mariourquia Schedule Risk Review
Workflow purpose
Keep the project schedule honest. Measure slip, name the cause, quantify the cost and lease-up downstream impact, and route any rebaseline.
Trigger conditions
- Explicit: "run schedule risk", "what's the slip", "rebaseline proposal".
- Implicit: milestone slipped vs. baseline; critical-path disruption; weather delay beyond overlay tolerance; lease-up pace approaching stabilization deadline.
- Recurring: monthly per active project.
Inputs (required / optional)
| Input | Type | Required | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current schedule | record | required | |
| Baseline schedule | record | required | |
| Milestone record | table | required | baseline vs. current forecast |
| Critical-path disruption log | log | optional | |
| Duration assumption overlay | csv | required | |
| Lease-up plan (if applicable) | record | optional |
Outputs
| Output | Type | Shape |
|---|---|---|
| Schedule delta view | kpi_review |
schedule_variance_days, milestone_slippage_rate |
| Critical-path memo | memo |
cause, cost impact, lease-up impact |
| Rebaseline proposal | memo |
with approval path |
| Lease-up delivery scenario | kpi_review |
lease_up_pace_post_delivery / stabilization_pace_vs_plan |
Required context
Asset_class, segment, form_factor, market, project.
Process
- Compute schedule delta.
schedule_variance_daysandmilestone_slippage_rate. - Classify cause. Trade delay, material lead time, permit, weather, design, labor, owner decision.
- Critical-path analysis. Determine whether slip is on critical path.
- Cost consequence. Link to
workflows/cost_to_complete_review(escalation, labor, carry cost). - Lease-up consequence (if applicable). Link to
lease_up_pace_post_deliveryandstabilization_pace_vs_plan. - Rebaseline recommendation. If slip exceeds overlay threshold, recommend rebaseline; opens
approval_requestper overlay. - Confidence banner. References surfaced.
Metrics used
schedule_variance_days, milestone_slippage_rate, punchlist_closeout_rate, lease_up_pace_post_delivery, stabilization_pace_vs_plan.
Reference files used
reference/normalized/construction_duration_assumptions__{region}.csvreference/normalized/approval_threshold_defaults.csv
Escalation points
- Slip above overlay: CM -> AM -> executive.
- Critical-path disruption: CM + AM approval per overlay.
Required approvals
- Schedule rebaseline.
Failure modes
- Slip view without critical-path analysis. Fix: step is mandatory.
- Missing cost consequence link. Fix: invokes CTC review.
- Silent rebaseline. Fix: rebaseline is an approval.
- Lease-up impact ignored. Fix: lease-up scenario mandatory when applicable.
Edge cases
- Permit delay at start: cascading; document clearly.
- Weather seasonality: overlay governs expected delays; variance beyond overlay is the flag.
- Owner-driven delay (design changes): attribute to owner; cost exposure view distinct.
- Subcontractor default mid-project: significant rebaseline likely; escalate.
Example invocations
- "Run schedule risk review for Willow Creek."
- "What's the critical-path slip on the South End renovation?"
- "Lease-up impact if framing slips 30 days on Riverbend."
Example outputs
Output — Schedule risk (abridged, Willow Creek April)
Slip. schedule_variance_days within overlay band; milestone_slippage_rate within band.
Cause. One trade's material lead time on one milestone; non-critical path.
Cost. Minor carrying cost; CTC review to confirm.
Lease-up. No material change to expected TCO.
Rebaseline. Not recommended.
Confidence banner. construction_duration_assumptions__southeast@2026-03-31 (starter).