Market Research Patterns
Market Sizing
TAM / SAM / SOM Framework
| Level |
Definition |
How to Calculate |
| TAM (Total Addressable Market) |
Everyone who could ever buy |
Top-down: industry reports; Bottom-up: # potential buyers × ARPU |
| SAM (Serviceable Addressable Market) |
Segment you can realistically reach |
TAM × % that matches your ICP |
| SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market) |
What you can realistically capture |
SAM × realistic market share in 3-5 years |
Top-Down Sizing
Example: B2B Project Management SaaS
Industry report: Global PM software market = $6.5B (2024)
Growing at 13% CAGR
Target segment: SMBs (10-500 employees) = ~40% of market
Geographic focus: US + UK = ~35% of global
TAM = $6.5B × 40% × 35% = $910M
SAM = $910M × 60% (tech-enabled SMBs) = $546M
SOM = $546M × 2% (Year 3 target share) = $10.9M
Bottom-Up Sizing
Target buyer profile: Marketing directors at B2B SaaS companies
US B2B SaaS companies: ~25,000 (CB Insights)
Companies with 50-500 employees: ~8,000 (60% have marketing director)
Marketing directors: ~4,800
Qualified: ~30% would buy this category = 1,440 buyers
ACV: $8,400/year
SAM = 1,440 × $8,400 = $12.1M
Market Segmentation
Segmentation Dimensions
| Dimension |
Variables |
Use When |
| Demographic |
Age, income, education, gender |
Consumer products |
| Firmographic |
Company size, industry, revenue, geography |
B2B products |
| Psychographic |
Values, lifestyle, personality |
Brand-driven products |
| Behavioral |
Usage rate, occasions, benefits sought |
Mature markets |
| Job-to-be-done |
What outcome they're trying to achieve |
Innovation |
Segment Evaluation Criteria
Score each segment 1-5:
- Size — How large is the segment?
- Growth — Is it growing?
- Accessibility — Can you reach them efficiently?
- Profitability — Will they pay enough?
- Fit — Does your product solve their job well?
- Competition — How crowded is this segment?
Primary Research Methods
Interviews (Qualitative)
Best for: Uncovering unknown unknowns, deep motivations, job-to-be-done discovery
Sample size: 10-15 per segment (saturation usually occurs by 12)
Interview guide structure:
1. Warm-up (5 min)
"Tell me about your role and what a typical week looks like"
2. Current state (15 min)
"Walk me through how you currently handle [problem area]"
"What does that process look like step by step?"
"What's the hardest part about that?"
3. Exploration (15 min)
"Tell me about the last time [problem] happened"
"What did you do? What tools did you use?"
"What did you wish existed?"
4. Wrap-up (5 min)
"Is there anything I didn't ask that you think is important?"
"Who else should I talk to?"
Surveys (Quantitative)
Best for: Validating hypotheses, quantifying segment size, NPS, willingness to pay
Minimum sample sizes:
| Confidence |
Margin of Error |
Sample Size (Large Population) |
| 90% |
±5% |
271 |
| 95% |
±5% |
385 |
| 95% |
±3% |
1,067 |
| 99% |
±3% |
1,843 |
Focus Groups
Best for: Exploring reactions to concepts, messaging testing, creative exploration
Structure:
- 6-10 participants per group (not friends/colleagues)
- 90-120 minutes
- Trained moderator (avoid leading questions)
- Observe from behind glass or recording
- Run 3+ groups for statistical validity
When NOT to use focus groups:
- Sensitive personal topics (use 1:1 interviews)
- Complex technical evaluation (use usability tests)
- When dominant personalities will skew discussion
Trend Analysis
Trend Detection Sources
| Category |
Sources |
| Search trends |
Google Trends, Exploding Topics, Semrush Trends |
| Social signals |
Reddit, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, TikTok |
| Publication trends |
Google Scholar, ResearchGate (academic) |
| Investor signals |
PitchBook, Crunchbase category funding |
| Patent filings |
USPTO, Google Patents (R&D direction) |
| Hiring signals |
LinkedIn Jobs, Indeed, Glassdoor |
| Regulatory |
Federal Register, EU publications |
PESTEL Framework
| Factor |
Questions |
| Political |
Regulatory changes, government policy, trade issues |
| Economic |
