When to use
Use this when you have more growth ideas than capacity and need a disciplined way to choose what to test next and write a spec anyone can execute. Reach for it to run a weekly growth cadence, triage a backlog, or turn a vague idea into a runnable experiment.
Not for: the statistical design of a single test once chosen (use gro-ab-test-design for MDE/sample size), or diagnosing where the problem is (gro-funnel-analysis / gro-retention-analysis feed this with ideas). This is the pipeline, not the stats.
Method
- Frame every idea as an experiment tied to ONE funnel metric and grounded in an insight ("data shows X, so try Y"). Reject ideas with no metric or no rationale.
- Score each with ICE (1–10): Impact (if it works, how big?), Confidence (evidence it will work), Ease (effort to build+run). Decision point: score independently, then discuss — anchoring on one dimension distorts the rest. ICE score = average of the three.
- Rank by ICE, then sanity-check the top: does it target your current biggest constraint? Reorder if a high-ICE idea addresses a non-bottleneck.
- For the chosen idea, write the spec: hypothesis, primary metric, variant description, success criteria, and owner. Hand statistical sizing to gro-ab-test-design.
- Set a fixed review cadence (weekly). Decision point: cap concurrent experiments so results stay attributable and traffic isn't split too thin.
- On completion, log the result and the learning regardless of win/lose. Feed learnings back into Confidence scores of related ideas — the system compounds.
Example
Backlog: (A) social proof on signup — I8 C6 E9 = 7.7; (B) new pricing page — I9 C4 E3 = 5.3; (C) email drip — I5 C7 E8 = 6.7. Rank A > C > B. Biggest constraint is activation, and A targets signup activation — proceed with A. Spec it, size via gro-ab-test-design, review Friday. Log: A won +3pp; raise Confidence on related social-proof ideas.
Pitfalls
- Scoring Impact optimistically for pet ideas; require an evidence link for Confidence.
- Running 12 tests at once so nothing is attributable and every surface is contaminated.
- Only logging winners — losses carry the highest-value learning and stop repeat mistakes.
- Prioritizing high-ICE ideas that don't touch the current bottleneck (busywork with good scores).
Output format
Growth backlog — week of <date>
Idea Impact Conf Ease ICE Constraint fit
A <idea> 8 6 9 7.7 yes/no
B <idea> 9 4 3 5.3 yes/no
...
Chosen: <idea> (ICE <>, targets <bottleneck>)
Spec:
Hypothesis: <because insight, change will move metric>
Metric: <primary>
Variant: <description>
Success: <criterion> | Owner: <name>
Sizing: via gro-ab-test-design
Review cadence: weekly | Concurrent cap: <N>
Log: <result + learning → confidence updates>