47k tweets (last hour, +340%)
- Sentiment: 68% positive
Prediction market impact:
- Polymarket: B +4%
- Manifold: B +3%
- PredictIt: B +2%
- Cross-platform alignment ✅
Analysis: This looks like genuine momentum, not just noise. Poll + social + cross-platform movement = real signal.
Market is responding rationally. No obvious inefficiency to exploit right now.
Want me to keep watching for arbitrage opportunities? 🔍
You: Yes, alert me if Polymarket and Manifold diverge >3%
Paw: ✅ Arbitrage alert configured
Watching:
- Polymarket vs Manifold
- Threshold: >3% divergence
- Market: 2026 Presidential Election
I'll ping you if spreads appear. Classic arb is buying low on one platform, selling high on another.
Pro tip: Liquidity matters. A 5% spread with $100 liquidity isn't worth the gas fees. I'll filter for meaningful opportunities. 💰
Daily digest:
Paw: ☀️ PolyTracker Daily Digest
Markets watched: 5
Significant moves (24h):
"2026 Presidential Election"
- Candidate B: 38% → 42% (+4%)
- Volume: $847k → $1.2M
- Whale activity: 3 large bets
"Fed Rate Cut by June"
- Yes: 67% → 71% (+4%)
- Triggered by CPI data release
No movement:
- "AI reaches AGI by 2027" (steady at 8%)
- "Bitcoin > $100k in 2026" (stable at 43%)
- "SpaceX Mars mission 2026" (flat at 12%)
Opportunities:
- No arbitrage found (all platforms aligned)
Top volume:
- 2026 Presidential — $1.2M
- Fed Rate Cut — $890k
- Bitcoin $100k — $654k
Have a good day. 📊🐾
Commands
# Watch market
polytracker watch "Market Name" --platform polymarket
# Set alerts
polytracker alert "Market Name" --price-change 5% --timeframe 1h
# Arbitrage monitoring
polytracker arbitrage --platforms polymarket,manifold --threshold 3%
# Show tracked markets
polytracker list
# Market statistics
polytracker stats "Market Name"
# Sentiment analysis
polytracker sentiment "Market Name"
# Export data
polytracker export "Market Name" --days 30 --format csv
Supported Platforms
- Polymarket (full support)
- Manifold Markets (full support)
- PredictIt (limited support)
- Kalshi (beta)
- Metaculus (beta)
Telegram Integration
Quick check:
You: /poly check "Election"
Paw: 2026 Presidential Election:
Candidate A: 48% Candidate B: 42% Candidate C: 10%
Volume 24h: $1.2M Change: B +4% ⬆️
Set alert:
You: /poly alert "Election" 5%
Paw: ✅ Alert set. I'll ping you if any candidate moves >5% in 1 hour.
Daily summary:
You: /poly digest
Paw: sends formatted summary
Markets: 5 watched Movers: 2 Flat: 3 Volume: $3.1M total
React for details or /poly stats for full breakdown.
Configuration
# Show config
polytracker config show
# Default platform
polytracker config set default-platform polymarket
# Alert thresholds
polytracker config set price-alert 5
polytracker config set volume-alert 2x
# Check frequency
polytracker config set interval 60 # seconds
# Notification channels
polytracker config set notify telegram,email
Arbitrage Detection
# Enable arbitrage monitoring
polytracker arbitrage enable \
--platforms polymarket,manifold \
--min-spread 3% \
--min-liquidity 10000
# Show current opportunities
polytracker arbitrage list
# Historical opportunities
polytracker arbitrage history --days 7
Sentiment Analysis
# Analyze market sentiment
polytracker sentiment "Market Name"
# Track sentiment over time
polytracker sentiment-chart "Market Name" --days 7
# Sentiment alerts
polytracker sentiment-alert "Market Name" --shift 20%
Pricing
- Free tier: 3 markets, basic alerts
- Pro: $10/month — 20 markets, arbitrage detection, sentiment analysis
- Whale: $29/month — unlimited markets, API access, custom alerts
Install: pawhub.ai/polytracker
Notes
- Market data refreshed every 60 seconds (configurable)
- Arbitrage opportunities rare but lucrative when found
- Sentiment analysis uses Twitter, news, and on-chain data
- No automated trading (manual decisions only)
- Respects platform rate limits
- Data exported for your own analysis
Track markets. Catch opportunities. Make better bets. 📈🐾