Price Check
When to use
Run this before the owner raises prices, launches a product, or reacts to a cost increase. It turns "should I change my prices?" into a numbers-backed decision the owner makes.
Not for: deep unit-economics with break-even modeling (use smb-margin-analyzer); publishing or updating prices in any system — the owner signs off before anything changes.
Method
- Gather inputs. Each product's price, unit cost, and recent units sold. Pull from connected sales/inventory data, or ask the owner for the short list that matters.
- Compute and rank. Per-product gross margin (dollars and percent); rank by margin and by volume.
- Flag outliers. Items below a healthy margin floor, loss leaders, and high-volume low-margin items where a small change moves the most money. Decision point: prioritize the high-volume low-margin items — that's where a 5% tweak has the biggest dollar impact.
- Build three scenario views over the same products: Hold (current prices/margin); Raise (across-the-board or targeted increase, with estimated margin gain and a demand-sensitivity caveat); Reprice losers (fix only the worst margins, leave winners untouched).
- Summarize trade-offs and recommend. Name a recommended scenario and the assumption it rests on. The owner approves before any price changes anywhere.
Example
Three products: Mug $12/cost $5/300u; Tee $22/cost $14/180u; Sticker $4/cost $1.20/90u. Margins: Mug 58%, Tee 36%, Sticker 70%. Tee is high-volume low-margin — the lever. Hold: total margin $4,164/mo. Raise Tee to $25: +$540/mo, caveat "demand may soften above $24." Reprice losers: lift Tee to $25 only, leave Mug/Sticker. Recommendation: reprice losers — biggest gain, least risk to bestsellers. Assumption: Tee volume holds within ~10%.
Pitfalls
- Ranking only by margin % and missing that the low-% product is where the real dollars move.
- Modeling a raise with no demand-sensitivity caveat, so the projection reads as a guarantee.
- Touching bestsellers "for consistency" when repricing only the losers is safer.
- Publishing a price to a live storefront before the owner has signed off.
Output format
- Margin table: product | price | cost | margin $ | margin % | units | margin contribution.
- Three scenario cards: Hold / Raise / Reprice losers — each with projected total margin and a one-line trade-off.
- Recommendation + the assumption it rests on.
- Approval note: no price is published or updated in any system without owner sign-off.
Reference
Margin math (get the definitions right before ranking)
- Gross margin $ = price − unit cost. Gross margin % = (price − cost) / price.
- Markup ≠ margin. A 50% markup on a $10 cost = $15 price = only 33% margin. Owners conflate these constantly; always state which you mean.
- Contribution = margin $ × units. This is the number that pays the rent. A 36% item selling 180 units contributes more dollars than a 70% item selling 20.
- Blended margin across the catalog matters for the P&L; per-item margin matters for the pricing decision.
Healthy gross-margin benchmarks by category
| Business type |
Typical gross margin |
Notes |
| Restaurant food |
60-70% (food cost 28-35%) |
Labor is the real squeeze |
| Cafe / coffee |
70-80% on drinks |
Pastry drags the blend |
| Retail / apparel |
50-60% |
Keystone (2x cost) is the old default |
| E-commerce physical goods |
40-60% pre-shipping |
Watch fulfillment + returns |
| SaaS / digital |
80-90% |
Near-zero marginal cost |
| Professional services |
50-70% |
"Cost" = loaded labor rate |
| Handmade / craft |
40-55% |
Owners routinely underprice their time |
| Flag anything materially below its band as a margin-floor breach. |
|
|
Elasticity rules of thumb
- Necessities and habitual buys (coffee, essentials, subscriptions under ~$15) are inelastic — a 5-10% raise rarely dents volume.
- Discretionary and comparison-shopped goods (apparel, gifts, electronics) are elastic — small raises can move volume noticeably.
- The 1% rule: for a typical SMB, a 1% price increase with volume held flat lifts operating profit far more than a 1% volume increase — price is the strongest profit lever.
- Break-even volume drop for a raise: you can afford to lose
price-increase% / (margin% + price-increase%) of units before the raise loses money. Example: 10% raise on a 40% margin item breaks even at ~20% unit loss — so unless demand is very elastic, the raise wins.
- Anchor and charm pricing: $99 vs $100 rarely changes SMB volume much; a clearly-communicated value story beats a penny trick.
Pricing-scenario table (the three views, side by side)
| Scenario |
What changes |
Upside |
Risk |
| Hold |
Nothing |
Zero disruption; baseline |
Margin erosion if costs rose |
| Raise |
Across-board or targeted +X% |
Largest margin gain |
Volume/demand softening; must caveat |
| Reprice losers |
Fix only sub-floor items |
Best gain-per-risk; winners untouched |
Slower total lift |
| Recommend reprice losers as the low-risk default; escalate to a targeted raise on inelastic items when the owner wants more. |
|
|
|
Cost-increase response playbook
When a supplier cost jumps: (1) recompute margin at the new cost, (2) check if the item is still above its floor — if yes, absorbing may protect volume; if no, pass through, (3) prefer a targeted raise on the affected item over a blanket increase, (4) if raising a visible staple, pair it with a value message rather than a silent bump.
Do-not-touch guardrails
- Never publish or push a price to a live storefront, POS, or invoice template without explicit owner sign-off.
- Never model a raise as a guarantee — every raise line carries a demand-sensitivity caveat.
- Leave bestsellers alone unless the data says otherwise; "consistency" is not a pricing reason.
