Win/loss analysis
Analyze sales call transcripts to extract actionable insights on why deals are won, lost, retained, or churned. Cross-reference findings with ICP, firmographics, and competitive context to produce strategic recommendations.
Claude Code triggers
Invoke when user says:
- "Win/loss analysis"
- "Analyze sales calls"
- "Why did we win/lose"
- "Churn analysis"
- "Retention analysis"
- "Sales call insights"
- "Deal outcome patterns"
- "Customer feedback synthesis"
- "Analyze these transcripts"
- "What patterns in our sales calls"
Do NOT invoke when:
- User wants general transcript analysis → use
transcript-analysis
- User wants competitor research → use
competitor-research
- User wants single customer interview analysis → use
transcript-analysis
- User wants sales enablement assets → use
sales-enablement
Input requirements
Required
| Input |
Description |
Source |
| Transcripts |
Sales call transcripts with customer name and outcome |
User provides |
| Outcome |
Win/Loss/Retention/Churn for each call |
User specifies or infer |
Optional (improve quality)
| Input |
How it helps |
| Website URL per customer |
Firmographics cross-reference |
| Product/ICP document |
Define in-scope product capabilities |
| Market/GTM document |
Positioning and competitive landscape |
| Sales notes column |
Additional context (stage, deal size) |
| Competitor names |
Pre-identify competitors to watch for |
Validation
Before proceeding: at least one transcript provided; outcome known or inferable from transcript; customer name identifiable.
If inputs are missing: ask the user for transcripts. Clarify if outcome should be inferred from transcript signals.
Transcript intake — normalize any recorder format
Transcripts arrive in many shapes: Gong, Fireflies, Otter, Grain exports, Zoom/Avoma VTT, SRT, recorder JSON, or plain pasted text. Before Phase 1, normalize whatever you're handed into one shape — speaker-attributed turns, timestamps where present. See the premium reference for the sniff-and-parse table per format and the normalized target shape. /transcripts inherits the same reference.
Two rules apply to every transcript before analysis:
- Redact PII first —
.claude/rules/pii-redaction.md. Mask end-client names, emails, account numbers before processing; keep roles, company, deal context. (Load-bearing for ClientCo and any regulated client.)
- Bind every claim to evidence —
.claude/rules/evidence-bound-outputs.md. Every extracted pattern cites a verbatim quote + speaker; normalized turns make speaker attribution reliable.
Process
The analysis runs in 3 phases. Read the premium reference for the full step-by-step (4 transcript-processing steps, 4 aggregation steps, 4 synthesis steps, plus per-phase checkpoints and the process flowchart).
Phase summary:
- Transcript processing — classify outcome, identify speakers, extract customer context, pull verbatim quotes for the 6 dimensions
- Pattern aggregation — group by outcome, count frequency, rank patterns (3+ mentions), cross-reference by ICP/competitor/persona
- Insight synthesis — state pattern, provide evidence with frequency + confidence, identify opportunity, generate executive summary
- Canonical-doc drift → propose diff (optional — active client, cadenced batch only) — check recurring patterns against the client's current positioning/messaging docs and emit gated diff proposals. See the premium reference.
Cadence
For an active client, run the batch analysis on a monthly cadence — the review cycle that keeps positioning/messaging current between quarterly refreshes. Phase 4 rides that same monthly run; it adds no separate schedule. Single-call and ad-hoc runs skip Phase 4.
Phase 4 — when it runs
Phase 4 fires only on a cadenced batch for an active client with canonical docs (projects/consulting/active/{client}/positioning/ or messaging/). It proposes diffs; it never applies them — the merge is a separate, two-layer human gate (Genesys PMM, then client signoff). Win-loss stays additive; positioning/messaging stay human-locked. Skip Phase 4 silently for single-call runs, comparison-only runs, prospects, or clients with no canonical docs. Full protocol, eligibility (recurrence gate), voice gate, and merge bridge: the premium reference.
