Purpose
Build a roadmap organized by confidence level rather than fixed dates — avoiding the false precision that makes traditional roadmaps lie. Communicates strategic direction while being honest about uncertainty.
Key Concepts
Three Horizons
| Horizon | Confidence | Detail Level | Commitment |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOW | High (>80%) | Epics with stories | Committed, in progress |
| NEXT | Medium (50-80%) | Epics with hypotheses | Planned, dependent on NOW |
| LATER | Low (<50%) | Themes/opportunities | Exploring, not committed |
Application
The Template
# Product Roadmap: [Product Name]
**Last Updated:** [Date] | **Owner:** [PM Name]
**Strategy:** [One-line strategy statement]
## 🟢 NOW (Current Quarter)
*High confidence. Committed. In progress.*
### [Initiative 1]
- **Objective:** [What we're trying to achieve]
- **Key Result:** [How we'll measure success]
- **Status:** [On track / At risk / Blocked]
- **Key milestones:** [Dates this quarter]
### [Initiative 2]
...
---
## 🟡 NEXT (Next Quarter)
*Medium confidence. Planned. Dependent on NOW outcomes.*
### [Initiative 3]
- **Hypothesis:** [What we believe will happen if we build this]
- **Depends on:** [What needs to be true from NOW]
- **Open questions:** [What we still need to learn]
---
## 🔴 LATER (Future Quarters)
*Low confidence. Exploring. Not committed.*
### [Theme 1]
- **Opportunity:** [Market trend or user need]
- **Why it matters:** [Strategic alignment]
- **What we'd need to learn first:** [Discovery needed]
Examples
✅ Good NOW Item
### Sandbox Onboarding
- **Objective:** Reduce trial drop-off at data connection step
- **Key Result:** 7-day activation rate from 28% → 55%
- **Status:** On track — beta launching week of March 15
- **Depends on:** Design system component library (done)
❌ Bad Item
### Improve onboarding (Q2)
- Build new onboarding flow
Quality Rubric
| Dimension | 0 | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOW Detail | Initiative names only | Objectives listed | Objectives + KRs + status |
| NEXT Framing | Committed items | "Maybe" items | Hypotheses with dependencies |
| LATER Framing | Backlog dump | Themes | Themes + learning needed |
| Strategy Link | Items unconnected | Loosely connected | Every item traces to strategy |
| Communication | Internal only | Shared | Tailored versions per audience |
Common Pitfalls
Pitfall 1: Everything is NOW
Fix: If NOW has more than 3-5 initiatives, you have a prioritization problem, not a roadmap.
Pitfall 2: LATER Becomes a Graveyard
Fix: Review LATER quarterly. Items that haven't moved in 2 quarters should be explicitly killed or promoted.
References
Related Skills
skills/planning/prioritization-advisor/SKILL.md— Prioritize what goes in each horizonskills/planning/epic-hypothesis/SKILL.md— NEXT items should be hypothesis-framedskills/strategy/okr-framework/SKILL.md— NOW aligns with current OKRs
External Frameworks
- Janna Bastow (ProdPad), Now-Next-Later framework
- Basecamp's Shape Up — Appetite-based planning
Skill type: Component Domain: Planning & Prioritization