1.1 Monetary Sentinel

Skill: Monetary Sentinel (1.1)

Capabilities

• analyze(ticker, market_data, nexus_context) → Tier-0 contract
• Direct query: "What's the current macro regime for BTC?"
• Direct query: "Is there a liquidity crisis signal?"

Data Sources (as-of the bar date; never later prints)

• Fear & Greed — crypto mood (0–100)
• FRED — VIX, fed funds, 10y yield, trade-weighted USD, SPX, WTI
• DefiLlama lag-1 — stablecoin supply and all-chain TVL, 7d change
• OHLCV window return/vol — fallback liquidity proxy only

How to read the overlay

• High VIX (≥32) or F&G ≤25 → Risk-Off even if TVL is up
• Rising fed funds / strong DXY → tighter dollar liquidity, lean Risk-Off
• Stablecoin or TVL 7d ≤ −8% → on-chain drain, Risk-Off
• F&G ≥75 with falling VIX and expanding stablecoins → Risk-On
• Quote the printed VIX / DXY / fed funds / 7d TVL change in reasoning; do not invent later data

Query Interface

/monetary_sentinel?ticker=BTC/USDT

Returns: macro regime state + liquidity score + reasoning.

Dependencies

• Historical overlay in backtest (data/macro/*.csv via HistoricalNexusProvider)
• Live Nexus market_overview when not in backtest
• Falls back to OHLCV stubs when those files/endpoints are missing