Core frameworks
Analysis modes
| Mode |
When to use |
Output |
| Single call |
Deep analysis of one transcript |
Full insight extraction per dimension |
| Batch analysis |
Multiple transcripts (3-20 calls) |
Aggregated patterns with frequency counts |
| Comparison matrix |
Win vs. loss OR retention vs. churn |
Side-by-side pattern comparison |
Default to batch analysis mode when multiple transcripts are provided.
6 analysis dimensions
| # |
Dimension |
Win signals |
Loss signals |
| 1 |
Product |
"Exactly what we need," feature praised |
"Missing [feature]," "Doesn't do [X]" |
| 2 |
Messaging |
"Now I understand why this matters" |
"What does it actually do?" |
| 3 |
GTM/Sales |
"You really understand our problem" |
"Demo didn't address our needs" |
| 4 |
Pricing |
"Fair price," "good value" |
"Too expensive," "over budget" |
| 5 |
Competition |
"Chose you over [competitor]" |
"Going with [competitor]" |
| 6 |
Customer context |
"Need this now," deadline-driven |
"No rush," "maybe next year" |
Confidence scoring
| Level |
Definition |
When to apply |
| High |
3+ calls with consistent pattern |
Clear recurring theme |
| Medium |
2 calls or inferred from strong signals |
Emerging pattern |
| Low |
Single mention or indirect reference |
Possible outlier |
Outcome classification
| Outcome |
Definition |
Key signals |
| Win |
Deal closed, contract signed |
"We're moving forward," pricing confirmed |
| Loss |
Deal lost to competitor or no-decision |
"Going with [competitor]," "Not right now" |
| Retention |
Existing customer renewing/expanding |
Renewal discussion, expansion |
| Churn |
Existing customer leaving/reducing |
Cancellation, "not getting value" |
Anti-hallucination guardrails
- Quote verbatim. All insights must trace to specific transcript quotes.
- Never invent patterns. If a pattern appears in only one call, label it "Single mention — pattern unconfirmed."
- State frequency. Always note how many calls support each finding (e.g., "4 of 7 calls").
- Acknowledge gaps. If a dimension has no data, mark "Not discussed in transcripts."
- Distinguish roles. Tag who said what — prospect vs. sales rep vs. champion.
Gotchas
- Correlation as causation. Reports "deals with longer sales cycles were lost" as if cycle length caused the loss → always distinguish patterns from causes. Use "associated with" not "caused by".
- Small sample bias. Draws conclusions from 2-3 deals instead of waiting for sufficient data → flag sample size prominently. Minimum 5 wins and 5 losses for reliable patterns.
- Missing verbatim quotes. Summarizes what buyers said instead of extracting exact quotes → verbatim quotes are the primary deliverable. Summaries are secondary.
- Single-dimension analysis. Only looks at win/loss by competitor, missing dimensions like deal size, ICP segment, or sales cycle stage → cross-tabulate across at least 3 dimensions.
- Conflates product feedback with sales insights. Mixes "they wanted feature X" with "they didn't trust our team" → separate product gaps from sales execution issues. They feed into different downstream skills.
