modbender StrikeRadar - US-Iran strike probability monitor
Real-time risk scores across 8 signal categories, aggregated into a composite strike probability.
Risk scores are algorithmic estimates from publicly available data, not intelligence assessments. Do not use for personal, financial, or safety decisions. Wraps StrikeRadar by Yonatan Back.
Quick Start
No dependencies needed. Run directly:
npx tsx {baseDir}/scripts/strikeradar.ts status
Commands
| Command | Description |
|---|---|
status |
All 8 signals with risk scores and total risk |
signal <name> |
Deep dive into one signal with raw data |
pulse |
Live viewer count and activity by country |
Status
npx tsx {baseDir}/scripts/strikeradar.ts status
Returns: total_risk (0-100%), per-signal risk + detail, last_updated.
Signal deep-dive
npx tsx {baseDir}/scripts/strikeradar.ts signal <name>
Valid signals: news, connectivity, energy, flight, tanker, weather, polymarket, pentagon
What each signal tracks:
- news - article alerts from BBC/Al Jazeera, alert_count, total_count
- connectivity - Iran internet status via Cloudflare Radar
- energy - Brent crude price, volatility, market status
- flight - aircraft count near Iran, key airline presence
- tanker - military refueling tanker detection, callsigns
- weather - conditions over Iran (visibility matters for strikes)
- polymarket - betting market odds for US strike
- pentagon - building activity level and patterns
Pulse
npx tsx {baseDir}/scripts/strikeradar.ts pulse
Returns: watching_now, activity_level, surge multiplier, country breakdown.
Agent Usage
All commands return JSON with next_actions when output is piped:
npx tsx {baseDir}/scripts/strikeradar.ts status | cat