Interest rates, inflation, recession risk, employment |
| Social |
Demographics, lifestyle shifts, cultural values |
| Technological |
Emerging tech, automation, disruption |
| Environmental |
Climate regulation, sustainability demands |
| Legal |
Compliance requirements, litigation trends |
Secondary Research
Data Sources by Category
| Category |
Sources |
| Market reports |
Gartner, Forrester, IDC, IBISWorld, Statista |
| Industry data |
Trade associations, government agencies (BLS, Census) |
| Academic |
JSTOR, ProQuest, Google Scholar |
| News |
Factiva, Bloomberg, industry press |
| Company data |
Crunchbase, PitchBook, CB Insights |
| Consumer data |
Nielsen, Kantar, YouGov |
Source Credibility Checklist
Research Report Structure
Executive Summary (1 page)
- Market size and growth rate
- Key segments and sizing
- Top 3 trends
- Strategic implications
Full Report Structure
1. Executive Summary
2. Methodology
3. Market Overview
- Market definition and scope
- Market size (TAM/SAM/SOM)
- Growth rate and forecast
4. Segmentation Analysis
- Segment definitions
- Segment sizing and attractiveness
- Recommended target segments
5. Trend Analysis
- Top 3-5 trends driving change
- Opportunities and threats
6. Competitive Landscape
- Key players
- Market share estimates
7. Customer Insights
- Key pain points
- Decision criteria
- Willingness to pay
8. Strategic Recommendations
9. Appendices (raw data, survey instrument, interview notes)
1---2name: market-research3description: When to activate: market research, TAM SAM SOM, market sizing, market segmentation, trend analysis, primary research, secondary research, focus groups, survey design, industry analysis4---56# Market Research Patterns78## Market Sizing910### TAM / SAM / SOM Framework11| Level | Definition | How to Calculate |12|-------|------------|-----------------|13| **TAM** (Total Addressable Market) | Everyone who could ever buy | Top-down: industry reports; Bottom-up: # potential buyers × ARPU |14| **SAM** (Serviceable Addressable Market) | Segment you can realistically reach | TAM × % that matches your ICP |15| **SOM** (Serviceable Obtainable Market) | What you can realistically capture | SAM × realistic market share in 3-5 years |1617### Top-Down Sizing18```19Example: B2B Project Management SaaS2021Industry report: Global PM software market = $6.5B (2024)22Growing at 13% CAGR23Target segment: SMBs (10-500 employees) = ~40% of market24Geographic focus: US + UK = ~35% of global2526TAM = $6.5B × 40% × 35% = $910M27SAM = $910M × 60% (tech-enabled SMBs) = $546M28SOM = $546M × 2% (Year 3 target share) = $10.9M29```3031### Bottom-Up Sizing32```33Target buyer profile: Marketing directors at B2B SaaS companies3435US B2B SaaS companies: ~25,000 (CB Insights)36Companies with 50-500 employees: ~8,000 (60% have marketing director)37Marketing directors: ~4,8003839Qualified: ~30% would buy this category = 1,440 buyers40ACV: $8,400/year4142SAM = 1,440 × $8,400 = $12.1M43```4445## Market Segmentation4647### Segmentation Dimensions48| Dimension | Variables | Use When |49|-----------|-----------|----------|50| **Demographic** | Age, income, education, gender | Consumer products |51| **Firmographic** | Company size, industry, revenue, geography | B2B products |52| **Psychographic** | Values, lifestyle, personality | Brand-driven products |53| **Behavioral** | Usage rate, occasions, benefits sought | Mature markets |54| **Job-to-be-done** | What outcome they're trying to achieve | Innovation |5556### Segment Evaluation Criteria57Score each segment 1-5:58- **Size** — How large is the segment?59- **Growth** — Is it growing?60- **Accessibility** — Can you reach them efficiently?61- **Profitability** — Will they pay enough?62- **Fit** — Does your product solve their job well?63- **Competition** — How crowded is this segment?6465## Primary Research Methods6667### Interviews (Qualitative)68**Best for:** Uncovering unknown unknowns, deep motivations, job-to-be-done discovery6970**Sample size:** 10-15 per segment (saturation usually occurs by 12)7172**Interview guide structure:**73```741. Warm-up (5 min)75 "Tell me about your role and what a typical week looks like"76772. Current state (15 min)78 "Walk me through how you currently handle [problem area]"79 "What does that process look like step by step?"80 "What's the hardest part about that?"81823. Exploration (15 min)83 "Tell me about the last time [problem] happened"84 "What did you do? What tools did you use?"85 "What did you wish existed?"86874. Wrap-up (5 min)88 "Is there anything I didn't ask that you think is important?"89 "Who else should I talk to?"90```9192### Surveys (Quantitative)93**Best for:** Validating hypotheses, quantifying segment size, NPS, willingness to pay9495**Minimum sample sizes:**96| Confidence | Margin of Error | Sample Size (Large Population) |97|------------|-----------------|-------------------------------|98| 90% | ±5% | 271 |99| 95% | ±5% | 385 |100| 95% | ±3% | 1,067 |101| 99% | ±3% | 1,843 |102103### Focus Groups104**Best for:** Exploring reactions to concepts, messaging testing, creative exploration105106**Structure:**107- 6-10 participants per group (not friends/colleagues)108- 90-120 minutes109- Trained moderator (avoid leading questions)110- Observe from behind glass or recording111- Run 3+ groups for statistical validity112113**When NOT to use focus groups:**114- Sensitive personal topics (use 1:1 interviews)115- Complex technical evaluation (use usability tests)116- When dominant personalities will skew discussion117118## Trend Analysis119120### Trend Detection Sources121| Category | Sources |122|----------|---------|123| Search trends | Google Trends, Exploding Topics, Semrush Trends |124| Social signals | Reddit, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, TikTok |125| Publication trends | Google Scholar, ResearchGate (academic) |126| Investor signals | PitchBook, Crunchbase category funding |127| Patent filings | USPTO, Google Patents (R&D direction) |128| Hiring signals | LinkedIn Jobs, Indeed, Glassdoor |129| Regulatory | Federal Register, EU publications |130131### PESTEL Framework132| Factor | Questions |133|--------|-----------|134| **Political** | Regulatory changes, government policy, trade issues |135| **Economic** | Interest rates, inflation, recession risk, employment |136| **Social** | Demographics, lifestyle shifts, cultural values |137| **Technological** | Emerging tech, automation, disruption |138| **Environmental** | Climate regulation, sustainability demands |139| **Legal** | Compliance requirements, litigation trends |140141## Secondary Research142143### Data Sources by Category144| Category | Sources |145|----------|---------|146| Market reports | Gartner, Forrester, IDC, IBISWorld, Statista |147| Industry data | Trade associations, government agencies (BLS, Census) |148| Academic | JSTOR, ProQuest, Google Scholar |149| News | Factiva, Bloomberg, industry press |150| Company data | Crunchbase, PitchBook, CB Insights |151| Consumer data | Nielsen, Kantar, YouGov |152153### Source Credibility Checklist154- [ ] Who published it and what's their methodology?155- [ ] When was it published (is it still relevant)?156- [ ] What's the sample size and how was it collected?157- [ ] Are there conflicts of interest?158- [ ] Can findings be cross-referenced with another source?159160## Research Report Structure161162### Executive Summary (1 page)163- Market size and growth rate164- Key segments and sizing165- Top 3 trends166- Strategic implications167168### Full Report Structure169```1701. Executive Summary1712. Methodology1723. Market Overview173 - Market definition and scope174 - Market size (TAM/SAM/SOM)175 - Growth rate and forecast1764. Segmentation Analysis177 - Segment definitions178 - Segment sizing and attractiveness179 - Recommended target segments1805. Trend Analysis181 - Top 3-5 trends driving change182 - Opportunities and threats1836. Competitive Landscape184 - Key players185 - Market share estimates1867. Customer Insights187 - Key pain points188 - Decision criteria189 - Willingness to pay1908. Strategic Recommendations1919. Appendices (raw data, survey instrument, interview notes)192```