Integration with other skills
| Skill |
Relationship |
Usage |
| transcript-analysis |
Related |
Use for general transcripts, not sales calls |
| sales-enablement |
Downstream |
Feed insights into battlecards and objection handlers |
| positioning / product-messaging |
Downstream |
Phase 4 proposes gated diffs to the client's canonical positioning/messaging docs from recurring patterns (propose only, human-merged). See the premium reference |
| competitor-research |
Related |
Cross-reference competitor mentions |
MCP data integration
Level: 0 — Context (heavy pulls)
Pulls fresh
| Source |
What to pull |
Tool |
When |
| Granola |
Sales call transcripts and deal discussions |
search_meetings, get_meeting_content |
Always |
| Slack |
Deal discussion threads and competitive intel |
slack_search_public |
Always |
Fallback (no MCP)
- User-provided call transcripts or recordings
- Manual deal review notes
1---2name: win-loss3description: Win/loss analysis4---56# Win/loss analysis78Analyze sales call transcripts to extract actionable insights on why deals are won, lost, retained, or churned. Cross-reference findings with ICP, firmographics, and competitive context to produce strategic recommendations.910---1112## Claude Code triggers1314**Invoke when user says:**15- "Win/loss analysis"16- "Analyze sales calls"17- "Why did we win/lose"18- "Churn analysis"19- "Retention analysis"20- "Sales call insights"21- "Deal outcome patterns"22- "Customer feedback synthesis"23- "Analyze these transcripts"24- "What patterns in our sales calls"2526**Do NOT invoke when:**27- User wants general transcript analysis → use `transcript-analysis`28- User wants competitor research → use `competitor-research`29- User wants single customer interview analysis → use `transcript-analysis`30- User wants sales enablement assets → use `sales-enablement`3132---3334## Input requirements3536### Required3738| Input | Description | Source |39|-------|-------------|--------|40| **Transcripts** | Sales call transcripts with customer name and outcome | User provides |41| **Outcome** | Win/Loss/Retention/Churn for each call | User specifies or infer |4243### Optional (improve quality)4445| Input | How it helps |46|-------|--------------|47| Website URL per customer | Firmographics cross-reference |48| Product/ICP document | Define in-scope product capabilities |49| Market/GTM document | Positioning and competitive landscape |50| Sales notes column | Additional context (stage, deal size) |51| Competitor names | Pre-identify competitors to watch for |5253### Validation5455Before proceeding: at least one transcript provided; outcome known or inferable from transcript; customer name identifiable.5657If inputs are missing: ask the user for transcripts. Clarify if outcome should be inferred from transcript signals.5859### Transcript intake — normalize any recorder format6061Transcripts arrive in many shapes: Gong, Fireflies, Otter, Grain exports, Zoom/Avoma VTT, SRT, recorder JSON, or plain pasted text. Before Phase 1, normalize whatever you're handed into one shape — speaker-attributed turns, timestamps where present. See the premium reference for the sniff-and-parse table per format and the normalized target shape. `/transcripts` inherits the same reference.6263Two rules apply to every transcript before analysis:6465- **Redact PII first** — `.claude/rules/pii-redaction.md`. Mask end-client names, emails, account numbers before processing; keep roles, company, deal context. (Load-bearing for ClientCo and any regulated client.)66- **Bind every claim to evidence** — `.claude/rules/evidence-bound-outputs.md`. Every extracted pattern cites a verbatim quote + speaker; normalized turns make speaker attribution reliable.6768---6970## Process7172The analysis runs in 3 phases. Read the premium reference for the full step-by-step (4 transcript-processing steps, 4 aggregation steps, 4 synthesis steps, plus per-phase checkpoints and the process flowchart).7374Phase summary:75761. **Transcript processing** — classify outcome, identify speakers, extract customer context, pull verbatim quotes for the 6 dimensions772. **Pattern aggregation** — group by outcome, count frequency, rank patterns (3+ mentions), cross-reference by ICP/competitor/persona783. **Insight synthesis** — state pattern, provide evidence with frequency + confidence, identify opportunity, generate executive summary794. **Canonical-doc drift → propose diff** *(optional — active client, cadenced batch only)* — check recurring patterns against the client's current positioning/messaging docs and emit gated diff **proposals**. See the premium reference.8081### Cadence8283For an active client, run the batch analysis on a **monthly** cadence — the review cycle that keeps positioning/messaging current between quarterly refreshes. Phase 4 rides that same monthly run; it adds no separate schedule. Single-call and ad-hoc runs skip Phase 4.8485### Phase 4 — when it runs8687Phase 4 fires only on a **cadenced batch** for an **active client with canonical docs** (`projects/consulting/active/{client}/positioning/` or `messaging/`). It **proposes** diffs; it never applies them — the merge is a separate, two-layer human gate (Genesys PMM, then client signoff). Win-loss stays additive; positioning/messaging stay human-locked. Skip Phase 4 silently for single-call runs, comparison-only runs, prospects, or clients with no canonical docs. Full protocol, eligibility (recurrence gate), voice gate, and merge bridge: the premium reference.8889---9091## Core frameworks9293### Analysis modes9495| Mode | When to use | Output |96|------|-------------|--------|97| **Single call** | Deep analysis of one transcript | Full insight extraction per dimension |98| **Batch analysis** | Multiple transcripts (3-20 calls) | Aggregated patterns with frequency counts |99| **Comparison matrix** | Win vs. loss OR retention vs. churn | Side-by-side pattern comparison |100101**Default to batch analysis mode** when multiple transcripts are provided.102103### 6 analysis dimensions104105| # | Dimension | Win signals | Loss signals |106|---|-----------|-------------|--------------|107| 1 | **Product** | "Exactly what we need," feature praised | "Missing [feature]," "Doesn't do [X]" |108| 2 | **Messaging** | "Now I understand why this matters" | "What does it actually do?" |109| 3 | **GTM/Sales** | "You really understand our problem" | "Demo didn't address our needs" |110| 4 | **Pricing** | "Fair price," "good value" | "Too expensive," "over budget" |111| 5 | **Competition** | "Chose you over [competitor]" | "Going with [competitor]" |112| 6 | **Customer context** | "Need this now," deadline-driven | "No rush," "maybe next year" |113114### Confidence scoring115116| Level | Definition | When to apply |117|-------|------------|---------------|118| **High** | 3+ calls with consistent pattern | Clear recurring theme |119| **Medium** | 2 calls or inferred from strong signals | Emerging pattern |120| **Low** | Single mention or indirect reference | Possible outlier |121122### Outcome classification123124| Outcome | Definition | Key signals |125|---------|------------|-------------|126| **Win** | Deal closed, contract signed | "We're moving forward," pricing confirmed |127| **Loss** | Deal lost to competitor or no-decision | "Going with [competitor]," "Not right now" |128| **Retention** | Existing customer renewing/expanding | Renewal discussion, expansion |129| **Churn** | Existing customer leaving/reducing | Cancellation, "not getting value" |130131---132133## Anti-hallucination guardrails1341351. **Quote verbatim.** All insights must trace to specific transcript quotes.1362. **Never invent patterns.** If a pattern appears in only one call, label it "Single mention — pattern unconfirmed."1373. **State frequency.** Always note how many calls support each finding (e.g., "4 of 7 calls").1384. **Acknowledge gaps.** If a dimension has no data, mark "Not discussed in transcripts."1395. **Distinguish roles.** Tag who said what — prospect vs. sales rep vs. champion.140141---142143## Gotchas144145- **Correlation as causation.** Reports "deals with longer sales cycles were lost" as if cycle length caused the loss → always distinguish patterns from causes. Use "associated with" not "caused by".146- **Small sample bias.** Draws conclusions from 2-3 deals instead of waiting for sufficient data → flag sample size prominently. Minimum 5 wins and 5 losses for reliable patterns.147- **Missing verbatim quotes.** Summarizes what buyers said instead of extracting exact quotes → verbatim quotes are the primary deliverable. Summaries are secondary.148- **Single-dimension analysis.** Only looks at win/loss by competitor, missing dimensions like deal size, ICP segment, or sales cycle stage → cross-tabulate across at least 3 dimensions.149- **Conflates product feedback with sales insights.** Mixes "they wanted feature X" with "they didn't trust our team" → separate product gaps from sales execution issues. They feed into different downstream skills.150151---152153## Integration with other skills154155| Skill | Relationship | Usage |156|-------|--------------|-------|157| **transcript-analysis** | Related | Use for general transcripts, not sales calls |158| **sales-enablement** | Downstream | Feed insights into battlecards and objection handlers |159| **positioning / product-messaging** | Downstream | Phase 4 proposes gated diffs to the client's canonical positioning/messaging docs from recurring patterns (propose only, human-merged). See the premium reference |160| **competitor-research** | Related | Cross-reference competitor mentions |161162---163164## MCP data integration165166**Level:** 0 — Context (heavy pulls)167168### Pulls fresh169170| Source | What to pull | Tool | When |171|--------|-------------|------|------|172| **Granola** | Sales call transcripts and deal discussions | `search_meetings`, `get_meeting_content` | Always |173| **Slack** | Deal discussion threads and competitive intel | `slack_search_public` | Always |174175### Fallback (no MCP)176177- User-provided call transcripts or recordings178- Manual deal review notes179180---181