modbender Prediction Trader
AI-powered prediction market analysis assistant that aggregates data from multiple platforms and social signals.
Supported Platforms
- Polymarket: Offshore prediction market on Polygon (crypto, politics, sports, world events)
- Kalshi: CFTC-regulated US prediction market (Fed rates, GDP, CPI, economics)
Commands
Compare Markets
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py compare "[topic]"
Compare prediction markets across both platforms for a given topic.
Get Trending
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py trending
Get trending prediction markets from both platforms.
Analyze Topic
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py analyze "[topic]"
Full analysis including market data and social signals.
Platform-Specific
# Polymarket
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py polymarket trending
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py polymarket crypto
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py polymarket search "[query]"
# Kalshi
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py kalshi fed
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py kalshi economics
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py kalshi search "[query]"
Output Format
Results include:
- Market question/title
- YES/NO prices (probability)
- Trading volume
- Platform source
- Resolution date (if available)
Requirements
UNIFAI_AGENT_API_KEY- UnifAI SDK key for Polymarket tools and social signalsGOOGLE_API_KEY- Gemini API key for LLM analysis
Example Usage
User: "Compare Bitcoin prediction markets"
Assistant: I'll compare Bitcoin markets across Polymarket and Kalshi.
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py compare "bitcoin"
User: "What are the Fed rate predictions?"
Assistant: Let me fetch the Federal Reserve interest rate markets from Kalshi.
python3 {baseDir}/scripts/trader.py kalshi fed
Notes
- Polymarket data accessed via UnifAI tools (may have rate limits)
- Kalshi data accessed via direct public API (no auth for read)
- This tool is read-only; trading requires platform authentication
- All prices shown as decimals (0.75 = 75% probability)