1---2name: smb-price-check3description: Build a margin-by-product table plus three pricing-scenario views (hold, raise, reprice losers) to support a pricing decision.4---56# Price Check78## When to use9Run this before the owner raises prices, launches a product, or reacts to a cost increase. It turns "should I change my prices?" into a numbers-backed decision the owner makes.1011**Not for:** deep unit-economics with break-even modeling (use smb-margin-analyzer); publishing or updating prices in any system — the owner signs off before anything changes.1213## Method141. **Gather inputs.** Each product's price, unit cost, and recent units sold. Pull from connected sales/inventory data, or ask the owner for the short list that matters.152. **Compute and rank.** Per-product gross margin (dollars and percent); rank by margin and by volume.163. **Flag outliers.** Items below a healthy margin floor, loss leaders, and high-volume low-margin items where a small change moves the most money. Decision point: prioritize the high-volume low-margin items — that's where a 5% tweak has the biggest dollar impact.174. **Build three scenario views** over the same products: **Hold** (current prices/margin); **Raise** (across-the-board or targeted increase, with estimated margin gain and a demand-sensitivity caveat); **Reprice losers** (fix only the worst margins, leave winners untouched).185. **Summarize trade-offs and recommend.** Name a recommended scenario and the assumption it rests on. The owner approves before any price changes anywhere.1920## Example21Three products: Mug $12/cost $5/300u; Tee $22/cost $14/180u; Sticker $4/cost $1.20/90u. Margins: Mug 58%, Tee 36%, Sticker 70%. Tee is high-volume low-margin — the lever. Hold: total margin $4,164/mo. Raise Tee to $25: +$540/mo, caveat "demand may soften above $24." Reprice losers: lift Tee to $25 only, leave Mug/Sticker. Recommendation: reprice losers — biggest gain, least risk to bestsellers. Assumption: Tee volume holds within ~10%.2223## Pitfalls24- Ranking only by margin % and missing that the low-% product is where the real dollars move.25- Modeling a raise with no demand-sensitivity caveat, so the projection reads as a guarantee.26- Touching bestsellers "for consistency" when repricing only the losers is safer.27- Publishing a price to a live storefront before the owner has signed off.2829## Output format30- **Margin table:** product | price | cost | margin $ | margin % | units | margin contribution.31- **Three scenario cards:** Hold / Raise / Reprice losers — each with projected total margin and a one-line trade-off.32- **Recommendation** + the assumption it rests on.33- **Approval note:** no price is published or updated in any system without owner sign-off.3435## Reference3637### Margin math (get the definitions right before ranking)38- **Gross margin $ = price − unit cost.** **Gross margin % = (price − cost) / price.**39- **Markup ≠ margin.** A 50% markup on a $10 cost = $15 price = only 33% margin. Owners conflate these constantly; always state which you mean.40- **Contribution = margin $ × units.** This is the number that pays the rent. A 36% item selling 180 units contributes more dollars than a 70% item selling 20.41- **Blended margin** across the catalog matters for the P&L; per-item margin matters for the pricing decision.4243### Healthy gross-margin benchmarks by category44| Business type | Typical gross margin | Notes |45|---------------|---------------------|-------|46| Restaurant food | 60-70% (food cost 28-35%) | Labor is the real squeeze |47| Cafe / coffee | 70-80% on drinks | Pastry drags the blend |48| Retail / apparel | 50-60% | Keystone (2x cost) is the old default |49| E-commerce physical goods | 40-60% pre-shipping | Watch fulfillment + returns |50| SaaS / digital | 80-90% | Near-zero marginal cost |51| Professional services | 50-70% | "Cost" = loaded labor rate |52| Handmade / craft | 40-55% | Owners routinely underprice their time |53Flag anything materially below its band as a margin-floor breach.5455### Elasticity rules of thumb56- **Necessities and habitual buys** (coffee, essentials, subscriptions under ~$15) are *inelastic* — a 5-10% raise rarely dents volume.57- **Discretionary and comparison-shopped goods** (apparel, gifts, electronics) are *elastic* — small raises can move volume noticeably.58- **The 1% rule:** for a typical SMB, a 1% price increase with volume held flat lifts operating profit far more than a 1% volume increase — price is the strongest profit lever.59- **Break-even volume drop for a raise:** you can afford to lose `price-increase% / (margin% + price-increase%)` of units before the raise loses money. Example: 10% raise on a 40% margin item breaks even at ~20% unit loss — so unless demand is very elastic, the raise wins.60- **Anchor and charm pricing:** $99 vs $100 rarely changes SMB volume much; a clearly-communicated value story beats a penny trick.6162### Pricing-scenario table (the three views, side by side)63| Scenario | What changes | Upside | Risk |64|----------|-------------|--------|------|65| **Hold** | Nothing | Zero disruption; baseline | Margin erosion if costs rose |66| **Raise** | Across-board or targeted +X% | Largest margin gain | Volume/demand softening; must caveat |67| **Reprice losers** | Fix only sub-floor items | Best gain-per-risk; winners untouched | Slower total lift |68Recommend **reprice losers** as the low-risk default; escalate to a targeted raise on inelastic items when the owner wants more.6970### Cost-increase response playbook71When a supplier cost jumps: (1) recompute margin at the new cost, (2) check if the item is still above its floor — if yes, absorbing may protect volume; if no, pass through, (3) prefer a targeted raise on the affected item over a blanket increase, (4) if raising a visible staple, pair it with a value message rather than a silent bump.7273### Do-not-touch guardrails74- Never publish or push a price to a live storefront, POS, or invoice template without explicit owner sign-off.75- Never model a raise as a guarantee — every raise line carries a demand-sensitivity caveat.76- Leave bestsellers alone unless the data says otherwise; "consistency" is not a pricing reason.