modbender Polymarket Analysis
Identify trading advantages in Polymarket prediction markets through multi-modal analysis.
Scope: Analysis and opportunity identification only. No trade execution.
Modes
| Mode | Description | Reference |
|---|---|---|
| Analyze | One-time market analysis | This file |
| Monitor | 24/7 market monitoring | references/market-monitoring-setup.md |
| Profile | Track user wallet positions | scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py |
Scripts
# Monitor market for alerts
python3 scripts/monitor-polymarket-market.py <market_url_or_id>
# Fetch user profile/positions
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py <wallet_address> [--trades] [--pnl]
Quick Start
Market Analysis
- Get market URL from user
- Fetch via
https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?slug={slug} - Run multi-strategy analysis
User Profile
# From profile URL: polymarket.com/profile/0x...
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py 0x7845bc5e15bc9c41be5ac0725e68a16ec02b51b5
Core Strategies
| Strategy | Description | Reference |
|---|---|---|
| Pair Cost Arbitrage | YES+NO < $1.00 | references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md |
| Momentum | RSI, MA signals | references/momentum-analysis.md |
| Whale Tracking | Large trades | references/whale-tracking.md |
| Sentiment | News/social | references/sentiment-analysis.md |
Alert Thresholds
| Event | Threshold |
|---|---|
| Price change | ±5% in 1h |
| Large trade | >$5,000 |
| Pair cost | <$0.98 |
| Volume spike | >2x avg |
APIs
| API | Base URL | Use |
|---|---|---|
| Gamma | gamma-api.polymarket.com |
Markets, prices |
| Data | data-api.polymarket.com |
User positions, trades, P&L |
| CLOB | clob.polymarket.com |
Order books, trading |
See references/polymarket-api.md for full endpoint reference.
References
references/polymarket-api.md- API endpoints (Gamma, Data, CLOB)references/market-monitoring-setup.md- 24/7 cron monitoringreferences/pair-cost-arbitrage.md- Arbitrage detectionreferences/momentum-analysis.md- Technical analysisreferences/whale-tracking.md- Smart money trackingreferences/sentiment-analysis.md- Sentiment aggregation