newkayak12 Assumption Extractor
When to Use / When Not to Use
Use when:
- A plan or argument sounds solid but hasn't been stress-tested
- Someone is about to commit resources to a decision
- You want a pre-mortem before launching something
Not for:
- Identifying logical errors in reasoning (use fallacy-detector)
- Diagnosing why someone is overconfident (use bias-auditor)
Process
Step 1 — State the claim. Confirm the core argument/plan being examined.
Step 2 — Scan all four categories in parallel:
| Type | What to look for |
|---|---|
| Factual | What facts are assumed true without being established? |
| Causal | What cause-effect chains are assumed (A therefore B)? |
| Value | What is assumed to matter most? What trade-offs are pre-decided? |
| Definitional | What terms are assumed to share meaning? |
Step 3 — Classify by load.
- Load-bearing: if wrong, the argument collapses entirely
- Significant: if wrong, requires substantial revision
- Peripheral: if wrong, details change but core survives
Step 4 — Flag the most dangerous assumption. The load-bearing one with the lowest current verification.
MCP note: If sequential-thinking is available, run all four category scans before classifying — stopping after finding one load-bearing assumption misses others.
Output Template
가정 추출 결과 / Assumption Map:
사실적 가정 / Factual Assumptions:
- [Assumption]: [Load-bearing / Significant / Peripheral]
인과적 가정 / Causal Assumptions:
- [Assumption]: [Load-bearing / Significant / Peripheral]
가치 가정 / Value Assumptions:
- [Assumption]: [Load-bearing / Significant / Peripheral]
정의적 가정 / Definitional Assumptions:
- [Key term]: [What the argument seems to mean by it]
핵심 위험 전제 / Most Dangerous Assumption:
[The load-bearing assumption with lowest current verification]
If wrong: [Consequence for the argument/plan]
To verify: [What would need to be checked]
What Claude Does / What You Do
| Claude | You |
|---|---|
| Scans four assumption categories systematically | Provide the plan or argument to examine |
| Classifies each assumption by load-bearing weight | Confirm which assumptions are actually in play |
| Identifies the single most dangerous assumption | Decide which to test before committing |
| Names what would collapse if that assumption is wrong | Run the verification checks |
Related Skills
fallacy-detector— when the issue is logical structure, not hidden premisesbias-auditor— when the issue is why someone is overconfidentsecond-order-thinker— for downstream consequences once assumptions are surfacedmental-model-toolkit— for alternative frames when assumptions reveal a blind spot